New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC
Red Bulls cruise to commanding win
New York Red Bulls put on a clinical display to shut out Atlanta United FC.
Defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an Atlanta win, New York Red Bulls secured a convincing 3-0 victory. A. Mehmeti opened the scoring in the first half, followed by C. Cowell and J. Marshall-Rutty adding goals after the break to seal the dominant result. The Red Bulls' performance left no doubt as they comfortably outplayed their visitors.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its conclusion, New York Red Bulls face off against Atlanta United FC in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, but recent form and key player availability could tip the scales.
Match factors
Suspension of key playmaker Ronald Donkor weakens midfield creativity
Donkor leads team with 6 assists but is confirmed out due to yellow card suspension, reducing attacking support
Julian Hall's prolific scoring form boosts New York Red Bulls' attack
Hall has 12 goals this season with strong recent away form, making him a key scoring threat
Atlanta United FC's consistent scoring streak supports predicted away win
Atlanta has scored in last 5 games overall and home games, showing attacking momentum
Atlanta's Aleksey Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón provide creative midfield edge
Both have combined 12 goals and 9 assists this season, key to breaking down New York's defense
New York Red Bulls' defensive struggles may allow Atlanta's attackers more chances
New York concedes 1.88 goals per game, above league average, increasing scoring opportunities for Atlanta
The context
This fixture is part of the 34th round of the regular season. Historically, New York Red Bulls have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning half of their 20 encounters, while Atlanta United have claimed victory in four, with six draws. Matches between these sides average just over two goals, suggesting a competitive and moderately scoring affair.
Key insights
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Hall's prolific scoring form and strong away goal rate make him a key threat despite the team's defensive struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 29 apps, 0.41 goals/game, 0.67 goals/game in last 5 away
- R
Ronald Donkor
New York Red Bulls
Donkor's suspension removes a key playmaker who leads the team with 6 assists, weakening New York's midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 27 games, high yellow card rate
Aleksey Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Miranchuk's consistent scoring and assisting provide Atlanta with a creative edge to break down New York's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 5 assists in 29 apps
- M
Miguel Almirón Rejala
Atlanta United FC
Almirón's recent form with goals and assists boosts Atlanta's attacking momentum and midfield strength.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 4 assists in 24 apps
Analysis
Atlanta United enter this match with a consistent scoring streak, having found the net in their last five games, which bodes well for their attacking prospects. Their midfield duo, Aleksey Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón, have combined for 12 goals and 9 assists this season, providing creative firepower to break down New York's defence. Meanwhile, New York's top scorer Julian Hall, with 12 goals this season and strong away form, remains a key threat. However, New York's defensive record is less reassuring, conceding nearly two goals per game, which could be exploited by Atlanta's attackers. The absence of Ronald Donkor due to suspension further weakens New York's midfield creativity, potentially limiting their attacking support.
Key facts
- 1.New York Red Bulls have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Atlanta United FC.
- 2.Atlanta United FC have scored in their last 5 games, showing strong attacking form.
- 3.Julian Hall is New York Red Bulls' top scorer with 12 goals this season.
- 4.New York concedes an average of 1.88 goals per game, above the league average.
- 5.Ronald Donkor is suspended, reducing New York's midfield creativity.
- 6.Aleksey Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón have combined for 12 goals and 9 assists this season.
- 7.The most likely full-time scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Atlanta United.
- 8.The predicted halftime score is 0-1, consistent with the final result.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Atlanta United, with a halftime lead of 0-1 and a final scoreline of 1-2. This suggests Atlanta will start strongly and maintain their advantage despite New York's efforts to respond. The match is expected to feature a moderate number of cards, around three, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York Red Bulls
Away — Atlanta United FC
The verdict
In summary, Atlanta United's attacking momentum and midfield creativity, combined with New York Red Bulls' defensive vulnerabilities and key suspension, point towards a narrow away victory. Fans can anticipate a lively contest with goals and tactical battles, ultimately favouring the visitors to take the three points.
Prediction generated 1 Nov 2026, 23:46 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mehmeti
Cowell
Assist: Kone
Muyumba
Galoppo
Yellow Card
Ruvalcaba
Cowell
Bazán
Yellow Card
Báez
Galoppo
Marshall-Rutty
Mehmeti
Padelford
Embolo
Almirón
Kone
Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 7C. CowellF
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 14J. BazánD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 34E. HorvathG
- 48R. DonkorM
- 59D. PadelfordD
- 60S. KoneM
Substitutes
- 1A. MarcucciG
- 6R. VoloderD
- 8D. RuízM
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 26T. ParkerD
- 56M. Dos SantosD
- 79R. MosqueraF
- 91M. JimenezF
- 92D. NelichF
Atlanta United FC
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 3E. BáezD
- 6J. AlonsoD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 10M. AlmirónF
- 11G. GaloppoM
- 14M. AmaroM
- 27P. DíazD
- 36B. EmboloF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukM
Substitutes
- 1L. HoyosG
- 4E. MihajD
- 16Adrian GillM
- 19Sergio SantosF
- 20L. BrennanM
- 22F. PicaultF
- 35A. FortuneM
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
- 48C. SanchezM
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Cowell | F | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7/10 |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 84 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| D. Padelford | D | 84 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Kone | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| J. Bazán | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 6 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Donkor | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Dos Santos | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Nealis | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jimenez | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 74 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| R. Mosquera | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Ruíz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Nelich | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Marcucci | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Voloder | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Parker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alonso | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| B. Embolo | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Sergio Santos | F | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amaro | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Almirón | F | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| A. Miranchuk | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jayden Hibbert | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fortune | M | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 4 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Sanchez | M | 29 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Galoppo | M | 76 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Adrian Gill | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hoyos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atlanta United FC to win against New York Red Bulls.
- What score did Fipster predict for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New York Red Bulls 1–2 Atlanta United FC.
- What were the win probabilities for New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC?
- Fipster's model gave New York Red Bulls a 27% chance of winning, Atlanta United FC a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.