New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

Major League SoccerMatchweek 16
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts · 68,756 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winmedium

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The Round of 16 match between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union promises a tight contest, with both sides boasting key attacking talents and a history of competitive encounters.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time1–1
Philadelphia Union Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
New England Revolution 26%Draw 26%Philadelphia Union 48%

The context

This fixture is part of the 2026 season's knockout phase, where both teams aim to progress further. Philadelphia Union have a historical edge in head-to-head meetings, having won 11 of 19 matches against New England Revolution, who have claimed 5 victories.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Home team's creative midfield strength

Carles Gil's high passing accuracy and assist record provide New England with creative edge

Statistical Edgehigh

Philadelphia's prolific striker advantage

Milan Iloski leads with 19 goals this season, significantly above league average for attackers

Form Momentumhigh

Dor Turgeman's recent scoring form

Turgeman scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing strong finishing form

Tactical Advantagemedium

Set-piece threat from Philadelphia's defenders

Frankie Westfield and Kai Wagner contribute assists and defensive solidity, enhancing attacking options

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible

Analysis

Philadelphia Union's striker Milan Iloski leads the scoring charts with 19 goals this season, showing strong home form and recent impact. New England's Carles Gil offers creativity and goal threat with 13 goals and 7 assists, while Dor Turgeman's recent scoring form adds to their attacking options. Philadelphia's defensive solidity and set-piece threat, notably from Frankie Westfield and Kai Wagner, provide additional attacking avenues. The predicted halftime score of 1-1 suggests a balanced first half before Philadelphia pulls ahead in the second.

Prediction

The forecast is for Philadelphia Union to clinch a 2-1 victory after a 1-1 halftime stalemate. The away side's attacking prowess and historical head-to-head advantage give them the edge in this knockout tie.

Key facts

  1. 1.Philadelphia Union have won 11 of 19 head-to-head matches against New England Revolution.
  2. 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game.
  3. 3.Milan Iloski leads the league with 19 goals this season, a significant threat for Philadelphia.
  4. 4.Carles Gil is New England's top scorer and assister with 13 goals and 7 assists.
  5. 5.Dor Turgeman has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games, showing strong recent form.
  6. 6.Frankie Westfield and Kai Wagner contribute significantly to Philadelphia's set-piece threat.
  7. 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, suggesting a competitive first half.
  8. 8.The match is part of the 2026 Round of 16 knockout phase.

The verdict

Expect a competitive match with moments of quality from key players on both sides. Philadelphia Union's ability to capitalise in the second half should see them through to the next round, but New England Revolution will not go quietly.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — New England Revolution

Carles Gil

Carles Gil

Midfielder

New England Revolution

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.49
34 played
34 starts
3028 mins
~89 mins/game
Dor Turgeman

Dor Turgeman

Attacker

New England Revolution

Total Goals
12
League avg: 1.49
33 played
33 starts
2731 mins
~83 mins/game
Luca Langoni

Luca Langoni

Attacker

New England Revolution

Total Goals
3
League avg: 1.49
25 played
16 starts
1393 mins
~56 mins/game

Away — Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski

M. Iloski

Attacker

Philadelphia Union

Total Goals
19
League avg: 1.49
31 played
30 starts
2553 mins
~82 mins/game
Bruno Damiani

Bruno Damiani

Attacker

Philadelphia Union

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.49
33 played
31 starts
2595 mins
~79 mins/game
Cavan  Sullivan

Cavan Sullivan

Midfielder

Philadelphia Union

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.49
29 played
21 starts
1869 mins
~64 mins/game

Prediction generated 10 Nov 2026, 06:18 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Fipster's AI model predicts Philadelphia Union to win against New England Revolution.
What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Fipster predicts a final score of New England Revolution 1–2 Philadelphia Union.
What are the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Fipster's model gives New England Revolution a 26% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 48% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.