Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Nashville and Philadelphia settle for stalemate
A goalless draw defies expectations in a tight MLS encounter
Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union played out a 0-0 draw, with neither side able to break the deadlock. This result was a surprise given Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home win, proving that sometimes football refuses to follow the script.
Outcome probability
Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union face off in the 32nd round of the regular season, with Nashville expected to showcase their potent attack and secure a convincing victory.
Match factors
Nashville SC's potent home attack
Nashville averages 3 goals per home game with top scorers Surridge and Mukhtar in strong form
Mukhtar's dual threat as scorer and assister
Mukhtar's 13 goals and 7 assists make him a key creative and finishing threat
Iloski's scoring prowess for Philadelphia
Iloski leads Philadelphia with 19 goals, maintaining high scoring rate despite away challenge
Espinoza's creative consistency
Espinoza has 10 assists this season, showing strong recent form as primary playmaker
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, allowing both teams to field strongest lineups
The context
This regular season encounter sees Nashville SC, known for their strong home performances, take on Philadelphia Union, who rely heavily on their top scorer M. Iloski. Both teams have full squads available, setting the stage for an open and competitive match.
Key insights
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
Leads team with 17 goals, boasting a high shot volume and conversion rate, making him a key finisher especially at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2717 goals in 23 apps, 0.74 goals/game
H. Mukhtar
Nashville SC
A dual threat with 13 goals and 7 assists, Mukhtar's recent form includes 5 goals in the last 5 games, crucial for Nashville's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 goals and 7 assists in 29 apps
M. Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Top scorer for Philadelphia with 19 goals, maintaining strong recent scoring form despite the away challenge.
Major League Soccer 26/2719 goals in 29 apps, 0.66 goals/game
C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
Top assister with 10 assists, Espinoza is a key creative outlet, linking well with Nashville's top scorers.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 assists in 25 apps, 0.4 assists/game
Analysis
Nashville SC's attacking duo, S. Surridge and H. Mukhtar, have been in excellent form, combining for 30 goals and numerous assists this season. Their home scoring rate is impressive, averaging three goals per game. Philadelphia's M. Iloski leads his team with 19 goals but faces a tough challenge against Nashville's defence. The predicted halftime score of 2-0 aligns with Nashville's early dominance, and the fulltime score of 4-1 reflects their ability to maintain pressure and capitalize on chances. The match is also expected to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards anticipated.
Key facts
- 1.Nashville SC average 3 goals per home game this season.
- 2.S. Surridge leads Nashville with 17 goals, scoring 0.74 goals per game.
- 3.H. Mukhtar has contributed 13 goals and 7 assists this season.
- 4.M. Iloski is Philadelphia's top scorer with 19 goals.
- 5.Philadelphia Union have won 4 of 13 head-to-head matches against Nashville SC.
- 6.Nashville SC have won 5 of 13 head-to-head matches against Philadelphia Union.
- 7.Head-to-head matches average 1.9 total goals per game.
- 8.Four cards are expected in this match.
Prediction
Expect Nashville SC to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime thanks to clinical finishing from Surridge and Mukhtar. Philadelphia Union may pull one back, but Nashville's attacking depth should see them extend the lead to 4-1 by fulltime.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nashville SC
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
With both teams at full strength, Nashville SC's home advantage and attacking prowess make them the clear favourites to secure a comprehensive 4-1 victory over Philadelphia Union in this regular season clash.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 01:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tagseth
Yellow Card
Lukić
Yellow Card
Tagseth
Muyl
Qasem
Jakupovic
Sery Larsen
Alladoh
Lovitz
Madrigal
Vassilev
Jean-Jacques
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Nashville SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 8P. YazbekM
- 19A. MuylM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 37A. QasemF
- 41W. MadrigalF
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 11E. SaadF
- 14S. MohammedM
- 22J. BauerD
- 31A. NajarD
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 44Neil PierreD
- 51M. JakupovicF
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 14J. RafanelloM
- 16B. BenderM
- 28A. AnelloF
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 47K. LeBlancM
- 66F. SundstromD
- 76A. RickG
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Schwake | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Surridge | F | 32 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Najar | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Mukhtar | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Saad | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Qasem | F | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Madrigal | F | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| C. Espinoza | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Willis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Sullivan | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| J. Lukić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Sery Larsen | D | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Blake | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bedoya | M | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Westfield | D | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Anello | F | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jean-Jacques | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| B. Bender | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Harriel | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Alladoh | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| K. Wagner | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Neil Pierre | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| I. Vassilev | M | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| M. Jakupovic | F | 59 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Rick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rafanello | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. LeBlanc | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Sundstrom | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nashville SC to win against Philadelphia Union.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nashville SC 4–1 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave Nashville SC a 95% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.