NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia
NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia share spoils
A balanced Europa League encounter ends in a 1-1 draw.
Levski Sofia took the lead through Reinaldo's first-half strike, but NEC Nijmegen responded after the break with T. Chery's equaliser to secure a draw. The match ended evenly poised, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win for NEC Nijmegen.
Outcome probability
This Group Stage encounter between NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia promises a competitive fixture as both teams look to make their mark early in the competition.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad availability.
Insufficient recent form data
Limited match history and missing recent fixtures restrict form-based predictions for key players.
Balanced scoring and assisting averages across teams
Both teams show similar league averages in goals and assists per player by position, indicating a balanced matchup.
The context
Both NEC Nijmegen and Levski Sofia enter this match with full squads available, ensuring no disruptions from injuries. However, limited recent form data means assessing momentum is a bit like trying to find a needle in a haystack.
Key facts
- 1.NEC Nijmegen have the highest aggregated probability for a home win at 48.5%.
- 2.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of NEC Nijmegen.
- 3.Halftime score prediction is 1-0, consistent with the fulltime outcome.
- 4.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 5.Balanced scoring and assisting averages suggest a tight contest.
- 6.Total cards predicted to be around three, indicating a moderately physical game.
Analysis
The statistical edge slightly favours NEC Nijmegen, with home advantage likely playing a role. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests an early lead for the home side, with Levski Sofia expected to push back but ultimately fall short. Both teams show balanced scoring and assisting averages, indicating a closely fought match with NEC Nijmegen just shading it.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEC Nijmegen
Away — Levski Sofia
Prediction
Expect NEC Nijmegen to take the lead by halftime and hold on for a 2-1 victory. The match is forecasted to feature around three cards, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.
The verdict
In summary, NEC Nijmegen's home advantage and slight statistical edge should see them through to a narrow win. Levski Sofia will provide stern resistance, but the home side's early lead and consistent performance should be enough to secure all three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Lebreton
Yellow Card
Reinaldo
Assist: Vutsov
David Kusso
El Moubarik
Chery
Schuurs
Grujić
Everton Bala
Tadić
Bischoff
Lebreton
Brás
Reinaldo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 22 |  Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 |  NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 |  Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 4P. SchuursD
- 6D. NejašmićM
- 9T. CheryF
- 10D. TadićF
- 20N. LebretonM
- 24Deveron FonvilleD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 34Kevin KersM
- 73Gabriel BrásD
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 12N. PolsterG
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 18D. GeigerM
- 22A. KaplanD
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 38Joep GenesteG
- 42Y. MoslihD
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
Levski Sofia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3MaiconD
- 4C. MakounD
- 7ReinaldoF
- 8M. GrujićM
- 17Everton BalaF
- 19E. El MoubarikM
- 21AldairD
- 27David KussoF
- 35SerginhoM
- 50K. DimitrovD
- 92S. VutsovG
Substitutes
- 1O. VladimirovG
- 2Hevertton SantosD
- 9J. PereaF
- 11A. Oko-FlexF
- 18G. TrdinM
- 20Álex CentellesD
- 22M. SoulaF
- 31N. SerafimovD
- 78M. LukovG
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chery | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/4 |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Kevin Kers | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6/6 |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| N. Lebreton | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| P. Schuurs | D | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Tadić | F | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| D. Geiger | M | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Linssen | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Crettaz | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 6 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Polster | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Moslih | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joep Geneste | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Levski Sofia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Vutsov | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Aldair | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| K. Dimitrov | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Makoun | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Soula | F | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Oko-Flex | F | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Maicon | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/4 |
| Serginho | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| M. Grujić | M | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. El Moubarik | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| G. Trdin | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Kusso | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Everton Bala | F | 75 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Perea | F | 15 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Serafimov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lukov | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hevertton Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Vladimirov | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Centelles | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEC Nijmegen to win against Levski Sofia.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Levski Sofia.
- What were the win probabilities for NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia?
- Fipster's model gave NEC Nijmegen a 48% chance of winning, Levski Sofia a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.