Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
Mukhtar's brace secures Nashville win
Nashville SC cruise to a 2-0 victory over Toronto FC with early goals.
H. Mukhtar was the star of the show, netting both goals for Nashville SC before the break at 16 and 43 minutes. The early strikes set the tone for a comfortable 2-0 win over Toronto FC in this Major League Soccer clash. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its climax, Nashville SC and Toronto FC face off in what promises to be a lively encounter. Nashville's attacking prowess and home form set the stage for a commanding performance.
Match factors
Nashville's potent home attack led by Surridge
Samuel Surridge's 14 goals this season and strong home form give Nashville a clear attacking edge at home
Cristian Espinoza's creative influence
Espinoza leads Nashville with 7 assists, key in creating scoring chances and linking play
Hany Mukhtar's recent scoring and assisting form
Mukhtar has 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games, showing good attacking momentum
Toronto FC missing key attacker Djordje Mihailović
Mihailović is out injured, reducing Toronto's attacking creativity and assist potential
Andy Najar's dual role as defender and assist provider
Najar's 4 assists and solid defensive stats provide Nashville with width and stability
The context
This match is part of the 2026 regular season, round 27. Nashville SC and Toronto FC have met 12 times previously, with Nashville winning half of those encounters. The teams have averaged nearly three goals per game in their head-to-head clashes, suggesting an open and entertaining fixture.
Key insights
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Leads team scoring with 14 goals, well above league average for attackers, and has strong recent form with 4 goals in last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 17 appearances, 0.82 goals/game
Cristian Espinoza
Nashville SC
Top assister with 7 assists, key creative force with a high recent assist rate, especially at home.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 19 appearances, 0.37 assists/game
Hany Mukhtar
Nashville SC
Contributes both goals and assists with 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games, showing good attacking momentum.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 5 assists in 23 appearances
- D
Djordje Mihailović
Toronto FC
Currently out injured, reducing Toronto's attacking creativity and assist potential.
- A
Andy Najar Rodríguez
Nashville SC
Provides width and stability with 4 assists from defense and solid defensive stats.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 21 appearances, 0.19 assists/game
Analysis
Nashville SC's attacking threat is spearheaded by Samuel Surridge, who boasts 14 goals in 17 appearances and has been in fine form recently. Cristian Espinoza's creativity, with 7 assists, complements the attack well. Meanwhile, Toronto FC will miss the influence of Djordje Mihailović due to injury, which hampers their offensive options. Nashville's ability to take an early lead, as indicated by the predicted halftime score of 1-0, should allow them to control the tempo and extend their advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Nashville SC have won 6 of 12 head-to-head matches against Toronto FC.
- 2.The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.7, indicating attacking play.
- 3.Samuel Surridge leads Nashville with 14 goals in 17 games this season.
- 4.Cristian Espinoza tops Nashville's assists chart with 7 in 19 appearances.
- 5.Toronto FC's Dániel Sallói is their top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 6.Djordje Mihailović is out injured, weakening Toronto's attack.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Nashville SC.
- 8.Total cards expected in the match are 4.
Prediction
Expect Nashville SC to open the scoring before halftime and continue their dominance into the second half, ultimately securing a 3-1 victory. The match is likely to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nashville SC
Away — Toronto FC
The verdict
With key players firing on all cylinders and a clear tactical edge, Nashville SC look set to claim a comfortable win. Toronto FC will need to find a way to overcome their injury setbacks if they hope to spoil the party.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 03:35 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mukhtar
Assist: Espinoza
Mukhtar
Assist: Surridge
Morgan
Gomis
Saad
Osorio
Sallói
Espinoza
Surridge
Yellow Card
Tagseth
Corbeanu
Najar
Match Statistics
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. WillisG
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 11E. SaadM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 31A. NajarD
Substitutes
- 2D. LovitzD
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 17Owen PresthusD
- 19A. MuylM
- 22J. BauerD
- 23J. KnightD
Toronto FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1L. GavranG
- 3Matheus PereiraD
- 6N. DorschM
- 7T. CorbeanuM
- 9J. SargentF
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 15N. GomisD
- 20D. SallóiM
- 21J. OsorioM
- 38J. GilmanD
- 90L. MorganF
Substitutes
- 11D. EtienneF
- 14Alonso CoelloM
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 19K. FranklinD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 27A. PiedrahitaF
- 44R. EdwardsD
- 76L. StefanovicD
- 99J. VilsaintF
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mukhtar | M | 90 | 9.9 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Najar | D | 87 | 7.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| C. Espinoza | M | 78 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| E. Tagseth | M | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Saad | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| J. Bauer | D | 3 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Willis | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0/5 |
| A. Muyl | M | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Acosta | M | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Knight | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Presthus | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Gavran | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Franklin | D | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sargent | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| L. Morgan | F | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Piedrahita | F | 17 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Etienne | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Corbeanu | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| J. Osorio | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Dorsch | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Sallói | M | 73 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Gilman | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Monlouis | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Gomis | D | 63 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vilsaint | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Yarbrough | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Stefanovic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nashville SC to win against Toronto FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nashville SC 3–1 Toronto FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Nashville SC vs Toronto FC?
- Fipster's model gave Nashville SC a 85% chance of winning, Toronto FC a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.