New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati
Match recap
New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 6–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Ceballos, Turgeman, Ceballos, Yusuf, Yow, and Miller scored for New England Revolution; Valenzuela replied for FC Cincinnati. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.49 for New England Revolution versus 1.09 for FC Cincinnati.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 New England Revolution win
Actual
6–1
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati promises an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a competitive match with plenty of goals.
Match factors
New England's Creative Midfield Edge
Carles Gil's 12 goals and 4 assists this season provide New England a strong creative and scoring presence in midfield.
Cincinnati's Reliance on Denkey
K. Denkey leads Cincinnati with 13 goals and is their main attacking threat, crucial for their scoring chances.
Turgeman's Consistent Scoring Form
Dor Turgeman has 7 goals and 7 assists this season, showing consistent offensive contributions for New England.
Evander's Doubtful Status Caps Impact
Evander is a key scorer and assister for Cincinnati but doubtful status limits his predicted impact to 0.5 probability.
New England's Home Scoring Strength
New England averages 1.86 goals per home game, higher than Cincinnati's 1.6 away average, favoring the home side's attack.
The context
This is the fourth round of the MLS regular season, where New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati have met 17 times previously. New England have a slight edge with 7 wins to Cincinnati's 6, and 4 draws. Their head-to-head matches typically produce an average of 3.5 goals, indicating an open and entertaining style of play.
Key insights

Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Carles Gil's 12 goals and 4 assists provide New England a strong creative and scoring presence in midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals and 4 assists this season

K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati
K. Denkey leads Cincinnati with 13 goals and is their main attacking threat, crucial for their scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals this season

Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Dor Turgeman has 7 goals and 7 assists this season, showing consistent offensive contributions for New England.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 7 assists this season

Evander
FC Cincinnati
Evander is a key scorer and assister for Cincinnati but doubtful status limits his predicted impact.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals and 8 assists this season
Analysis
New England Revolution boast a strong home scoring record, averaging 1.86 goals per game, slightly better than Cincinnati's 1.6 away average. Key to New England's attacking threat is midfielder Carles Gil, who leads the team with 12 goals and 4 assists this season, providing both creativity and finishing. Dor Turgeman also contributes significantly with 7 goals and 7 assists, adding to their offensive depth. On the other side, FC Cincinnati rely heavily on K. Denkey, their top scorer with 13 goals, who has been in excellent recent form. However, Cincinnati's creative midfielder Evander faces a late fitness test, which could limit their attacking options.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution have won 7 of 17 head-to-head matches against FC Cincinnati.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, indicating open play.
- 3.New England average 1.86 goals per home game this season.
- 4.FC Cincinnati average 1.6 goals per away game this season.
- 5.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 6.K. Denkey is FC Cincinnati's top scorer with 13 goals this season.
- 7.Dor Turgeman has contributed 7 goals and 7 assists for New England this season.
- 8.Evander is doubtful for FC Cincinnati, potentially impacting their creativity.
Prediction
We predict a 3-2 victory for New England Revolution, with a halftime score of 2-1. The home side's attacking strength and creative midfield edge should see them narrowly outscore FC Cincinnati in a thrilling contest. Expect goals from key players like Carles Gil and Dor Turgeman to make the difference.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution



Away — FC Cincinnati
The verdict
In what should be a closely fought MLS regular season match, New England Revolution's home advantage and attacking quality give them the edge over FC Cincinnati. Fans can look forward to an entertaining game with plenty of goalmouth action and a narrow home win.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Langoni
Yellow Card
Valenzuela
Assist: Evander
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Yellow Card
Ceballos
Assist: Langoni
Ceballos
Yellow Card
Turgeman
Assist: Langoni
Yellow Card
Ceballos
Assist: Langoni
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
Unknown
Unknown
Yusuf
Polster
Yellow Card
Robinson
Valenzuela
Red Card
Feingold
Langoni
Smith
Polster
Yow
Gil
Yusuf
Miller
Assist: Turgeman
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniM
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 5K. HughesD
- 7G. YowF
- 14J. YueillM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 25P. MillerD
- 32M. FryF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 77D. FagundezM
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2Starting XI
- 10EvanderF
- 12M. RobinsonD
- 18R. CelentanoG
- 22G. ValenzuelaM
- 24K. SmithM
- 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
Substitutes
- 9K. DenkeyF
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayan Ceballos | D | 98 | 9.5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 98 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 88 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Matt Turner | G | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Langoni | M | 73 | 7.9 | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Matt Polster | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| William Sands | D | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Hughes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Fry | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peyton Miller | D | 12 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | 25 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evander | F | 98 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | M | 69 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Kyle Smith | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Ramirez | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Miles Robinson(C) | D | 61 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Celentano | G | 98 | 4.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kévin Denkey | F | 53 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against FC Cincinnati.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 FC Cincinnati.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 60% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.




