New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls
Turgeman's brace seals Revolution win
New England edge out Red Bulls in a tight 3-2 contest.
D. Turgeman's early strike set the tone for New England Revolution, who doubled their lead just after the break. Despite a spirited fightback from New York Red Bulls with goals from C. Cowell and J. Hall, D. Gazdag's late goal ensured the home side held on for a narrow 3-2 victory. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls promises a closely contested encounter. Both teams have shown attacking prowess, but the Revolution's creative midfield and home advantage could prove decisive.
Match factors
Home team's creative midfield edge
Carles Gil's high goal and assist output gives New England a creative advantage
Away team's reliance on Julian Hall for goals
Julian Hall leads New York Red Bulls with 11 goals, crucial for their attack
Dor Turgeman's strong recent away scoring
Turgeman scored 3 goals in last 5 away games, boosting New England's attack
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed absences affecting key players
The context
This match is part of the 32nd round of the regular season. Historically, New York Red Bulls hold a slight edge in head-to-head wins, but New England have been competitive, with an average of 2.8 goals per meeting. Both sides enter this fixture with full squads available, setting the stage for an open contest.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil's 11 goals and 6 assists this season give New England a creative midfield advantage crucial for breaking down the Red Bulls' defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals and 6 assists in 29 apps
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Turgeman's strong away form, with 3 goals in his last 5 away games, boosts New England's attacking threat in this fixture.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 28 apps, including 3 in last 5 away games
Julian Hall
New York Red Bulls
Hall leads New York's scoring with 11 goals, making him a key player to watch for the away side's attacking hopes.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 27 apps
Analysis
New England Revolution's midfield maestro Carles Gil stands out with 11 goals and 6 assists this season, providing a creative edge. Dor Turgeman's recent away form, with 3 goals in his last 5 away games, adds further attacking threat. Meanwhile, New York's Julian Hall leads their scoring charts with 11 goals, making him a key player to watch. The predicted 0-0 halftime score suggests a cautious start before New England pull ahead in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.New York Red Bulls lead head-to-head with 9 wins to New England Revolution's 7 in 20 meetings.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.8, with New England scoring 25 and New York 31 in total.
- 3.Carles Gil has scored 11 goals and provided 6 assists this season for New England Revolution.
- 4.Dor Turgeman has 9 goals this season, including 3 in his last 5 away games.
- 5.Julian Hall is New York Red Bulls' top scorer with 11 goals this season.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, both squads are at full strength.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- 8.Total cards predicted for the match is 4.
Prediction
The forecast is a home win for New England Revolution by 2-1. The first half is expected to be tight and goalless, with the decisive goals coming later. A total of four cards is anticipated, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — New York Red Bulls
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a New England victory, the low confidence rating advises caution. Both teams have the quality to influence the outcome, but the Revolution's creative midfield and home advantage may just tip the scales in their favour.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 01:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Turgeman
Assist: Gil
Donkor
Yellow Card
Feingold
Yellow Card
Parker
Turgeman
Assist: Langoni
Nealis
Yellow Card
Cowell
Assist: Donkor
Feingold
Yueill
Sofo
Sands
Hall
Assist: Forsberg
Cowell
Hall
Yellow Card
Langoni
Gazdag
Donkor
Ruvalcaba
Siqueira
Yellow Card
Turgeman
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 10Carles GilM
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 14J. YueillM
- 16D. GazdagM
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniM
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 2M. FofanaD
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 8M. PolsterM
- 15C. BakerD
- 25P. MillerD
- 33D. ParisianG
- 65J. SiqueiraM
- 77D. FagundezM
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. Marshall-RuttyD
- 7C. CowellF
- 11J. RuvalcabaF
- 12D. NealisD
- 15A. MehmetiM
- 16J. HallF
- 26T. ParkerD
- 34E. HorvathG
- 37M. SofoM
- 48R. DonkorM
- 59D. PadelfordD
Substitutes
- 8D. RuízM
- 10E. ForsbergM
- 13E. Choupo-MotingF
- 17C. HarperF
- 45C. FaelloD
- 56M. Dos SantosD
- 60S. KoneM
- 77J. McCarthyG
- 79R. MosqueraF
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Turgeman | F | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gazdag | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Polster | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | D | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Fofana | D | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Yow | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Yueill | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Langoni | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| C. Baker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Parisian | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 5 | 1 | — |
| C. Cowell | F | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Harper | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| R. Mosquera | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Nealis | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| E. Forsberg | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| D. Padelford | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Donkor | M | 84 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Sofo | M | 63 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Parker | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kone | M | 6 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Horvath | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dos Santos | D | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Faello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ruíz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McCarthy | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Choupo-Moting | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against New York Red Bulls.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 44% chance of winning, New York Red Bulls a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.