New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire
Polster's strike secures Revolution win
New England Revolution edge past Chicago Fire with a solitary goal.
A single goal from M. Polster in the first half was enough for New England Revolution to claim a narrow 1-0 victory over Chicago Fire in this Major League Soccer clash. Despite Fipster predicting a more high-scoring affair, the low-confidence call for a home win was ultimately correct. The match was a tight contest, with the Revolution holding on to their slim lead to take all three points.
Outcome probability
The upcoming MLS regular season fixture between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire promises an entertaining contest, with both sides boasting attacking talents capable of lighting up the scoreboard.
Match factors
New England's attacking midfield strength
Carles Gil's high goal and assist output and captaincy provide New England a creative edge.
Chicago's reliance on Cuypers for goals
Cuypers' exceptional scoring rate (13 goals in 11 games) is key, but recent drought may limit impact.
Dor Turgeman's recent scoring form
Turgeman has 3 goals in last 5 matches away, boosting New England's scoring potential.
Chicago missing key midfielder Robin Lod
Lod is confirmed out, reducing Chicago's midfield creativity and goal threat.
New England's positive scoring streak
New England has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, supporting predicted 3 goals in this fixture.
The context
This match is part of the 30th round of the MLS regular season. Historically, these teams have met 20 times, with New England winning 5, Chicago 4, and 11 draws. Their encounters have averaged 3.4 goals per game, indicating a penchant for open, attacking football.
Key insights
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Gil's 11 goals and captaincy provide New England with a creative edge, especially strong at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 28 apps, 0.39 goals/game
Dor Turgeman
New England Revolution
Turgeman's 3 goals in last 5 away matches boost New England's scoring potential on home turf.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 27 apps, 0.33 goals/game
Hugo Cuypers
Chicago Fire
Cuypers' exceptional scoring rate is key, but his recent goal drought may limit immediate impact.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals in 11 apps, 1.18 goals/game
- R
Robin Lod
Chicago Fire
Lod's confirmed absence reduces Chicago's midfield creativity and goal threat.
Analysis
New England Revolution's attacking midfield, led by captain Carles Gil, is a key factor in their offensive threat. Gil has netted 11 goals this season, including a strong recent home scoring run. Dor Turgeman also adds firepower with 9 goals and excellent recent away form. Chicago Fire rely heavily on Hugo Cuypers, who boasts an impressive 13 goals in 11 games, though his recent goal drought may limit his impact. The absence of Chicago's creative midfielder Robin Lod further hampers their attacking options. Both teams have shown a tendency for goals, and a moderately physical match with around four cards is expected.
Key facts
- 1.New England Revolution have won 5 of 20 head-to-head matches against Chicago Fire, who have won 4, with 11 draws.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals per game, indicating open play.
- 3.Carles Gil leads New England with 11 goals this season and strong home form.
- 4.Dor Turgeman has scored 3 goals in his last 5 away matches, boosting New England's attack.
- 5.Hugo Cuypers is Chicago's top scorer with 13 goals in 11 games but is currently in a goal drought.
- 6.Chicago Fire will miss midfielder Robin Lod, reducing their midfield creativity.
- 7.The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate physicality.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for New England Revolution with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, reflecting a strong start from the hosts. Despite the attacking prowess on display, the match is likely to be finely balanced, with New England just edging out Chicago in a closely fought encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — New England Revolution
Away — Chicago Fire
The verdict
In summary, expect an entertaining MLS fixture with goals at both ends. New England's attacking midfield strength and home form should see them narrowly overcome Chicago Fire, who will be missing key creative players but still pose a threat through their top scorer.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 02:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Polster
Assist: Gil
Gutman
Yellow Card
Langoni
Gutman
Bamba
D'Avilla
Sands
Leonardo Barroso
Kohler
Yellow Card
Turgeman
Feingold
Match Statistics
New England Revolution
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8M. PolsterM
- 10Carles GilM
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 25P. MillerF
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniF
- 66J. WynderD
- 99D. TurgemanF
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 7G. YowF
- 14J. YueillM
- 15C. BakerD
- 16D. GazdagM
- 27W. HarrisF
- 65J. SiqueiraM
- 73JD GunnG
- 77D. FagundezM
Chicago Fire
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. BradyG
- 2Leonardo BarrosoD
- 4M. MbokaziD
- 6A. SalétrosM
- 7M. Haile-SelassieM
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 11P. ZinckernagelF
- 15A. GutmanD
- 19J. BambaF
- 21A. Hanche-OlsenD
- 42T. D'AvillaM
Substitutes
- 12P. DithejaneF
- 18J. GómezF
- 22M. PinedaD
- 23A. MekvabishviliM
- 24J. DeanD
- 29D. PorębaM
- 32N. AllenD
- 35S. OregelM
- 44J. CohenG
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Turner | G | 90 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Polster | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| J. Wynder | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/4 |
| I. Feingold | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| D. Gazdag | M | 25 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Baker | D | 3 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Sands | D | 75 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Beason | D | 4 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Raines | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Kohler | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yueill | M | 15 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Miller | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| L. Langoni | F | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Turgeman | F | 86 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| W. Harris | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Fagundez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Yow | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JD Gunn | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Siqueira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mekvabishvili | M | 22 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| M. Mbokazi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Salétros | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Hanche-Olsen | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Brady | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. D'Avilla | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Bamba | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Gómez | F | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Allen | D | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Zinckernagel | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| M. Haile-Selassie | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Leonardo Barroso | D | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| P. Dithejane | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Gutman | D | 67 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Oregel | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Poręba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dean | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pineda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cohen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster's AI model predicted New England Revolution to win against Chicago Fire.
- What score did Fipster predict for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster predicted a final score of New England Revolution 3–2 Chicago Fire.
- What were the win probabilities for New England Revolution vs Chicago Fire?
- Fipster's model gave New England Revolution a 35% chance of winning, Chicago Fire a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.