NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match recap
Al-Qadisiyah FC beat NEOM 2–0 in their Pro League fixture. Reijnders and Retegui scored for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.26 for NEOM versus 2.09 for Al-Qadisiyah FC. NEOM sit 6th in the Pro League table while Al-Qadisiyah FC are 3rd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League season unfolds, NEOM and Al-Qadisiyah FC face off in the third round of regular season fixtures. Both teams have shown promise, but recent form and league standings suggest a clear favourite in this encounter.
Match factors
Al-Qadisiyah's potent attack vs NEOM's defense
Al-Qadisiyah's top scorers Retegui and Quiñones have strong recent form, challenging NEOM's defense which concedes 1.3 goals at home
Lacazette's scoring consistency boosts NEOM
Lacazette leads NEOM with 5 goals in 8 games, showing strong home scoring form, key for NEOM's goal threat
Al-Qadisiyah's 5-game scoring streak
Al-Qadisiyah has scored in their last 5 matches, indicating strong offensive momentum heading into this fixture
NEOM's midfield creativity from Koné
Koné's 4 goals and high passing involvement provide NEOM with attacking midfield threat against Al-Qadisiyah
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit second in the league with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a superior goal difference compared to NEOM, who are fifth with 16 points. The two teams have met twice this season, with Al-Qadisiyah FC winning both encounters, highlighting their dominance in this matchup.
Key insights
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Retegui's excellent recent form with 4 goals in the last 5 games makes him a constant threat to NEOM's defence.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Lacazette's consistent scoring with 5 goals this season is crucial for NEOM's attacking hopes.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Tijjani Reijnders
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Reijnders adds offensive depth with 4 goals in 6 games, supporting Al-Qadisiyah's strong attack.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.666 goals/game
Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking prowess is evident, with Mateo Retegui leading the charge as their top scorer, netting 5 goals in 8 games and showing excellent recent form. Midfielder Tijjani Reijnders adds to their threat with 4 goals in 6 appearances. NEOM's Alexandre Lacazette remains a key figure, contributing 5 goals this season, but the team's defensive vulnerabilities at home could be exploited by Al-Qadisiyah's potent forwards. The halftime scoreline of 0-2 aligns with the prediction of a strong start by the visitors, who are expected to maintain control and extend their lead.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC lead head-to-head 2-0 against NEOM this season.
- 2.Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games.
- 3.NEOM are 5th in the league with 16 points from 8 games.
- 4.Mateo Retegui is Al-Qadisiyah FC's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 5.Alexandre Lacazette leads NEOM with 5 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Halftime score predicted at 0-2 in favour of Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- 7.Total cards expected around 4 for this fixture.
Prediction
Expect Al-Qadisiyah FC to secure a 3-1 victory over NEOM, continuing their winning streak and capitalising on their offensive strengths. NEOM may find the net once, likely through Lacazette, but the visitors' superior form and tactical edge should see them comfortably through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEOM
Away — Al-Qadisiyah FC
The verdict
This fixture promises to reinforce Al-Qadisiyah FC's status as one of the league's top contenders, while NEOM will need to regroup and address defensive issues if they hope to climb higher in the standings. For now, the smart money is on the visitors to take all three points.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álvarez
Yellow Card
Reijnders
Assist: Álvarez
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Ala Al Hajji
Yellow Card
Retegui
Penalty
Unknown
Khalifah Al Dawsari
Muhannad Al Saad
Retegui
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
Masouras
Abdullatif Ahm
Musab Al Juwayr
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
Match Statistics
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 18Ala Al Haji
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 72A. KonéM
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiF
- 22A. Al AnziF
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 38M. Al DawsariD
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 81Luís MaximianoG
- 91A. LacazetteF
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 5J. WeiglM
- 6NachoD
- 10Musab Al JuwayrM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
Substitutes
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 15Mohammed Al Qahtani
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiM
- 50Meshari SunyurG
- 90Amar Al YuhaybiM
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malang Sarr(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Haroune Camara | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Amadou Koné | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Zeze | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Giorgos Masouras | M | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Marcin Bułka | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalifah Al-Dawsari | D | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ahmed Al-Anzi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Dakhil Al-Dawsari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dossari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Maximiano | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 15 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Alburayk | D | 15 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Ghamdi | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Khalil Al-Absi | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandre Lacazette | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koen Casteels | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Nacho Fernández(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Weigl | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jehad Thakri | D | 77 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Retegui | F | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Christopher Baah | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amar Hamed Al Yuhaybi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eyad Houssa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Kassar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mshari Sanyoor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Turki Alammar | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against NEOM.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEOM 1–3 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- What were the win probabilities for NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's model gave NEOM a 2% chance of winning, Al-Qadisiyah FC a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.