NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard
NEC and Fortuna share spoils in thrilling draw
A late equaliser from Willumsson rescues NEC after Descotte's brace for Fortuna.
Fortuna Sittard looked set for victory with A. Descotte netting twice, including an early first-half strike and another just after the break. NEC Nijmegen fought back, with Kevin Kers levelling before the break and W. Willumsson scoring a dramatic 90+3' equaliser, despite M. Bakker missing a penalty moments earlier. This 2-2 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Fortuna away win, proving the home side's resilience.
Outcome probability
NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard face off in the 9th round of the regular season, with Fortuna currently enjoying better form and a higher league standing. This match promises goals given their history and recent performances.
Match factors
Fortuna Sittard's strong scoring streak
Fortuna Sittard has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum.
NEC Nijmegen missing key defenders and goalkeeper
NEC is without 5 confirmed out players including defenders and goalkeeper, weakening defense significantly.
Fortuna Sittard's better away scoring record
Fortuna averages 2.25 goals away vs NEC's 1.3 home goals, indicating offensive advantage on matchday.
NEC's defensive vulnerabilities vs Fortuna's attack
NEC concedes frequently at home and has a current streak of conceding 4 games, favoring Fortuna's attack.
The context
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th in the league with 13 points from 7 games, while NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 8 points. Fortuna have scored in all of their last five matches, showcasing a potent attack, whereas NEC have been conceding frequently at home, with defensive absences compounding their woes.
Key insights
- A
Anthony Descotte
Fortuna Sittard
A key attacking threat with high ratings and goal contributions, vital for Fortuna's offensive success.
Eredivisie 26/27Consistent goal scorer and assist provider this season.
- L
Lequincio Zeefuik
Fortuna Sittard
Strong recent form with multiple goals and assists, boosting Fortuna's scoring potential away from home.
Eredivisie 26/27Reliable goal scorer and assist provider in recent matches.
- M
Mohamed Ihattaren
Fortuna Sittard
Creative midfielder driving Fortuna's attack with multiple goals and assists, crucial for breaking down NEC's defence.
Eredivisie 26/27High recent ratings with significant goal involvements.
- T
Tjaronn Chery
NEC Nijmegen
Captain and creative hub for NEC, consistently contributing goals and assists despite the team's struggles.
Eredivisie 26/27Key contributor with goals and assists in recent matches.
Analysis
The head-to-head record between these sides is fairly balanced, but Fortuna's recent form and attacking prowess give them the edge. NEC's defence is weakened by the absence of key defenders and their goalkeeper, making them vulnerable. Fortuna's forwards, including Anthony Descotte and Lequincio Zeefuik, have been consistent goal threats, while Mohamed Ihattaren orchestrates their midfield creatively. NEC's captain Tjaronn Chery remains a key figure but may struggle to influence the game enough to prevent defeat.
Key facts
- 1.NEC Nijmegen have won 6 of 15 matches against Fortuna Sittard, who have won 4, with 5 draws.
- 2.Average total goals in head-to-head matches is 3.4, indicating a high-scoring fixture.
- 3.Fortuna Sittard rank 6th with 13 points from 7 games; NEC Nijmegen are 11th with 8 points.
- 4.Fortuna Sittard have scored in all of their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 5.NEC Nijmegen are missing 5 key players including defenders and goalkeeper, weakening their defence.
- 6.Fortuna Sittard average 2.25 goals per away game compared to NEC's 1.3 home goals.
- 7.NEC Nijmegen have conceded in their last 4 home games, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Prediction
We predict Fortuna Sittard to win 3-1, with a halftime score of 2-1 in their favour. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NEC Nijmegen
Away — Fortuna Sittard
No standout best passers flagged for Fortuna Sittard
The verdict
Fortuna Sittard's attacking momentum and NEC Nijmegen's defensive frailties point towards an away win. Expect a lively game with goals and some robust challenges, but ultimately Fortuna should take the points comfortably.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 20:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Descotte
Assist: Guth
Kers
Assist: Geiger
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Yellow Card
Simons
Descotte
Assist: Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Guth
Yellow Card
Kers
Lebreton
Fonville
Zeefuik
Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
Jamiro Monteiro
Storm
van Ottele
Penalty confirmed
Willumsson
Assist: Schuurs
Bakker
Missed Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +21 | 23 |
| 5 |  Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 6D. NejašmićM
- 18D. GeigerM
- 20N. LebretonM
- 21T. StormD
- 22A. KaplanD
- 24Deveron FonvilleD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 34Kevin KersM
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 4P. SchuursD
- 5M. BakkerD
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 9T. CheryM
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 12N. PolsterG
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 19Adam TahauiF
- 38Joep GenesteG
- 42Y. MoslihD
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
- 73Gabriel BrásD
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3Rodrigo GuthD
- 6S. van OtteleD
- 9A. DescotteF
- 12Ivo PintoD
- 14S. SimonsM
- 20É. MichutM
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t ZandM
- 23P. BrittijnD
- 25L. ZeefuikF
- 28Justin Quincy HubnerD
- 31M. BranderhorstG
Substitutes
- 1L. KoopmansG
- 2S. WylinD
- 7K. PetersonF
- 15N. de GrootD
- 24D. SinkgravenD
- 33K. ReitmaierG
- 38Moussa GbemouM
- 39Ganni BuyukhanM
- 52M. IhattarenM
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kers | M | 63 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| D. Geiger | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 2/2 |
| M. Bakker | D | 27 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Storm | D | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4/8 |
| Adam Tahaui | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Linssen | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Lebreton | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| K. Sierhuis | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Nejašmić | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 63 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| P. Schuurs | D | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Willumsson | M | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Crettaz | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joep Geneste | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Moslih | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chery | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Polster | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Hansen-Aarøen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Descotte | F | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| M. Branderhorst | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Guth | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ivo Pinto | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Brittijn | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. van Ottele | D | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Peterson | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Justin Quincy Hubner | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sinkgraven | D | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zeefuik | F | 70 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| N. de Groot | D | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Wylin | D | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| É. Michut | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Simons | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Gbemou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ihattaren | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Reitmaier | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koopmans | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ganni Buyukhan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Fortuna Sittard to win against NEC Nijmegen.
- What score did Fipster predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster predicted a final score of NEC Nijmegen 1–3 Fortuna Sittard.
- What were the win probabilities for NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard?
- Fipster's model gave NEC Nijmegen a 2% chance of winning, Fortuna Sittard a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.