New York City FC vs Chicago Fire
New York City FC outpaces Chicago Fire
A commanding first-half display secures a 3-1 victory for New York City FC.
New York City FC took control early with goals from N. Fernández Mercau, A. Ojeda, and M. Jones before the break, overpowering Chicago Fire despite a reply from J. Waterman. The 3-1 scoreline reflects a solid home win that matched Fipster's prediction, though the margin was a bit more comfortable than the forecasted 4-3 thriller.
Analysis
Get ready for a goal-fest as New York City FC take on Chicago Fire in what promises to be a thrilling MLS regular season encounter. Both teams have been on a scoring spree, setting the stage for an entertaining match.
Both NYC FC and Chicago Fire have been consistent scorers in their recent matches, each finding the net in their last five games. With no confirmed absences, both sides will field their key attacking and creative players, adding to the excitement.
NYC FC boast attacking midfielders Nicolás Fernández and Hannes Wolf, both in fine scoring form, providing a tactical edge. Chicago Fire counter with their reliable striker Hugo Cuypers, who has been prolific recently. Creative midfielders Maxi Moralez and Maren Haile-Selassie are crucial for chance creation on both sides. Expect an open game with multiple goals and a moderate level of physicality, as suggested by the predicted four total cards.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for New York City FC with a close 4-3 scoreline. While the draw has a slightly higher aggregated probability, the attacking prowess and home advantage give NYC FC the edge in this high-scoring affair.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
NYC FC's attacking midfield strength
NYC FC's Nicolás Fernández and Hannes Wolf show strong recent scoring form, providing a tactical edge in attack.
Chicago Fire's reliable striker Hugo Cuypers
Cuypers' consistent goal scoring and finishing ability make him a key threat against NYC FC's defense.
Creative midfielders driving chances
Maxi Moralez and Maren Haile-Selassie lead their teams in assists and key passes, crucial for goal creation.
Both teams on positive scoring streaks
Both NYC FC and Chicago Fire have scored in their last 5 matches, indicating strong offensive momentum.
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full availability of key attacking and creative players.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a pulsating match filled with goals and creative play. NYC FC's attacking midfield strength and Chicago Fire's finishing ability promise a spectacle that could go down to the wire, but the hosts are favoured to come out on top.
- Both teams have scored in their last 5 matches, indicating strong offensive momentum.
- Nicolás Fernández has multiple goals in recent matches, including a hat-trick.
- Hugo Cuypers is Chicago Fire's top scorer with multiple multi-goal games recently.
- Maxi Moralez leads NYC FC in assists with high passing accuracy.
- Predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate physicality.
- No confirmed injuries for either team, ensuring full-strength squads.
- The predicted fulltime score is a close 4-3 win for NYC FC.
- Draw outcomes have the highest aggregated probability at 27%, but home win is favoured.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New York City FC

Away — Chicago Fire

Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fernández Mercau
Waterman
Ojeda
Assist: Perea
Jones
Assist: Ojeda
Leonardo Barroso
Haile-Selassie
D'Avilla
Yellow Card
Fernández Mercau
Yellow Card
D'Avilla
Jones
Radojević
Lod
Waterman
Yellow Card
Dithejane
Yellow Card
Shore
Talles Magno
Ojeda
Match Statistics
New York City FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Nico CavalloD
- 6J. SandsD
- 7N. Fernández MercauM
- 8A. PereaM
- 11Talles MagnoF
- 13Thiago MartinsD
- 24T. GrayD
- 26A. OjedaM
- 32J. ShoreM
- 49M. FreeseG
- 88M. JonesM
Substitutes
- 9B. TraoréF
- 15K. PierreM
- 17H. WolfF
- 23Maxwell MurrayD
- 29M. CarrizoM
- 30T. RomeroG
- 35M. IleničD
- 87A. FarnosF
- 99S. ReidF
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 3J. ElliottD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieF
- 11P. ZinckernagelF
- 14V. RadojevićD
- 16J. WatermanD
- 17R. LodM
- 19J. BambaF
- 42T. D'AvillaM
Substitutes
- 5S. RogersD
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 20Jason ShokalookF
- 22M. PinedaD
- 24J. DeanD
- 35S. OregelM
- 44J. CohenG
New York City FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Matthew Freese | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Perea | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Malachi Jones | M | 69 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jonathan Shore | M | 85 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Thiago Martins(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Talles Magno | F | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| James Sands | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hannes Wolf | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Romero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitja Ilenič | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Murray | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Farnos | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pierre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bénie Traoré | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Zinckernagel | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/6 |
| Joel Waterman | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Anton Salétros | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Elliott(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bamba | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Robin Lod | F | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Viktor Radojević | D | 71 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chris Brady | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Josh Cohen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Rogers | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Oregel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Shokalook | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dean | D | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Andrew Gutman | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Pineda | D | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Puso Dithejane | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |




