NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen
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Challenge a friendNEC Nijmegen and Groningen face off in what promises to be a high-scoring affair, with both sides eager to climb the league table in this regular season clash.
The context
Groningen currently sit 7th with 14 points from 9 games, showing more consistency than NEC Nijmegen, who are 11th with 9 points from 8 games. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with NEC winning 9 of 20 matches and Groningen 6, alongside 5 draws. Matches between these two have averaged 3.4 goals, hinting at an open game.
Match factors
Chery's Away Scoring Threat
Chery's strong away goal form (4 goals in 4 away games) gives NEC a key attacking edge on the road
Schuurs' Offensive Contribution from Defense
Schuurs exceeds league average defender scoring and assisting rates, adding unexpected attacking options
Groningen's Consistent Scoring Streak
Groningen has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum away from home
Tadić's Doubtful Status Limits NEC Creativity
Tadić's injury status caps his assist probability, reducing NEC's creative options if he misses
Analysis
Groningen have been on a scoring streak, netting in their last five matches, which bodes well for their attacking prospects here. NEC's top attacker, Tjaronn Chefren Chery, boasts an impressive away record with 4 goals in 4 away games, making him a key threat despite NEC's lower league position. Groningen's defensive solidity is anchored by Jorg Schreuders, who leads the team in tackles and duels won, crucial for containing NEC's forwards. Meanwhile, NEC's creative spark Dušan Tadić is doubtful with injury, potentially limiting their attacking fluidity.
Key insights
Tjaronn Chefren Chery
NEC Nijmegen
Chery's prolific away scoring form gives NEC a key attacking edge despite their league position.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 4 away games this season
Perr Schuurs
NEC Nijmegen
Schuurs adds unexpected attacking threat from defense with goals and assists above league average for defenders.
Eredivisie 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
Dušan Tadić
NEC Nijmegen
Tadić's doubtful injury status limits NEC's creative options, potentially impacting their attacking fluidity.
Eredivisie 26/271 assist in 7 games
Prediction
The forecast is for a narrow away win, with Groningen taking an early lead and maintaining it to finish 3-2. The halftime scoreline of 1-2 suggests Groningen will start strongly, but NEC will fight back in the second half. Expect a competitive match with four cards likely, reflecting the intensity of the encounter.
Key facts
- 1.NEC Nijmegen have won 9 of 20 head-to-head matches against Groningen, who have won 6, with 5 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.4 goals, indicating a high-scoring potential.
- 3.Groningen are 7th in the league with 14 points from 9 games (W4 D2 L3).
- 4.NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 5.Groningen have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 6.Tjaronn Chefren Chery has scored 4 goals in 4 away games this season, leading NEC's attack.
- 7.Dušan Tadić is doubtful with injury, which may limit NEC's creativity.
- 8.Perr Schuurs contributes offensively from defense with 2 goals and 2 assists this season.
The verdict
This fixture should deliver plenty of excitement and goals, with Groningen's consistent scoring and NEC's attacking threats setting the stage for a close contest. Fans can anticipate a lively match where the visitors just edge out the hosts.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEC Nijmegen
Away — Groningen
No standout top scorers flagged for Groningen
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 19:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Groningen to win against NEC Nijmegen.
- What is the predicted score for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
- Fipster predicts a final score of NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Groningen.
- What are the win probabilities for NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen?
- Fipster's model gives NEC Nijmegen a 8% chance of winning, Groningen a 83% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 83% confidence — a high-confidence call.