New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati

Major League SoccerMatchweek 4
Ref: Lorenzo Hernandez, USAGillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts · 68,756 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinmediumHit

Match recap

New England Revolution beat FC Cincinnati 6–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Ceballos, Turgeman, Ceballos, Yusuf, Yow, and Miller scored for New England Revolution; Valenzuela replied for FC Cincinnati. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.49 for New England Revolution versus 1.09 for FC Cincinnati.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

3-2 New England Revolution win

Actual

6–1

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

New England Revolution 60%Draw 20%FC Cincinnati 20%

The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati promises an exciting encounter. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a competitive match with plenty of goals.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

New England's Creative Midfield Edge

Carles Gil's 12 goals and 4 assists this season provide New England a strong creative and scoring presence in midfield.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Cincinnati's Reliance on Denkey

K. Denkey leads Cincinnati with 13 goals and is their main attacking threat, crucial for their scoring chances.

Form Momentumhigh

Turgeman's Consistent Scoring Form

Dor Turgeman has 7 goals and 7 assists this season, showing consistent offensive contributions for New England.

Injury Impactmedium

Evander's Doubtful Status Caps Impact

Evander is a key scorer and assister for Cincinnati but doubtful status limits his predicted impact to 0.5 probability.

Statistical Edgemedium

New England's Home Scoring Strength

New England averages 1.86 goals per home game, higher than Cincinnati's 1.6 away average, favoring the home side's attack.

The context

This is the fourth round of the MLS regular season, where New England Revolution and FC Cincinnati have met 17 times previously. New England have a slight edge with 7 wins to Cincinnati's 6, and 4 draws. Their head-to-head matches typically produce an average of 3.5 goals, indicating an open and entertaining style of play.

Analysis

New England Revolution boast a strong home scoring record, averaging 1.86 goals per game, slightly better than Cincinnati's 1.6 away average. Key to New England's attacking threat is midfielder Carles Gil, who leads the team with 12 goals and 4 assists this season, providing both creativity and finishing. Dor Turgeman also contributes significantly with 7 goals and 7 assists, adding to their offensive depth. On the other side, FC Cincinnati rely heavily on K. Denkey, their top scorer with 13 goals, who has been in excellent recent form. However, Cincinnati's creative midfielder Evander faces a late fitness test, which could limit their attacking options.

Key facts

  1. 1.New England Revolution have won 7 of 17 head-to-head matches against FC Cincinnati.
  2. 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.5 goals, indicating open play.
  3. 3.New England average 1.86 goals per home game this season.
  4. 4.FC Cincinnati average 1.6 goals per away game this season.
  5. 5.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists this season.
  6. 6.K. Denkey is FC Cincinnati's top scorer with 13 goals this season.
  7. 7.Dor Turgeman has contributed 7 goals and 7 assists for New England this season.
  8. 8.Evander is doubtful for FC Cincinnati, potentially impacting their creativity.

Prediction

We predict a 3-2 victory for New England Revolution, with a halftime score of 2-1. The home side's attacking strength and creative midfield edge should see them narrowly outscore FC Cincinnati in a thrilling contest. Expect goals from key players like Carles Gil and Dor Turgeman to make the difference.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — New England Revolution

Carles Gil

Carles Gil

Midfielder

New England Revolution

Total Goals
12
League avg: 1.29
27 played
27 starts
2430 mins
~90 mins/game
Dor Turgeman

Dor Turgeman

Attacker

New England Revolution

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.29
26 played
26 starts
2139 mins
~82 mins/game
Peyton Miller

Peyton Miller

Attacker

New England Revolution

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.29
24 played
18 starts
1717 mins
~72 mins/game

Away — FC Cincinnati

K. Denkey

K. Denkey

Attacker

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.29
21 played
20 starts
1767 mins
~84 mins/game
Evander

Evander

Midfielder

FC Cincinnati

Total Goals
10
League avg: 1.29
21 played
20 starts
1719 mins
~82 mins/game

The verdict

In what should be a closely fought MLS regular season match, New England Revolution's home advantage and attacking quality give them the edge over FC Cincinnati. Fans can look forward to an entertaining game with plenty of goalmouth action and a narrow home win.

Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against FC Cincinnati.
What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 FC Cincinnati.
What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs FC Cincinnati?
Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 60% chance of winning, FC Cincinnati a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.