New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal
Match recap
CF Montreal beat New York Red Bulls 3–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Owusu, Carmona, and Carmona scored for CF Montreal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.85 for New York Red Bulls versus 2.07 for CF Montreal.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 New York Red Bulls win
Actual
0–3
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal promises an intriguing contest. Both teams boast talented attackers, but the Red Bulls' home scoring streak and creative playmakers could tip the scales.
Match factors
Red Bulls' attacking trio in strong form
Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba, and Eric Choupo-Moting show good recent scoring form, boosting home attack potential
Montreal's Owusu leads offensive threat
Prince-Osei Owusu's 15 goals and 6 assists make him a focal point for Montreal's attack
Cowell and Donkor key creators for Red Bulls
Cade Cowell's 5 assists and Ronald Donkor's 4 assists highlight Red Bulls' creative strength
Red Bulls' home scoring streak supports predicted win
Red Bulls average 1.57 goals per home game with recent positive scoring streak
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
This match is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 3. New York Red Bulls have shown solid attacking form at home, while CF Montreal rely heavily on their leading scorer Prince-Osei Owusu. Both sides have full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Top scorer with 10 goals, strong recent form and key home scorer averaging 1.57 goals per home game.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 26 apps, 0.38 goals/game
Prince-Osei Owusu
CF Montreal
Leading scorer and assist provider with 15 goals and 6 assists, focal point of Montreal's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 26 apps, 0.58 goals/game
Cade Cowell
New York Red Bulls
Top assister with 5 assists, creative winger providing key passes and crosses.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 25 apps, 0.20 assists/game
Ronald Donkor
New York Red Bulls
Strong playmaker with 4 assists and good passing stats, vital in midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 24 apps, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
New York Red Bulls' attacking trio—Julian Hall, Jorge Ruvalcaba Castro, and Eric Choupo-Moting—have been in good scoring form, particularly at home. Hall leads with 10 goals this season, averaging 1.57 goals per home game. Creative forces like Cade Cowell and Ronald Donkor provide ample service, with 5 and 4 assists respectively. CF Montreal's Prince-Osei Owusu remains a potent threat with 15 goals and 6 assists, but the Red Bulls' home advantage and scoring consistency give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.New York Red Bulls average 1.57 goals per home game this season.
- 2.Julian Hall is the Red Bulls' top scorer with 10 goals in 26 appearances.
- 3.Prince-Osei Owusu leads CF Montreal with 15 goals and 6 assists this season.
- 4.Cade Cowell and Ronald Donkor are key creators for the Red Bulls with 5 and 4 assists respectively.
- 5.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed absences.
- 6.In 20 head-to-head meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 8, CF Montreal 10, with 2 draws.
- 7.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 total goals per game.
Prediction
The prediction favours a New York Red Bulls home win by 3-1. This scoreline reflects the most probable outcome based on current form and attacking potential. While the confidence in this call is cautious due to limited match history and missing standings data, the Red Bulls' home scoring streak and key players' form make them the likely victors.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — CF Montreal
The verdict
Expect New York Red Bulls to leverage their home strengths and attacking depth to overcome CF Montreal. The visitors will pose challenges, especially through Owusu, but the Red Bulls' balanced attack and creative midfield should secure the three points.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:28 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Owusu
Penalty
Carmona
Che
Yellow Card
Avilés
Dos Santos
Owusu
Jaime
Choupo-Moting
Carmona
Marshall-Rutty
Carmona
Ruvalcaba
Hall
Longstaff
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
Starting XI
- 2J. CheD
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 6R. VoloderD
- 7C. CowellM
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 11J. RuvalcabaM
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallM
- 34E. HorvathG
- 56M. Dos SantosD
Substitutes
- 4G. BerggrenM
- 5O. ValenciaD
- 20J. MinaD
- 26T. ParkerD
- 33Roald MitchellF
- 66T. RosboroughM
- 70A. RojasF
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
CF Montreal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3T. AvilésD
- 4B. VeraD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 10Iván JaimeM
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 16W. CarmonaM
- 17D. ÞórhallssonM
- 22V. LoturiM
- 24E. MoralesD
- 31T. GillierG
Substitutes
- 1S. BrezaG
- 2J. NealD
- 6S. PietteM
- 14D. RíosF
- 18H. SynchukF
- 19B. HidalgoD
- 29O. EscobarF
- 39Aleksandr GubogloD
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Forsberg(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | F | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Ethan Horvath | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cade Cowell | M | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Julian Hall | M | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Che | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Robert Voloder | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gustav Berggren | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Parker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John McCarthy | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Rosborough | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Mosquera | F | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Roald Mitchell | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Omar Valencia | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Rojas | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Mina | D | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wikelman Carmona | M | 81 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Thomas Gillier | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Prince-Osei Owusu(C) | F | 61 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tomás Avilés | D | 61 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Jaime | M | 61 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Aleksandr Guboglo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jalen Neal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennadiy Synchuk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Piette | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bode Hidalgo | D | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Streit | M | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New York Red Bulls to win against CF Montreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 3–1 CF Montreal.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 35% chance of winning, CF Montreal a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.