NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven

EredivisieMatchweek 13
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen · 12,540 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winmedium

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NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven are set for an intriguing clash in the regular season's 13th round. Both teams have shown moments of attacking flair, promising an entertaining encounter.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
2–3
Half-time1–2
PSV Eindhoven Win
MEDIUM
Confidence
NEC Nijmegen 19%Draw 20%PSV Eindhoven 61%

The context

PSV Eindhoven currently lead the league with 26 points from 12 games, while NEC Nijmegen sit 14th with 11 points from 11 matches. Historically, PSV have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of their 20 meetings, with matches between these sides averaging over four goals.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

PSV's Superior Scoring Form

PSV averages 3.33 goals per game, significantly higher than NEC's 1.67, indicating strong attacking advantage

Form Momentumhigh

Sven Mijnans in Red-Hot Form

Mijnans scored 5 goals in last 5 matches, showing excellent finishing and consistency

Tactical Advantagemedium

Chery's Impact in NEC Attack

Chery's 4 goals and 2 assists make him NEC's key offensive threat, especially effective away

Tactical Advantagemedium

PSV's Creative Depth with Bajraktarević and Dest

Bajraktarević (5 assists) and Dest (3 assists) provide strong creative outlets for PSV's attack

Statistical Edgehigh

NEC's Defensive Vulnerability at Home

NEC concedes 2 goals per home game on average, likely to be exploited by PSV's potent offense

Analysis

PSV's offensive strength is evident, averaging 3.33 goals per game compared to NEC's 1.67. Sven Mijnans is in red-hot form for PSV, netting 5 goals in his last 5 matches, making him a key threat. NEC will rely heavily on Tjaronn Chefren Chery, who has 4 goals and 2 assists this season, particularly effective away from home. However, NEC's defensive vulnerability at home, conceding an average of 2 goals per game, could be exploited by PSV's creative duo Esmir Bajraktarević and Sergiño Dest, who have combined for 8 assists this season.

Key insights

Prediction

The prediction favours an away win for PSV Eindhoven with a close 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-2, reflecting a competitive start. PSV's attacking depth and recent form should see them edge out NEC in this high-scoring affair.

Key facts

  1. 1.PSV Eindhoven lead the league with 26 points from 12 games (W8 D2 L2).
  2. 2.NEC Nijmegen are 14th with 11 points from 11 games (W2 D5 L4).
  3. 3.PSV have won 15 of 20 matches against NEC Nijmegen.
  4. 4.Matches between these teams average 4.2 goals per game.
  5. 5.NEC concedes an average of 2 goals per home game.
  6. 6.Sven Mijnans has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches for PSV.
  7. 7.Tjaronn Chefren Chery leads NEC with 4 goals and 2 assists this season.
  8. 8.Esmir Bajraktarević and Sergiño Dest have combined for 8 assists this season for PSV.

The verdict

Expect a thrilling match with plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides. While NEC will fight hard on home turf, PSV's superior scoring form and key players in fine fettle should secure them the three points.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — NEC Nijmegen

Tjaronn Chefren Chery

Tjaronn Chefren Chery

Midfielder

NEC Nijmegen

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.74
11 played
9 starts
776 mins
~71 mins/game
Noé Lebreton

Noé Lebreton

Attacker

NEC Nijmegen

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.74
11 played
10 starts
790 mins
~72 mins/game
Kaj Sierhuis

Kaj Sierhuis

Attacker

NEC Nijmegen

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.74
10 played
5 starts
311 mins
~31 mins/game

Away — PSV Eindhoven

Sven Mijnans

Sven Mijnans

Midfielder

PSV Eindhoven

Total Goals
9
League avg: 0.74
11 played
8 starts
600 mins
~55 mins/game
Guus Til

Guus Til

Midfielder

PSV Eindhoven

Total Goals
7
League avg: 0.74
12 played
12 starts
931 mins
~78 mins/game
Ruben van Bommel

Ruben van Bommel

Midfielder

PSV Eindhoven

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.74
11 played
11 starts
744 mins
~68 mins/game

Prediction generated 8 Nov 2026, 20:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Fipster's AI model predicts PSV Eindhoven to win against NEC Nijmegen.
What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Fipster predicts a final score of NEC Nijmegen 2–3 PSV Eindhoven.
What are the win probabilities for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Fipster's model gives NEC Nijmegen a 19% chance of winning, PSV Eindhoven a 61% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 61% confidence — a medium-confidence call.