NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar
Telstar stuns NEC with early double
A lightning start sets the tone as Telstar holds on for a narrow win.
Telstar shocked NEC Nijmegen by racing to a two-goal lead inside the first 24 minutes, courtesy of P. Brouwer and Rui Mendes. Despite K. Sierhuis pulling one back for NEC in the 83rd minute, Telstar's early dominance proved decisive in this 2-1 victory. The result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win, marking a notable upset in the Eredivisie clash.
Analysis
As the new season kicks off, NEC Nijmegen and Telstar face off in what promises to be a tightly fought encounter. Both teams are yet to open their accounts, setting the stage for a competitive match where every goal will count.
This fixture marks the first round of the regular season in league 88. NEC Nijmegen currently sit 10th in the league standings, while Telstar are placed higher at 3rd, although neither side has played a game yet. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with NEC winning 4 of their 10 meetings, Telstar 2, and 4 draws, suggesting a competitive rivalry.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been goal-rich affairs, averaging over 4 goals per game. Despite this, the prediction leans towards a cautious start with a 0-0 halftime scoreline, indicating a tight first half. The forecasted 2-1 full-time score suggests NEC Nijmegen will find their rhythm in the second half to clinch the win. The moderate confidence level of 48% reflects the close probabilities among all possible outcomes, but the 2-1 home win stands out as the most plausible result.
Prediction
Expect NEC Nijmegen to break the deadlock after a goalless first half and edge out Telstar 2-1. The match is likely to be competitive with a total of around four cards, hinting at some robust challenges but nothing too wild. A narrow home victory seems the most reasonable forecast given the data.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Outcome Probabilities
Draw outcome has the highest aggregated probability at 0.42, surpassing home and away wins.
Modal Scoreline
The most probable draw scoreline is 1-1 with 18% probability.
Halftime Consistency
Halftime modal scoreline 0-0 is consistent with the fulltime 1-1 result.
Key Takeaways
In summary, NEC Nijmegen are favoured to start their campaign with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Telstar. While the first half may be cagey, the home side's ability to capitalise in the second half should see them take all three points in this promising season opener.
- NEC Nijmegen have won 4 of the 10 head-to-head matches against Telstar.
- Telstar have won 2 head-to-head matches, with 4 ending in draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 4.2 goals per game, indicating attacking intent from both sides.
- NEC Nijmegen are currently 10th in the league standings with no games played yet.
- Telstar are placed 3rd in the league standings, also with no games played.
- The predicted halftime score is 0-0, suggesting a cautious start from both teams.
- The forecasted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of NEC Nijmegen.
- A total of 4 cards is expected, pointing to a competitive but controlled match.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Brouwer
Assist: Soualhia
Rui Mendes
Assist: Brouwer
Nejašmić
Rui Mendes
Pereira
Yellow Card
Hetli
Lebreton
Chery
Jamiro Monteiro
Rossen
Alders
Hansen-Aarøen
Yellow Card
Owusu
Ahmed
Yellow Card
Koeman
Yellow Card
Ouaissa
Sierhuis
Assist: Tadić
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 2B. PereiraD
- 6D. NejašmićD
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 9T. CheryF
- 10D. TadićF
- 20N. LebretonF
- 24Deveron FonvilleD
- 25S. OuaissaM
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 3P. SandlerD
- 5T. OuwejanD
- 7E. MorF
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 19Adam TahauiF
- 21T. StormD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 34Kevin KersF
- 36Freek EntiusG
- 37M. van de WielM
- 38Joep GenesteG
Telstar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1R. KoemanG
- 2J. HardeveldD
- 3Gerald AldersD
- 4A. SoualhiaD
- 7Rui MendesM
- 9Jelani SeedorfF
- 10T. OwusuM
- 11S. HetliM
- 17N. RossenM
- 27P. BrouwerM
- 43M. PeersmanD
Substitutes
- 6Isaiah AhmedM
- 8E. DemircanF
- 13Finn MulderG
- 14H. KusterM
- 15N. Ogidi NwankwoD
- 20D. ReizigerG
- 21F. TurayF
- 23N. ShenkmanM
- 28R. OudstenD
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dušan Tadić | F | 94 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 7 | 0/2 |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sami Ouaissa | M | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/5 |
| Noe Lebreton | F | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Darko Nejašmić | D | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tjaronn Chery(C) | F | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Hansen Aarøen | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Brayann Pereira | D | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gonzalo Crettaz | G | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Merijn van de Wiel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Ouwejan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Storm | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Tahaui | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joep Geneste | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Freek Entius | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kers | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philippe Sandler | D | 30 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Emre Mor | F | 15 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| Kaj Sierhuis | F | 49 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan Linssen | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Telstar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdelnour Soualhia | D | 94 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Patrick Brouwer | M | 94 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ronald Koeman Jr | G | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marvin Peersman | D | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rui Mendes | M | 55 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Tyrone Owusu | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Soufiane Hetli | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jeff Hardeveld(C) | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gerald Alders | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nils Rossen | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jelani Seedorf | F | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/6 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Finn Mulder | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrie Kuster | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fofin Turay | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rojendro Oudsten | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daan Reiziger | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Demircan | F | 39 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Noach Shenkman | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


