New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union
Match recap
New England Revolution beat Philadelphia Union 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Langoni and Gil scored for New England Revolution; Sands replied for Philadelphia Union. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.05 for New England Revolution versus 1.27 for Philadelphia Union.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-4 Philadelphia Union win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season encounter promises fireworks as Philadelphia Union take on New England Revolution. Both sides boast attacking talent, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Philadelphia's prolific striker Iloski leads scoring
Milan Iloski's 17 goals this season and strong recent form give Philadelphia a clear attacking edge
Carles Gil's dual threat as scorer and creator
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and contributes 4 assists, key to their attacking output
Philadelphia's consistent scoring streak
Philadelphia has scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum
New England missing key midfielder Yusuf
Yusuf's absence due to muscle injury weakens New England's midfield creativity and goal threat
Westfield's assist threat from defense for Philadelphia
Westfield's 8 assists and set-piece role add creative options from the back for Philadelphia
The context
Philadelphia Union have enjoyed a strong run on the road, scoring in their last five away matches, while New England Revolution are missing key midfielder Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi due to injury, which could hamper their midfield creativity.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Iloski's 17 goals this season and recent hot streak give Philadelphia a clear attacking edge.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 28 apps, 6 goals in last 5 games
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists, crucial for their attacking play.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 28 apps, 4 assists in 28 apps
F. Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Westfield's 8 assists and set-piece role add creative options from defence.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 23 apps
- A
Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi
New England Revolution
Yusuf's absence due to muscle injury weakens New England's midfield creativity.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 27 apps
Analysis
Philadelphia's Milan Iloski leads the league with 17 goals and has been in excellent form, netting six times in his last five games. Meanwhile, New England's Carles Gil remains a dual threat, leading his team with 12 goals and contributing assists. Philadelphia's defender F. Westfield adds an extra creative dimension with eight assists this season. The absence of Yusuf for New England may tilt the midfield battle in Philadelphia's favour, potentially influencing the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have won 11 of 19 head-to-head meetings against New England Revolution.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals per game, with Philadelphia scoring 31 and New England 14 in total.
- 3.Milan Iloski leads the league with 17 goals this season, including six in the last five games.
- 4.Carles Gil is New England's top scorer with 12 goals and also provides key assists.
- 5.Philadelphia has scored in their last five away games, showing strong offensive form.
- 6.New England's Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi is out with a muscle injury, impacting midfield creativity.
- 7.F. Westfield leads Philadelphia with 8 assists, adding attacking threat from defence.
- 8.The predicted scoreline is a close 4-3 win for Philadelphia Union.
Prediction
Expect a thrilling encounter with both teams pushing forward. The prediction leans towards a narrow 4-3 victory for Philadelphia Union, capitalising on their attacking momentum and New England's midfield challenges.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
While the match could swing either way, Philadelphia's consistent scoring and key players' form give them the edge in what should be an entertaining, goal-packed contest.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Westfield
Lukić
Yellow Card
Sands (OG)
Vassilev
Yellow Card
Langoni
Assist: Gil
Alladoh
Iloski
Yow
Sullivan
Vassilev
Langoni
Anello
Yellow Card
Gil
Turgeman
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 7G. YowF
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 3B. CeballosD
- 4T. BeasonD
- 8M. PolsterM
- 14J. YueillM
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 32M. FryF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2G. MartínezD
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 26N. HarrielD
- 29O. MakhanyaD
- 39F. WestfieldD
Substitutes
- 9B. DamianiF
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 15O. MbaïzoD
- 16B. BenderM
- 28A. AnelloF
- 51M. JakupovicF
- 66F. SundstromD
- 76A. RickG
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Luca Langoni | F | 79 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Griffin Yow | F | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Peyton Miller | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Ceballos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Fry | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Polster | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 31 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Milan Iloski | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jeremy Rafanello | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Sundstrom | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malik Jakupovic | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Olivier Mbaizo | D | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–4 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 28% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 43% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.