Nashville SC vs DC United
Match recap
Nashville SC and DC United drew 2–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Madrigal and Madrigal scored for Nashville SC; Munteanu and Bartlett replied for DC United. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.02 for Nashville SC versus 1.38 for DC United.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Nashville SC win
Actual
2–2
Outcome probability
Nashville SC and DC United face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season encounter. With Nashville boasting a strong home record and a high-scoring attack, they look poised to take control early and maintain pressure throughout.
Match factors
Nashville SC's potent attacking trio
Surridge, Mukhtar, and Espinoza form a high-scoring, creative frontline with strong recent form and home advantage
DC United missing key attacker Louis Munteanu
Munteanu is confirmed out due to leg injury, weakening DC United's attacking options significantly
Nashville SC's superior home scoring rate
Nashville averages 2.93 goals per home game, well above DC United's 1.29 away scoring rate
Nashville SC's strong recent home form
Nashville has won 5 consecutive home games scoring in each, indicating strong momentum
Espinoza's creative influence
Espinoza's 11 assists this season and recent form make him a key playmaker for Nashville
The context
This match is part of the MLS regular season's 13th round. Nashville SC have demonstrated impressive form at home, scoring nearly three goals per game on average, while DC United have struggled to find the net away from home. The fixture is a chance for Nashville to extend their winning streak and for DC United to try and halt their away woes.
Key insights
S. Surridge
Nashville SC
Leads Nashville SC scoring with 16 goals, well above league attacker average, making him a key threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 22 apps, 0.73 goals/game
H. Mukhtar
Nashville SC
Second top scorer with 14 goals and 6 assists, excellent home scoring rate and creative leader.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 28 apps, 0.5 goals/game; 6 assists in 28 apps, 0.21 assists/game
C. Espinoza
Nashville SC
Top assister with 11 assists, consistent creative output, key in Nashville's build-up play at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 24 apps, 0.46 assists/game
- L
L. Bartlett
DC United
Key defender with 27 starts and 4 goals, important in defensive organisation despite team's away struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/2727 starts, 4 goals
Analysis
Nashville SC's attacking trio, led by Surridge and Mukhtar, has been in fine form, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals this season. Creative spark from Espinoza further enhances their threat. Meanwhile, DC United face a challenge without key attacker Louis Munteanu, who is sidelined with a leg injury, weakening their offensive options. Nashville's home scoring rate of 2.93 goals per game dwarfs DC United's 1.29 away average, suggesting a tactical and statistical edge for the hosts.
Key facts
- 1.Nashville SC averages 2.93 goals per home game this season.
- 2.DC United's away scoring rate is 1.29 goals per game.
- 3.Louis Munteanu is out with a leg injury, weakening DC United's attack.
- 4.Nashville SC has won their last five home games, scoring in each.
- 5.Surridge leads Nashville SC with 16 goals this season.
- 6.Espinoza tops Nashville's assists with 11 this season.
- 7.Nashville SC has a strong head-to-head record against DC United with 7 wins in 14 matches.
- 8.Average goals in head-to-head matches is 3.2, indicating high-scoring games.
Prediction
We predict Nashville SC to win 3-0, with a halftime lead of 1-0 setting the tone. The home side's attacking prowess and recent momentum should see them comfortably outscore DC United, who will struggle to breach Nashville's defence. Expect a moderately disciplined game with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nashville SC
Away — DC United
The verdict
Nashville SC's combination of strong home form, attacking firepower, and DC United's injury setbacks make a convincing home win the most likely outcome. Fans can anticipate a confident Nashville performance capped by a 3-0 scoreline.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 09:48 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Munteanu
Assist: Hefti
Bartlett
Assist: Kurokawa
Goal confirmed
Mukhtar
Yellow Card
Hefti
Yellow Card
Acosta
Yellow Card
Acosta
Muyl
Goal cancelled
Stroud
Palacios
Yellow Card
Hefti
Yellow Card
Hefti
Red Card
Madrigal
Hopkins
Palacios
Munteanu
Lovitz
Qasem
Madrigal
Assist: Najar
Match Statistics
Nashville SC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 7C. EspinozaF
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 19A. MuylM
- 31A. NajarD
- 37A. QasemF
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 3M. WoledziD
- 12C. BrunetM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 17W. PaciusF
- 22J. BauerD
- 23J. KnightD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 41W. MadrigalF
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 8J. StroudM
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 25J. HopkinsF
Substitutes
- 9T. BariboF
- 12C. AntleyD
- 17J. MurrellF
- 22A. HerreraD
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 30C. ClarkM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Najar | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4/6 |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Espinoza | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Jack Maher | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Hany Mukhtar(C) | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | F | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jordan Knight | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bauer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 28 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | D | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 84 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | F | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| João Peglow | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gavin Turner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caden Clark | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tai Baribo | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Markovic | D | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Herrera | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nashville SC vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nashville SC to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nashville SC vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nashville SC 3–0 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Nashville SC vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Nashville SC a 92% chance of winning, DC United a 4% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 92% confidence — a high-confidence call.