New England Revolution vs DC United
Match recap
New England Revolution beat DC United 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Yusuf scored for New England Revolution. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.80 for New England Revolution versus 0.99 for DC United.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 New England Revolution win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season match between New England Revolution and DC United promises to be a nail-biter. Both teams boast attacking talents capable of lighting up the scoreboard, setting the stage for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
Midfield creativity hampered by Yusuf's absence
New England misses Alhassan Yusuf (5 goals this season) due to muscle injury, reducing midfield goal threat.
Carles Gil's dual threat boosts New England attack
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists, showing strong form and key role in scoring and creating.
DC United's Baribo is a potent scoring threat
Tai Baribo has 14 goals this season, strong home scoring form, posing a challenge to New England defense.
New England's attacking trio in good recent form
Turgeman, Gil, and Miller have combined recent goals and assists, supporting predicted 3 goals scored.
Kurokawa's assist ability strengthens DC United's wing play
Kurokawa's 6 assists and consistent starts provide DC United with quality service from defense.
The context
This fixture is part of the MLS regular season's seventh round, where both sides are eager to climb the standings. New England Revolution have a historical edge in their head-to-head meetings, having won more than half of their past 20 encounters against DC United. The average goals per match in these clashes hover just above three, indicating a tendency for open, attacking football.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists, playing a key role in both scoring and creating chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 28 apps, 0.43 goals/game
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Turgeman is a top scorer and assister for New England, with 7 goals and 7 assists, showing strong recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 7 assists in 27 apps
Tai Baribo
DC United
Baribo is DC United's leading scorer with 14 goals, posing a significant threat to New England's defense.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 apps, 0.67 goals/game
Keisuke Kurokawa
DC United
Kurokawa provides quality service from defense with 6 assists, strengthening DC United's wing play.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 28 apps, 0.21 assists/game
- A
Alhassan Yusuf
New England Revolution
Yusuf's absence due to muscle injury reduces New England's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals this season before injury
Analysis
New England Revolution's attacking trio of Carles Gil, Dor Turgeman, and Peyton Miller have been in good recent form, combining goals and assists that suggest a potent offensive threat. Gil leads the charge with 12 goals this season, supported by Turgeman's seven goals and seven assists. DC United's main danger comes from Tai Baribo, their leading scorer with 14 goals, and Keisuke Kurokawa, who provides quality service from the back with six assists. However, New England will miss the creativity of Alhassan Yusuf, sidelined with a muscle injury, which could slightly blunt their midfield spark. The prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair with New England just edging it 3-2.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution have won 12 of the last 20 meetings against DC United.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals per game, indicating open play.
- 3.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals this season.
- 4.Tai Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals.
- 5.Alhassan Yusuf is out with a muscle injury, impacting New England's midfield creativity.
- 6.Dor Turgeman has 7 goals and 7 assists this season, showing strong form.
- 7.Keisuke Kurokawa provides 6 assists from defense for DC United.
- 8.Prediction expects a total of 4 cards in the match.
Prediction
We anticipate New England Revolution to secure a narrow 3-2 victory over DC United. The home side's attacking prowess, particularly from Gil and Turgeman, should be enough to overcome the threat posed by Baribo and Kurokawa. Expect a lively match with goals at both ends and a few cards along the way.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — DC United
The verdict
In summary, this MLS regular season fixture is set to deliver excitement and goals. New England Revolution's recent attacking form and historical head-to-head advantage give them the slight edge to claim a 3-2 win. Fans should prepare for a thrilling contest with plenty of action.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:10 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yusuf
Assist: Turgeman
Yueill
Pirani
Langoni
Servania
Hopkins
Bartlett
Unknown
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 14J. YueillM
- 21B. RainesM
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniM
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 22E. KohlerD
- 25P. MillerD
- 33D. ParisianG
- 38Eric KleinM
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 10Gabriel PiraniF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 22A. HerreraM
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 25J. HopkinsF
Substitutes
- 8J. StroudM
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 12C. AntleyD
- 17J. MurrellF
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 30C. ClarkM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
- 77Hosei KijimaM
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Brayan Ceballos | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/6 |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Jackson Yueill | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Luca Langoni | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Klein | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Peyton Miller | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| João Peglow | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Brandon Servania | M | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | F | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nikola Markovic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caden Clark | M | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 35% chance of winning, DC United a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.