Netherlands vs Serbia
Match recap
Netherlands beat Serbia 2–1 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Koopmeiners and Zirkzee scored for Netherlands; CvetkoviÄ replied for Serbia. Netherlands held 66% possession to 34% for Serbia.
Outcome probability
The Netherlands face Serbia in a League A match where the Dutch side looks poised to extend their unbeaten streak. With both teams eager to improve their standings, expect a lively encounter featuring key attacking talents.
Match factors
Netherlands' attacking form vs Serbia's leaky defense
Netherlands have scored in all recent matches while Serbia conceded in all, favoring a strong Dutch attack.
Meerdink's superior scoring rate
Mexx Meerdink's 2 goals in 2 games (1.0 per game) far exceed league average for attackers (0.4).
Dutch midfield creativity
Guus Til and Ruben van Bommel have combined for 2 assists in 2 games, boosting Netherlands' chance to create chances.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries for Netherlands or Serbia, so all key scorers and assisters are available.
The context
In this League A round 4 fixture, the Netherlands have been unbeaten so far with one win and two draws, scoring five goals and conceding four. Serbia, on the other hand, have struggled, losing all three of their matches and conceding six goals while scoring just twice. Their only previous meeting saw the Netherlands edge Serbia 2-1, adding a psychological edge to the home side.
Key insights
Mexx Meerdink
Netherlands
Mexx Meerdink's 2 goals in 2 games far exceed the league average for attackers, making him a key threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 goals in 2 appearances, 135 minutes played
Guus Til
Netherlands
Guus Til's assist rate is above average, providing a creative spark despite limited minutes.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 30 minutes played
Ruben van Bommel
Netherlands
Ruben van Bommel has been a consistent creative presence at home with 1 assist in 1 home game.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 80 minutes played
Luka Jović
Serbia
Luka Jović is Serbia's main goal threat with 1 goal in 2 games, crucial to breaking down the Dutch defence.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, 115 minutes played
Analysis
The Netherlands boast a potent attack led by Mexx Meerdink, who has netted two goals in two appearances, exceeding the league average for attackers. Midfielders Guus Til and Ruben van Bommel have been instrumental in creating chances, combining for two assists in two games. Serbia's defence has been leaky, conceding in every match, while their main attacking threat, Luka Jović, has managed just one goal in two games. The Dutch midfield creativity and home advantage should prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Netherlands unbeaten in this competition with 1 win and 2 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 4 goals.
- 2.Serbia have lost all 3 matches in this competition, scoring 2 and conceding 6 goals.
- 3.In their only head-to-head meeting, Netherlands won 2-1 against Serbia.
- 4.Mexx Meerdink has scored 2 goals in 2 appearances, a rate well above the league average for attackers.
- 5.Guus Til and Ruben van Bommel have combined for 2 assists in 2 games, boosting Dutch creativity.
- 6.Serbia's Luka Jović is their top scorer with 1 goal in 2 games.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of the Netherlands.
- 8.The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, indicating a competitive encounter.
Prediction
We anticipate the Netherlands to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime scoreline. Their attacking momentum is expected to continue into the second half, culminating in a 3-1 victory. The match is also likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Netherlands
Away — Serbia
The verdict
With strong recent form and key players firing on all cylinders, the Netherlands look set to secure a comfortable win over Serbia. Fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of attacking flair and tactical discipline from the home side.
Prediction generated 1 Oct 2026, 20:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Gudelj
Yellow Card
Pavlović
Yellow Card
Koopmeiners
CvetkoviÄ
Assist: Terzić
Meerdink
Reijnders
Yellow Card
Lukić
Yellow Card
Lang
Veerman
Gravenberch
Stanković
Tadić
Terzić
Samardžić
Zirkzee
Assist: Reijnders
Maksimović
Yellow Card
Gudelj
Reijnders
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Netherlands
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. VerbruggenG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 7C. SummervilleM
- 8R. GravenberchM
- 10N. LangM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 15M. van de VenD
- 17M. MeerdinkF
- 18J. VeermanM
- 20T. KoopmeinersD
- 22D. DumfriesD
Substitutes
- 2J. FrimpongD
- 3J. HatoD
- 5N. AkéD
- 6Q. TimberM
- 9J. ZirkzeeF
- 11R. van BommelF
- 12J. TimberD
- 13R. RoefsG
- 16G. TilM
- 19K. TaylorM
- 21G. ZechiëlM
- 23M. FlekkenG
Serbia
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2K. NedeljkovićD
- 3S. PavlovićD
- 7A. StankovićM
- 10D. TadićF
- 15S. BabićD
- 17A. TerzićD
- 18M. CvetkoviÄF
- 19S. GudeljD
- 21L. SamardžićM
- 22S. LukićM
- 23V. Milinković-SavićG
Substitutes
- 1D. RosićG
- 4O. MimoviÄD
- 5N. MaksimovićM
- 6N. GudeljM
- 8L. JovićF
- 9D. JoveljićF
- 11F. KostićM
- 12F. StankovićG
- 13N. SimićD
- 14A. ŽivkovićF
- 16S. ErakovićD
- 20V. DragojevićM
Netherlands
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Koopmeiners | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — |
| J. Zirkzee | F | 44 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Zechiël | M | 31 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — |
| J. Veerman | M | 58 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. van Bommel | F | 32 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Hato | D | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Reijnders | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| M. Meerdink | F | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| B. Verbruggen | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| C. Summerville | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Q. Timber | M | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Timber | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Taylor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Frimpong | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Roefs | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Aké | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Flekken | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Til | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Serbia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. CvetkoviÄ | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| F. Kostić | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Samardžić | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. Tadić | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| K. Nedeljković | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Živković | F | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Gudelj | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Babić | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 72 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Gudelj | M | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 24 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Stanković | M | 66 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Lukić | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Maksimović | M | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pavlović | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. Dragojević | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Simić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Joveljić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. MimoviÄ | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Stanković | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Eraković | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Rosić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Netherlands vs Serbia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Netherlands to win against Serbia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Netherlands vs Serbia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Netherlands 3–1 Serbia.
- What were the win probabilities for Netherlands vs Serbia?
- Fipster's model gave Netherlands a 95% chance of winning, Serbia a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.