NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq snatch narrow win at NEOM
Abdullah Khateeb's late strike seals a surprise victory away from home.
In a tightly contested Pro League clash, Al-Ettifaq edged out NEOM 1-0 thanks to Abdullah Khateeb's decisive goal in the 82nd minute. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring a 3-2 home win, the visitors held firm to claim all three points in a result that defied expectations.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League regular season rolls on, NEOM and Al-Ettifaq prepare to lock horns in what promises to be a lively encounter. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a match brimming with goals and drama.
Match factors
NEOM's superior recent home scoring form
NEOM averages 2.3 goals per home game, above league average, supporting their predicted 3 goals
Amadou Koné's excellent recent form
Koné has multiple goals and assists with ratings up to 9.0 in recent matches, driving NEOM's attack
Alexandre Lacazette's goal-scoring streak
Lacazette scored multiple goals recently including braces, showing strong finishing form
Al-Ettifaq's creative midfielders key to scoring chances
Medrán and Celina provide creativity and assists, crucial for Al-Ettifaq's 2 predicted goals
Moussa Dembélé as focal point of Al-Ettifaq attack
Dembélé's goal-scoring prowess and volume of shots make him a key threat
The context
NEOM currently sit 6th in the league with 15 points from 7 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +7. Al-Ettifaq are close behind in 8th place with 11 points, having won 3 and drawn 2 of their 7 matches. The league table suggests a competitive fixture, with NEOM holding a slight edge in form and goal-scoring prowess.
Key insights
- A
Amadou Koné
NEOM
Koné has been a driving force with multiple goals and assists, earning ratings up to 9.0 in recent matches, boosting NEOM's attack.
Pro League 26/27Multiple goals and assists with ratings up to 9.0 in recent matches
- A
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Lacazette’s goal-scoring streak, including several braces, makes him a key threat up front for NEOM.
Pro League 26/27Multiple goals including braces in recent matches
- Á
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Medrán’s creativity and assist tally are crucial for Al-Ettifaq’s attacking chances in this fixture.
Pro League 26/27Multiple assists recently with strong passing stats
- M
Moussa Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Dembélé’s prolific scoring and high shot volume make him Al-Ettifaq’s main offensive weapon.
Pro League 26/275 goals this season with high shooting volume
Analysis
NEOM's home scoring form is impressive, averaging 2.3 goals per game, which bodes well for their predicted three goals in this match. Midfield dynamo Amadou Koné has been in excellent form, contributing goals and assists with ratings reaching up to 9.0 recently. Up front, Alexandre Lacazette continues his goal-scoring streak, adding firepower to NEOM's attack. Al-Ettifaq will rely on creative midfielders Álvaro Medrán and B. Celina to unlock the defence, while Moussa Dembélé remains their main goal threat. The predicted 4 total cards suggest a moderately competitive game with some robust challenges.
Key facts
- 1.NEOM are 6th in the league with 15 points from 7 games (W5 D0 L2).
- 2.Al-Ettifaq are 8th with 11 points from 7 games (W3 D2 L2).
- 3.NEOM have a superior goal difference of +7 compared to Al-Ettifaq.
- 4.NEOM average 2.3 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Amadou Koné has multiple goals and assists with ratings up to 9.0 recently.
- 6.Alexandre Lacazette has scored multiple goals including braces in recent matches.
- 7.Al-Ettifaq's Álvaro Medrán and B. Celina provide key creativity.
- 8.Moussa Dembélé is Al-Ettifaq's main goal-scoring threat with 5 goals this season.
Prediction
We expect NEOM to take the lead by halftime with a 2-1 scoreline, maintaining their momentum to secure a 3-2 victory by fulltime. The match should be a close contest, but NEOM's superior form and attacking edge should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEOM
Away — Al-Ettifaq
The verdict
In summary, this fixture promises an entertaining battle with plenty of goals. NEOM's home advantage and recent form give them the upper hand, but Al-Ettifaq's attacking talents ensure they won't go quietly. Expect a thrilling 3-2 finish in favour of NEOM.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 16:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lacazette
Yellow Card
Al Otaibi
Unknown
Kanté
Yellow Card
Khalid Al Ghannam
Masouras
Duda
Larsson
Gluščević
Yellow Card
Vada
Mohannad Abu Taha
Abdullah Khateeb
Assist: Al Ghamdi
Khalifah Al Dawsari
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
Match Statistics
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasM
- 10S. BenrahmaF
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaM
- 23V. VadaM
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 91A. LacazetteF
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 6A. Al HassanM
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiF
- 33Abdulrahman DagririG
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 75Khalid Al RammahD
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
Al-Ettifaq
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. RodákG
- 4J. HendryD
- 5Pedro HenriqueD
- 7Khalid Al GhannamM
- 11O. DudaM
- 17J. LarssonM
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaF
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
Substitutes
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 26Riyadh SharahiliM
- 29Z. Al GhamdiF
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 71M. GluščevićF
- 77AbdulelahM
- 87Meshal SibyaniD
- 92Turki Ba Al JawshG
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sarr | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Islam Hawsawi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. Vada | M | 81 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Benrahma | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1/2 |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Zézé | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Burayk | D | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Hassan | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haroune Camara | F | 1 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Bułka | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Masouras | M | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Khalil Al Absi | F | 9 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lacazette | F | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulrahman Dagriri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Ghamdi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Rammah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Al Dosari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Khateeb | D | 44 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rodák | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Madallah Al Olayan | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Ghannam | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulelah | M | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 30 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Duda | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Radhi Al Otaibi | D | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Gluščević | F | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Celina | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/4 |
| Z. Al Ghamdi | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Larsson | M | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Riyadh Sharahili | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Al Alaeli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Ba Al Jawsh | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Sibyani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEOM to win against Al-Ettifaq.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEOM 3–2 Al-Ettifaq.
- What were the win probabilities for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's model gave NEOM a 85% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.