New England Revolution vs Toronto FC
New England Revolution and Toronto FC share the spoils
A goalless stalemate keeps both sides locked in a tight contest.
Neither New England Revolution nor Toronto FC could find the net in a match that ended 0-0, defying Fipster's confident prediction of a 3-0 home win. The clean sheet battle suggests a cautious approach from both teams, resulting in a stalemate rather than the expected home dominance.
Analysis
As the regular season rolls on, New England Revolution look poised to extend their strong home form against Toronto FC. With a solid attacking lineup and defensive stability, the Revolution are favourites to secure a comfortable win.
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 18. New England Revolution have been impressive at home, scoring over two goals per game on average, while Toronto FC have struggled defensively despite managing to score in recent matches. The clash promises a tactical battle with New England's creativity against Toronto's resilience.
New England's captain and creative hub, Carles Gil, leads the charge with six goals and four assists this season, thriving particularly on home turf. Defensively, Brayan Ceballos provides solidity with his high tackling and interception stats, key to maintaining clean sheets. Toronto FC's top scorer Dániel Sallói remains a threat but is hampered by the doubtful fitness of Josh Sargent, limiting their attacking options. The statistical edge heavily favours New England, with a 94% probability of a home win and a predicted 3-0 scoreline.
Prediction
Expect New England Revolution to take an early lead, going 1-0 up by halftime and extending their advantage to 3-0 by fulltime. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome is high at 93%, making a Revolution victory the safe bet.
Outcome probability
Match factors
New England's home attacking edge
New England scores 2.13 goals per home game, well above league average, leveraging strong midfield creativity.
Carles Gil's dual threat
Gil leads New England in goals (6) and assists (4), making him the focal point of attack and chance creation.
Toronto FC's scoring streak despite poor form
Toronto has scored in 5 consecutive matches but concedes heavily, indicating defensive vulnerability to exploit.
Defensive solidity from Brayan Ceballos
Ceballos' high defensive ratings and tackling make him key to New England's ability to maintain clean sheets.
Josh Sargent's doubtful fitness caps scoring chances
Sargent's 50/50 fitness reduces Toronto's attacking threat, limiting their goal-scoring potential.
Key Takeaways
In summary, New England Revolution's home attacking prowess and defensive strength should see them comfortably dispatch Toronto FC. With key players in form and tactical advantages clear, the Revolution look set to claim all three points with a clean sheet and a convincing scoreline.
- New England Revolution average 2.13 goals per home game this season.
- Carles Gil leads New England with 6 goals and 4 assists, excelling at home.
- Toronto FC has scored in 5 consecutive matches but concedes heavily.
- Brayan Ceballos is a defensive standout with high tackling and interception stats.
- Josh Sargent is doubtful, reducing Toronto's attacking threat.
- Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of New England Revolution.
- Most likely fulltime score is 3-0 to New England Revolution.
- Expected total cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Toronto FC
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Polster
Yellow Card
Yow
Vilsaint
Kerr
Chukwu
Polster
Turgeman
Kohler
Yusuf
Raines
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 7G. YowM
- 8M. PolsterD
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerM
- 30M. TurnerG
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 3B. CeballosD
- 4T. BeasonD
- 14J. YueillM
- 15C. BakerD
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 77D. FagundezM
Toronto FC
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1L. GavranG
- 14Alonso CoelloM
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 20D. SallóiF
- 21J. OsorioM
- 22R. LaryeaM
- 25W. ZimmermanD
- 29D. KerrM
- 38J. GilmanD
- 96R. ChukwuD
- 99J. VilsaintF
Substitutes
- 7T. CorbeanuF
- 9J. SargentF
- 11D. EtienneF
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 19K. FranklinD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 44R. EdwardsD
- 77A. De RosarioG
- 78Malik HenryM
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Miller | M | 91 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matt Turner | G | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 91 | 7.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Matt Polster | D | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Griffin Yow | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jackson Yueill | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Ceballos | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Langoni | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | G | 91 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Gilman | D | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | M | 91 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jules-Anthony Vilsaint | F | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Richard Chukwu | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deandre Kerr | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dániel Sallói | F | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Jonathan Osorio(C) | M | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| William Yarbrough | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adisa De Rosario | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raheem Edwards | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Sargent | F | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Theo Corbeanu | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |