NEOM vs Al-Fayha
Match recap
NEOM beat Al-Fayha 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Koné and Benrahma scored for NEOM; Moura replied for Al-Fayha. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.10 for NEOM versus 1.09 for Al-Fayha. NEOM sit 6th in the Pro League table while Al-Fayha are 14th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 NEOM win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with NEOM facing Al-Fayha in what promises to be a competitive encounter. NEOM have shown solid form recently, while Al-Fayha will be looking to upset the odds and start their campaign positively.
Match factors
NEOM's attacking midfield trio in strong form
Lacazette, Koné, and Benrahma combine high scoring and assist rates, creating multiple goal threats.
NEOM's defensive passing and duel dominance
Defenders Sarr and Zézé exceed league averages in passing accuracy and duel win rates, aiding control.
Lacazette's strong home scoring streak
Scored 3 goals in last 2 home matches, boosting confidence for predicted 2-0 home win.
Full squad availability boosts NEOM's chances
No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing NEOM to field strongest lineup.
Al-Fayha's Lázaro remains key attacking outlet
Top scorer with 3 goals, but limited team support reduces overall threat.
The context
This match marks the first round of the regular season in the league. NEOM currently sit comfortably in the upper half of the table, boasting a strong goal difference and points tally. Al-Fayha, on the other hand, find themselves lower down the standings, struggling to convert draws into wins.
Key insights
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Leads team scoring with 5 goals in 8 games, including 3 in last 2 home matches, making him a key threat at home.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Amadou Koné
NEOM
Contributes 4 goals and maintains high passing accuracy (88%), providing both scoring and creative support.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
- M
M. Sarr
NEOM
Defensive stalwart with 91% passing accuracy and strong duel win rate, helping NEOM control the game.
Pro League 26/2791% passing accuracy, 63.8% duel win rate
- N
N. Zézé
NEOM
Top passer with 90% accuracy and 65.9 passes/game, key to NEOM’s build-up play and defensive stability.
Pro League 26/2790% passing accuracy, 65.9 passes/game
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Top scorer for Al-Fayha with 3 goals, remains their main attacking outlet despite limited team support.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Analysis
NEOM's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Alexandre Lacazette, who has netted five goals in eight games, including three in his last two home matches. Midfielder Amadou Koné also contributes significantly with four goals and high passing accuracy, providing a creative spark. Defensively, NEOM benefit from the reliable performances of defenders like M. Sarr and N. Zézé, who excel in passing accuracy and duel wins. Al-Fayha's main threat comes from Lázaro, their top scorer with three goals, but the team’s overall form and support cast are less convincing. The predicted 2-0 scoreline aligns with NEOM's dominance and Al-Fayha's challenges in breaking down solid defences.
Key facts
- 1.NEOM are ranked 5th in the league with 16 points from 8 games (W5 D1 L2).
- 2.Al-Fayha are ranked 12th with 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3).
- 3.NEOM have a goal difference of +11, significantly better than Al-Fayha.
- 4.NEOM average 2.00 points per game compared to Al-Fayha's 0.88.
- 5.Alexandre Lacazette leads NEOM with 5 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Amadou Koné contributes 4 goals and high passing accuracy for NEOM.
- 7.Al-Fayha's top scorer Lázaro has 3 goals in 8 games.
- 8.The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
Expect NEOM to take control early, likely leading 2-0 by halftime and maintaining that advantage through to fulltime. The match should feature a moderate level of discipline, with around four cards expected. NEOM's combination of attacking efficiency and defensive solidity makes them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEOM
Away — Al-Fayha
The verdict
In summary, NEOM's superior form, key player contributions, and tactical strengths should see them comfortably overcome Al-Fayha in this season opener. While Al-Fayha will put up a fight, the home side's quality and momentum are expected to prevail with a 2-0 victory.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Koné
Assist: Benrahma
Jason
Benrahma
Assist: Lacazette
Benrahma
Ala Al Hajji
Red Card
Ahmed Bamasud
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Moura
Assist: Al-Harthi
Ganvoula
Yellow Card
Mohammed Al Burayk
Lacazette
Koné
Masouras
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasM
- 10S. BenrahmaF
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 18Ala Al Haji
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 72A. KonéM
- 91A. LacazetteF
Substitutes
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiF
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaD
- 38M. Al DawsariD
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
Al-Fayha
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 10F. SakalaM
- 15Paulo OliveiraD
- 20Abdullah Al QahtaniM
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 23JasonF
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 52O. MosqueraG
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 17LázaroF
- 42Ali Dhafer Al HarshanD
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 47Mohammed Al DowaishD
- 77R. Enad
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saïd Benrahma | F | 60 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Amadou Koné | M | 87 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcin Bułka | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Lacazette | F | 81 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nathan Zeze | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malang Sarr | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Alburayk(C) | D | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giorgos Masouras | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Dakhil Al-Dawsari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalil Al-Absi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdurahman Daghriry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dossari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalifah Al-Dawsari | D | 9 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haroune Camara | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Ghamdi | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mokher Al-Rashidi | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Qahtani | M | 67 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvère Ganvoula | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Jason | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Fashion Sakala | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 2/8 |
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi(C) | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ali Dhafer Al Harshan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansor Al-Beshe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dowaish | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Rayan Enad | F | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lázaro | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEOM vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEOM to win against Al-Fayha.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEOM vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEOM 2–0 Al-Fayha.
- What were the win probabilities for NEOM vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's model gave NEOM a 95% chance of winning, Al-Fayha a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.