New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC
New England Revolution surge past Orlando City
A late flurry of goals seals a 4-2 victory for the home side.
New England Revolution overturned expectations with a 4-2 win over Orlando City SC, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win. Carles Gil and P. Miller were pivotal, each scoring twice, including crucial goals in stoppage time that put the result beyond doubt. Orlando City fought back with goals from I. Angulo and a late penalty by M. Ojeda, but it wasn't enough to prevent the Revolution from securing a dominant home victory.
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and Orlando City SC promises an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Orlando's attacking midfield firepower
Griezmann's 7 goals in last 5 games and Ellis's 4 assists provide Orlando a creative edge.
New England's reliable scorer Carles Gil
Gil's 10 goals this season and 4 in last 5 games make him a consistent threat.
Orlando's recent scoring streak
Orlando has scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available to influence the match.
The context
This match is part of the 26th round of the MLS regular season. Both sides have been active in front of goal recently, with Orlando City boasting a strong away scoring streak and New England relying on key attacking midfielders to create chances.
Key insights
Antoine Griezmann
Orlando City SC
Griezmann's 7 goals in 9 games, including 7 in his last 5, provide Orlando with a potent attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 9 apps, 0.78 goals/game
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil's consistent scoring with 10 goals this season and 4 in the last 5 games makes him a key player for New England's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 24 apps, 0.42 goals/game
Justin Ellis
Orlando City SC
Ellis's 7 assists this season, including 4 in the last 5 games, highlight his creative influence for Orlando.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 17 apps, 0.41 assists/game
Analysis
Orlando City SC's attacking midfield duo, Antoine Griezmann and Justin Ellis, have been in fine form, combining for 11 goals and 11 assists this season. Griezmann's remarkable scoring rate of 7 goals in 9 games, including a purple patch of 7 goals in his last 5 outings, gives Orlando a creative edge. Meanwhile, New England's Carles Gil remains a consistent threat with 10 goals this season and 4 in his last 5 games, ensuring the Revolution won't be pushovers. Orlando's recent away scoring streak adds to their momentum, but New England's defensive stalwart E. Kohler will be key to keeping things tight. With both teams fielding their full squads, expect a competitive and entertaining match.
Key facts
- 1.Orlando City SC have scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 2.Carles Gil has scored 10 goals this season, including 4 in his last 5 games, making him New England's key threat.
- 3.Antoine Griezmann has netted 7 goals in 9 games for Orlando City, with 7 goals in his last 5 matches.
- 4.Justin Ellis leads Orlando with 7 assists this season, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- 5.Both teams have full squad availability with no confirmed injuries or suspensions.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Orlando City SC with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a balanced first half before Orlando edges ahead in the second. Despite the close score, the prediction confidence is low, suggesting this could be a finely balanced contest with plenty of twists.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Orlando City SC
The verdict
In summary, expect a thrilling encounter with plenty of goals and attacking flair. Orlando City's recent form and creative firepower might just be enough to secure a narrow victory, but New England Revolution will certainly make them work for it.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Raines
Yellow Card
Gil
Assist: Yueill
Luis Otávio
Spicer
Sands
Yellow Card
Miller
Angulo
Yueill
Pasalic
Rhein Goncalves
Feingold
Yellow Card
Ojeda
Penalty
Gazdag
Miller
Miller
Yellow Card
Gerbet
Polster
Gil
Assist: Turgeman
Turgeman
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 8M. PolsterD
- 10Carles GilM
- 14J. YueillM
- 16D. GazdagF
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerF
- 30M. TurnerG
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 15C. BakerD
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 27W. HarrisF
- 65J. SiqueiraF
- 66J. WynderD
- 73JD GunnG
- 77D. FagundezM
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4D. BrekaloD
- 5Luis OtávioM
- 6R. JanssonD
- 10M. OjedaF
- 14T. SpicerM
- 22Justin EllisF
- 35Joran GerbetM
- 44Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesD
- 71M. CrépeauG
- 77I. AnguloD
- 87Marco PasalicM
Substitutes
- 3Adrián MarínD
- 9D. DikeF
- 11TiagoF
- 12Javier OteroG
- 16W. CartagenaM
- 19Z. TaifiM
- 20E. AtuestaM
- 23Harvey SarajianF
- 27Vinícius NogueiraD
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 96 | 9.7 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Peyton Miller | F | 96 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 96 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | F | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Matt Turner | G | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Polster | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| William Sands | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilson Harris | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Wynder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JD Gunn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Judah Siqueira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martín Ojeda | F | 96 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Iván Angulo | D | 96 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Joran Gerbet | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Justin Ellis | F | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Marco Pašalić | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Otávio | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Rhein | D | 77 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tyrese Spicer | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| David Brekalo | D | 96 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robin Jansson(C) | D | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 96 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wilder Cartagena | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Marín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Otero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Nogueira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Souza | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Atuesta | M | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | M | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Daryl Dike | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Orlando City SC to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 2–3 Orlando City SC.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 32% chance of winning, Orlando City SC a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.