New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew
Match recap
New England Revolution beat Columbus Crew 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Turgeman and Gil scored for New England Revolution; Arfsten replied for Columbus Crew. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.23 for New England Revolution versus 0.95 for Columbus Crew.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 New England Revolution win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
The New England Revolution and Columbus Crew face off in what promises to be a lively MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown attacking intent, setting the stage for a high-scoring and closely contested game.
Match factors
Key Midfield Absences for New England
Yusuf and Harrison are confirmed out, reducing midfield creativity and defensive cover
Defensive Weakness Due to Fofana's Absence
Fofana's confirmed absence weakens New England's defense, increasing vulnerability
Carles Gil's Dual Threat Role
Gil leads New England in goals (12) and assists (4), key to their attacking success
Turgeman and Miller's Recent Scoring Form
Both have scored in recent matches, boosting New England's goal threat
Columbus Reliance on Rossi
Rossi is Columbus's main scorer but recent form is subdued, limiting threat
The context
This fixture is part of the MLS regular season's eighth round. Historically, Columbus Crew have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but New England Revolution have been building momentum at home. Both sides will be eager to secure valuable points early in the campaign.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil leads New England in goals and assists, making him central to their attacking threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 28 apps, 0.43 goals/game
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Turgeman's recent scoring form and strong connection with teammates boost New England's offensive options.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 27 apps, 0.26 goals/game
Maximilian Arfsten
Columbus Crew
Arfsten's creativity and assist tally are vital for Columbus's chance creation despite recent moderate form.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 17 apps, 0.24 assists/game
Diego Rossi
Columbus Crew
Rossi remains Columbus's main goal threat, though his recent form has cooled, limiting his impact.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 15 apps, 0.40 goals/game
Analysis
New England Revolution boast a strong attacking line-up led by Carles Gil, who tops their scoring charts with 12 goals this season and has been particularly effective at home. His partnership with Dor Turgeman and Peyton Miller adds further firepower, with both players contributing goals recently. However, New England's midfield creativity is slightly hampered by the absence of key players like Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi and Mamadou Fofana, which could test their defensive resilience.
Columbus Crew rely heavily on Diego Rossi for goals, though his recent form has cooled somewhat. Maximilian Arfsten provides creativity and assists, but the team may struggle to contain New England's attacking threats. The prediction leans towards a home win, reflecting New England's offensive edge and home advantage.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution lead the predicted outcome with a 75% probability of winning.
- 2.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 3-2 in favour of New England Revolution.
- 3.Halftime score prediction is 2-1, consistent with the fulltime forecast.
- 4.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals this season, a key offensive threat.
- 5.Maximilian Arfsten is Columbus Crew's top assister with 4 assists this season.
- 6.Diego Rossi is Columbus's main scorer with 6 goals but has been less prolific recently.
- 7.New England's midfield creativity is impacted by the absence of Alhassan Yusuf Abdullahi and Mamadou Fofana.
Prediction
We anticipate a thrilling 3-2 victory for New England Revolution. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 2-1 in favour of the hosts, with both teams finding the net early. The match should feature a handful of cards, adding to the competitive atmosphere.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Columbus Crew
The verdict
In summary, New England Revolution's attacking prowess and home form should see them narrowly overcome Columbus Crew in a match full of goals and excitement. Fans can look forward to a closely fought contest with plenty of action on the pitch.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:32 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ceballos
Arfsten
Assist: Rossi
Turgeman
Assist: Langoni
Gazdag
Picard
André Gomes
Yellow Card
Turner
Yellow Card
Gil
Penalty
Langoni
Arfsten
Yellow Card
André Gomes
Moreira
Turgeman
Camacho
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 3B. CeballosD
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerM
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniM
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 25P. MillerD
- 35C. OliveiraM
- 38Eric KleinM
- 73JD GunnG
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4R. CamachoD
- 7D. ChambostM
- 8D. GazdagF
- 10D. RossiF
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 20André GomesM
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 27M. ArfstenM
- 28P. SchulteG
- 30H. PicardM
- 31S. MoreiraD
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 2M. HerreraD
- 12Cesar RuvalcabaD
- 14A. SejdićM
- 17S. BangouraM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 21Y. CheberkoD
- 45Owen PresthusD
- 90N. AxundzadəF
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dor Turgeman | F | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/4 |
| Ethan Kohler | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Langoni | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Ceballos | D | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Oliveira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Klein | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JD Gunn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Peyton Miller | D | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Chambost | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Maximilian Arfsten | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/5 |
| Sean Zawadzki(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Rossi | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Andre Gomes | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Patrick Schulte | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Gazdag | F | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Malte Amundsen | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Moreira | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rudy Camacho | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amar Sejdic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesar Ruvalcaba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Presthus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Hagen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yevhen Cheberko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marcelo Herrera | D | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jamal Thiare | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against Columbus Crew.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 Columbus Crew.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 68% chance of winning, Columbus Crew a 16% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.