NEOM vs Abha
NEOM secures solid win over Abha
Benrahma and Lacazette strike to give NEOM a comfortable victory.
NEOM delivered a confident performance in the Pro League, with S. Benrahma opening the scoring in the 15th minute and A. Lacazette doubling the lead shortly after the break at 50 minutes. The 2-0 result was a straightforward home win, matching Fipster's prediction for a NEOM victory, though the exact scoreline differed.
Outcome probability
NEOM and Abha face off in the Regular Season - 11 fixture, with NEOM looking to extend their strong league form against a struggling Abha side.
Match factors
NEOM's Defensive Passing Dominance
NEOM defenders Sarr and Zézé have passing accuracies around 90%, well above league average, aiding build-up play.
NEOM's Midfield Creativity
Amadou Koné's high involvement and recent goal contributions provide NEOM with creative edge in midfield.
Abha's Defensive Reliance on Al Dossary
Al Dossary's high tackle rate and duel success are crucial to Abha's defensive efforts against NEOM's attack.
NEOM's Recent Scoring Form
NEOM has scored in 3 of last 5 matches at home, supporting predicted 3 goals in this fixture.
Full Squad Availability
No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
The context
NEOM currently sit 6th in the league with 16 points from 10 games, showcasing a solid campaign so far. In contrast, Abha find themselves 18th with just 2 points from 8 games, struggling to find their footing this season.
Key insights
- M
M. Sarr
NEOM
Sarr's 90% passing accuracy and 67.7% duel win rate make him a cornerstone of NEOM's defence and build-up play.
Pro League 26/27Passing accuracy 90%, duel win rate 67.7%
- N
N. Zézé
NEOM
Zézé's exceptional passing volume and accuracy help NEOM control possession and launch attacks effectively.
Pro League 26/2790% passing accuracy, 65.9 passes per game
- A
Amadou Koné
NEOM
Koné's high match ratings and consistent goal contributions provide NEOM with a creative edge in midfield.
Pro League 26/27High match ratings up to 9.0, 50+ passes per game
- M
Mohammed Al Dossary
Abha
Al Dossary's tackling prowess and duel success are vital to Abha's defensive resilience despite the team's struggles.
Pro League 26/275.25 tackles per game, 67.8% duel win rate
Analysis
NEOM's defensive duo, M. Sarr and N. Zézé, boast passing accuracies around 90%, well above the league average for defenders, which aids their build-up play and control. Midfielder Amadou Koné adds creativity and goal contributions, making NEOM's attack a notable threat. Abha rely heavily on defender Mohammed Al Dossary's tackling and duel success to hold their defensive line, but their overall goal difference of -9 compared to NEOM's +5 highlights the gulf in quality. Both teams have full squads available, so it will come down to form and tactical execution.
Key facts
- 1.NEOM ranks 6th with 16 points from 10 games (W5 D1 L4).
- 2.Abha is 18th with 2 points from 8 games (W0 D2 L6).
- 3.NEOM has a goal difference of +5; Abha's is -9.
- 4.NEOM averages 1.60 points per game, Abha 0.25.
- 5.NEOM defenders Sarr and Zézé have passing accuracies around 90%.
- 6.Amadou Koné contributes goals and assists consistently for NEOM.
- 7.Mohammed Al Dossary leads Abha's defensive efforts with 5.25 tackles per game.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
Prediction
Expect NEOM to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted 1-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. Their superior points per game and recent scoring form at home underpin this forecast.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEOM
Away — Abha
The verdict
With NEOM's strong defensive and creative players firing on all cylinders, and Abha struggling to convert chances, this match looks set for a comfortable NEOM win. Abha will need a miracle to turn this one around.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 06:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Benrahma
Assist: Lacazette
Goal cancelled
Al Shamrani
Yellow Card
Lacazette
Assist: Benrahma
Al Shamrani
Batshuayi
Mohammed Al Dossary
Masouras
Firas Al-Ghamdi
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
Safwan Saud
Yellow Card
Benrahma
Khalil Al Absi
Al Fahad
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasF
- 10S. BenrahmaM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 23V. VadaM
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 81Luís MaximianoG
- 91A. LacazetteF
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 6A. Al HassanM
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 9Abdulaziz Al OthmanF
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaD
- 33Abdulrahman DagririG
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
Abha
5-4-1Starting XI
- 3J. GaariD
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 8Nasser Al DaajaniM
- 12K. Al ShamraniD
- 14G. NkoudouM
- 16D. LéonG
- 17Abdulkarim DarisiM
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 37Abdulbasit Al-HindiD
- 44M. BatshuayiF
Substitutes
- 6Faisal Al SubianiM
- 9Kamil BoumedmedF
- 10N. FekirF
- 11A. GoryF
- 20K. Al QahtaniF
- 21A. Al BouqG
- 28Bader Al MutairiM
- 29Majed DawranM
- 80Safwan SaudD
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Benrahma | M | 83 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2/4 |
| A. Lacazette | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Sarr | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Islam Hawsawi | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| N. Zézé | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Vada | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | D | 19 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Al Hassan | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 7 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luís Maximiano | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalil Al Absi | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Haroune Camara | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Masouras | F | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Burayk | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Al Dosari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Othman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Dagriri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Ghamdi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Abha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulbasit Al-Hindi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al Daajani | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Gory | F | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| G. Nkoudou | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Firas Al-Ghamdi | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gaari | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Fekir | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Dossary | D | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Al Qahtani | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Léon | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Batshuayi | F | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdulkarim Darisi | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Abdullah Al Fahad | D | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Al Shamrani | D | 58 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Dawran | M | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Safwan Saud | D | 32 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Bouq | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Boumedmed | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bader Al Mutairi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Subiani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEOM vs Abha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEOM to win against Abha.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEOM vs Abha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEOM 3–1 Abha.
- What were the win probabilities for NEOM vs Abha?
- Fipster's model gave NEOM a 95% chance of winning, Abha a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.