New England Revolution vs Inter Miami
Inter Miami snatches win at New England
Messi's strike seals a comeback victory in a tight MLS clash
New England Revolution took the lead through D. Gazdag early in the second half, but Inter Miami fought back with goals from G. Berterame and L. Messi to secure a 2-1 win. The match swung in Miami's favour after the break, with Messi's goal in the 83rd minute proving decisive. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a New England win, marking a notable upset.
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and Inter Miami promises an exciting contest. Both teams have shown attacking prowess this season, setting the scene for a closely fought encounter with plenty of goals.
Match factors
Turgeman's recent scoring surge
Dor Turgeman has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games, well above league average for attackers
Messi's dominant attacking form
Lionel Messi leads with 25 goals and 12 assists this season, a major threat for Inter Miami
Gil's creative midfield role
Carles Gil's high assist and goal numbers indicate he will be key in unlocking Inter Miami's defense
Miller's assist form improving
Peyton Miller has 3 assists in last 5 games, showing growing influence in attack
Yusuf's defensive impact
Alhassan Yusuf's tackling and interceptions exceed league averages, crucial to midfield defense
The context
This match is part of the 33rd round of the MLS regular season. New England Revolution and Inter Miami have met 11 times before, with Inter Miami holding a slight edge in wins. Their previous encounters have been goal-rich affairs, averaging nearly four goals per game.
Key insights
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Dor Turgeman has been in blistering form, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key threat for the home side.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 30 appearances, 1.0 avg goals last 5 games
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Carles Gil's creativity shines through with 13 goals and 6 assists this season, crucial for unlocking Inter Miami's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals and 6 assists in 31 appearances
- L
Lionel Messi Cuccittini
Inter Miami
Messi leads the league with 25 goals and 12 assists, a constant danger for New England's backline.
Major League Soccer 26/2725 goals and 12 assists in 28 appearances
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for New England Revolution, supported by a strong aggregate probability favouring them. The most likely full-time score is 3-2, indicating a competitive and high-scoring match. A 1-1 halftime score suggests both sides will be evenly matched in the first half, with New England edging ahead in the second. Key players like Dor Turgeman, who has netted 5 goals in his last 5 games, and Carles Gil, a creative force with 13 goals and 6 assists, will be crucial for New England. On the other side, Inter Miami's Lionel Messi Cuccittini, the league's top scorer with 25 goals, will pose a significant threat.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution have a 73.1% probability of winning this match.
- 2.The most probable full-time scoreline is 3-2 in favour of New England Revolution.
- 3.A 1-1 halftime score is the most likely scenario, indicating a tight first half.
- 4.Previous head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals per game, suggesting an open game.
- 5.Dor Turgeman has scored 5 goals in his last 5 games, showing excellent form.
- 6.Lionel Messi Cuccittini leads the league with 25 goals this season.
- 7.Carles Gil has contributed 13 goals and 6 assists, key to New England's creativity.
- 8.Inter Miami has won 7 of the 11 previous meetings against New England Revolution.
Prediction
We predict New England Revolution to secure a 3-2 victory after a 1-1 draw at halftime. The home side's recent form and attacking talents should give them the edge in this closely contested match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Inter Miami
The verdict
In summary, expect a thrilling MLS encounter with New England Revolution narrowly overcoming Inter Miami. The match should provide plenty of entertainment, with goals aplenty and standout performances from key attackers on both sides.
Prediction generated 29 Oct 2026, 01:37 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luján
Yellow Card
Gazdag
Assist: Feingold
Bright
Luján
Berterame
Assist: Messi
Riquelme Fillipi
Galarza
Yellow Card
Feingold
Messi
Assist: Segovia
Segovia
Yellow Card
Polster
Goal cancelled
Segovia
Berterame
Kohler
Langoni
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 16D. GazdagM
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerM
- 30M. TurnerG
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 2M. FofanaD
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 14J. YueillM
- 33D. ParisianG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 77D. FagundezM
- 80A. YusufM
- 88A. FarrellD
Inter Miami
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2G. LujánD
- 5CasemiroD
- 7R. De PaulM
- 8T. SegoviaM
- 10L. MessiF
- 11Riquelme FillipiF
- 16MicaelD
- 17I. FrayD
- 19G. BerterameF
- 42Y. BrightM
- 97D. St. ClairG
Substitutes
- 3ReguilónD
- 4F. MuraD
- 9L. SuárezF
- 20S. MoralesM
- 22D. AyalaM
- 34R. Ríos NovoG
- 37M. FalcónD
- 56Daniel PinterF
- 80M. GalarzaM
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gazdag | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/6 |
| I. Feingold | D | 76 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0/1 |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Polster | M | 85 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| E. Kohler | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| P. Miller | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| W. Sands | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Turgeman | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/4 |
| L. Langoni | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Yusuf | M | 14 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Parisian | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Farrell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Yow | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter Miami
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Messi | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| G. Berterame | F | 93 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 4 | — |
| T. Segovia | M | 93 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Casemiro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. De Paul | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Micael | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Suárez | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reguilón | D | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Bright | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. St. Clair | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Luján | D | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Fray | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Galarza | M | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Pinter | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Mura | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Falcón | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ayala | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ríos Novo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Morales | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against Inter Miami.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 Inter Miami.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 79% chance of winning, Inter Miami a 10% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.