New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders
Sounders cruise past Revolution with clinical display
Seattle's trio of goals silenced New England in a commanding away win.
Seattle Sounders dismantled New England Revolution 3-0 in a match that defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win. H. Dotson set the tone early with a 15th-minute strike, and the visitors sealed the deal with second-half goals from D. Joveljić and P. Arriola. The Sounders' efficient performance left the Revolution scoreless and stunned.
Outcome probability
The New England Revolution and Seattle Sounders face off in a regular season MLS encounter that promises goals and drama. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, but New England's home form and key players could tip the scales.
Match factors
Carles Gil's central role in attack
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists, driving their offensive threat especially at home
New England's strong home scoring form
New England averages 2 goals per home game, above league average, boosting their win probability
Dor Turgeman's recent assist form
Turgeman has 2 assists in last 5 games, showing good creative form to support scoring
Seattle missing key attackers
Seattle Sounders confirmed out key attackers Rothrock and Joveljić, weakening their scoring options
Seattle's reliance on Albert Rusnák for creativity
Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists, crucial for creating chances amid other absences
The context
Seattle Sounders currently sit 9th in the league with 35 points from 26 games, reflecting a mixed bag of results. Meanwhile, New England Revolution have been strong at home, averaging two goals per game, which bodes well for their chances in this fixture.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil leads New England's attack with 12 goals and 4 assists, making him pivotal especially at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 27 apps, 0.44 avg per game
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Turgeman's recent form includes 2 assists in last 5 games, boosting New England's creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 26 apps, 0.27 avg per game
- A
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Rusnák is crucial for Seattle's creativity, leading with 11 assists amid other absences.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists this season
Analysis
New England's attacking threat is spearheaded by Carles Gil, who leads the team with 12 goals and 4 assists this season. His recent form, including 4 goals in the last 5 games, makes him a pivotal figure. Dor Turgeman also adds creativity with 7 assists and has contributed 2 assists in the last 5 matches. Seattle, on the other hand, are missing key attackers Rothrock and Joveljić, which weakens their offensive options. Their creativity largely depends on Albert Rusnák, who leads with 11 assists. The predicted scoreline of 3-2 suggests a closely fought contest with New England's home scoring prowess narrowly prevailing.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution average 2 goals per home game this season.
- 2.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances.
- 3.Dor Turgeman has provided 7 assists and 7 goals this season, with 2 assists in the last 5 games.
- 4.Seattle Sounders are 9th in the league with 35 points from 26 games (W9 D8 L9).
- 5.Seattle are missing key attackers Rothrock and Joveljić for this match.
- 6.Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists this season.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 2-1 in favour of New England Revolution.
- 8.Match expected to have around 4 cards, indicating a competitive game.
Prediction
We expect New England Revolution to take the win with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is likely to be 2-1, reflecting an open and competitive first half. The match should feature around four cards, indicating a spirited but not overly aggressive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Seattle Sounders
No standout top scorers flagged for Seattle Sounders
The verdict
In summary, New England's home advantage and attacking form, led by Carles Gil and supported by Dor Turgeman, should see them edge out Seattle Sounders in a thrilling 3-2 victory. Seattle's injury woes and reliance on Rusnák for creativity may just be their undoing in this encounter.
Prediction generated 2 Oct 2026, 03:32 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dotson
Roldan
Yellow Card
Sands
Yellow Card
Dotson
Yellow Card
Gomez
Polster
Morris
Gómez
Yueill
Joveljić
Assist: Arriola
Langoni
Joveljić
Roldan
Arriola
Assist: Ferreira
Gil
Miller
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +31 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 42 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 8 |  Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 37 |
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8M. PolsterD
- 10Carles GilM
- 14J. YueillM
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerF
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 15C. BakerD
- 16D. GazdagM
- 27W. HarrisF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 65J. SiqueiraM
- 77D. FagundezM
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 9D. JoveljićF
- 11A. RusnákM
- 13J. MorrisM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 28Y. GómezD
- 31H. DotsonM
- 90S. GomezM
Substitutes
- 8C. ClarkM
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 27J. FerreiraF
- 37S. BrunellM
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 45P. KingstonM
- 85K. Kossa-RienziM
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Yow | F | 5 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | F | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | 0/3 |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Carles Gil | M | 85 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Polster | D | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Langoni | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Turgeman | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Yueill | M | 73 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 25 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 17 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Fagundez | M | 5 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Baker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Parisian | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | G | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Dotson | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Ragen | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Arriola | F | 22 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| N. Tolo | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 80 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Roldan | D | 80 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Roldan | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Gómez | D | 69 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Hawkins | D | 21 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ferreira | F | 10 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gomez | M | 60 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Rusnák | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Brunell | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kossa-Rienzi | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Morris | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| C. Clark | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kingston | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Musovski | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Frei | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against Seattle Sounders.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 83% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 8% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 83% confidence — a high-confidence call.