New England Revolution vs New York City FC
New York City FC snatches draw at Revolution
J. Sands' stoppage-time equaliser denies New England a win.
New England Revolution looked set for victory after D. Turgeman's first-half strike, despite Carles Gil missing a penalty earlier on. However, J. Sands ensured New York City FC salvaged a point with a goal just after the break. This 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a New England win.
Outcome probability
As the regular season rolls on, New England Revolution and New York City FC prepare to clash in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, but the Revolution's home form and midfield creativity could prove decisive.
Match factors
Home Midfield Creativity and Scoring
Carles Gil's 7 goals and 3 assists this season provide New England a creative edge in midfield.
Prolific Scorer in Away Team
Nicolás Fernández leads with 13 goals, significantly above league average for attackers.
New England's Home Scoring Form
New England averages 1.9 goals per home game, supporting predicted 2 goals in this match.
Defensive Midfield Stability
Jack Harrison's perfect duel win rate and tackling prowess bolster New England's midfield defense.
New York City's Consistent Scoring Streak
NYCFC has scored in last 5 games, indicating offensive consistency despite defensive vulnerabilities.
The context
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 21. New England Revolution have been strong at home, averaging nearly two goals per game, while New York City FC have maintained a consistent scoring streak in their recent outings. The fixture offers a chance for both teams to boost their league standing with a crucial win.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Leads team scoring with 7 goals and 3 assists, providing key creativity and finishing at home.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances
Nicolás Fernández Mercau
New York City FC
Top scorer with 13 goals, a constant threat to opposition defences.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 18 appearances
- J
Jack Harrison
New England Revolution
Defensive midfielder with perfect duel win rate recently, bolstering midfield stability.
Major League Soccer 26/27100% duel win rate in recent appearance
Analysis
New England's midfield dynamo Carles Gil leads the charge with seven goals and three assists this season, providing a creative edge that could unlock New York City's defence. Meanwhile, Nicolás Fernández Mercau remains a potent threat for NYCFC, boasting 13 goals and a knack for finding the net. Defensively, New England's Jack Harrison offers stability with his impressive duel win rate, which might just frustrate the visitors' attacking efforts. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests the Revolution will start strong, with New York City FC pushing back in the second half but ultimately falling short.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution average 1.9 goals per home game this season.
- 2.Carles Gil leads New England with 7 goals and 3 assists in 19 appearances.
- 3.Nicolás Fernández Mercau is New York City's top scorer with 13 goals in 18 games.
- 4.Jack Harrison boasts a 100% duel win rate recently, strengthening New England's midfield.
- 5.New York City FC have scored in their last 5 matches, showing consistent offensive threat.
- 6.The most probable halftime score is 1-0, aligning with the predicted final scoreline of 2-1.
- 7.Home win outcomes have the highest combined probability at nearly 64%.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for New England Revolution, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. Expect the home side to take the initiative early on, leveraging their midfield creativity and home scoring form. New York City FC will respond, likely pulling one back, but the Revolution should hold firm to claim all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — New York City FC
The verdict
In summary, New England Revolution's blend of home advantage, midfield ingenuity, and defensive resilience sets them up nicely for a narrow win over New York City FC. Fans can anticipate a competitive match with goals at both ends, but ultimately the home side will have the last say.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gil
Missed Penalty · Assist: Gil
Turgeman
Assist: Miller
Shore
Gray
Sands
Assist: Talles Magno
Talles Magno
Parks
Yellow Card
Yueill
Perea
Traoré
Harrison
Yellow Card
Polster
Harrison
Turgeman
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 8M. PolsterD
- 10Carles GilM
- 11J. HarrisonF
- 14J. YueillM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerF
- 30M. TurnerG
- 80A. YusufM
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 15C. BakerD
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 27W. HarrisF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 65J. SiqueiraF
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
New York City FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Nico CavalloD
- 6J. SandsD
- 7N. Fernández MercauF
- 8A. PereaM
- 9B. TraoréM
- 11Talles MagnoF
- 23Maxwell MurrayD
- 24T. GrayD
- 26A. OjedaM
- 32J. ShoreM
- 49M. FreeseG
Substitutes
- 15K. PierreM
- 18G. RanjitsinghG
- 20Luighi HanriF
- 22K. O'TooleD
- 30T. RomeroG
- 34Raul GustavoD
- 35M. IleničD
- 55K. ParksM
- 88M. JonesF
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Miller | M | 88 | 9.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Matt Turner | G | 88 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Polster | D | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | M | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 81 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Wilson Harris | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Judah Siqueira | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New York City FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese(C) | G | 88 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Sands | D | 88 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | F | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1/3 |
| Talles Magno | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Andrés Perea | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bénie Traoré | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Shore | M | 40 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | D | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Max Murray | D | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 40 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gregory Ranjitsingh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malachi Jones | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Pierre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Romero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mitja Ilenič | D | 48 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Keaton Parks | M | 48 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Kevin O'Toole | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 43 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |