Nashville SC vs CF Montreal
Nashville SC edges Montreal with penalty
S. Surridge's spot-kick secures a narrow victory for Nashville SC.
Nashville SC claimed a tight 1-0 win over CF Montreal in Major League Soccer thanks to a penalty converted by S. Surridge in the 68th minute. The match was a closely contested affair with the solitary goal making all the difference. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was a bit more restrained than the forecasted 3-2 thriller.
Analysis
Nashville SC and CF Montreal are set to face off in what promises to be a closely contested MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 18. Nashville SC have been impressive at home, while CF Montreal have struggled defensively on the road, conceding an average of three goals per away game.
Nashville's attacking duo, Hany Mukhtar and Sam Surridge, have been in fine form, with Mukhtar netting multiple braces recently and Surridge maintaining consistent goal-scoring performances. Montreal's Prince-Osei Owusu remains a key threat on counter-attacks, but their defensive vulnerabilities away from home could be exploited. Doubts over Nashville's midfield creativity due to potential absences may add an interesting tactical twist.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Nashville SC with a 3-2 scoreline, reflecting their potent attack and Montreal's defensive frailties. The match is expected to be competitive and entertaining, with a total of four cards likely to be shown.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Nashville's potent home attack led by Mukhtar and Surridge
Mukhtar and Surridge have strong recent scoring form at home, likely to exploit Montreal's leaky defense
Montreal's defensive struggles away from home
Montreal concedes 3 goals per away game on average, increasing Nashville's scoring chances
Mukhtar's multi-goal games boost Nashville's scoring potential
Mukhtar has scored multiple braces recently, indicating strong form and confidence
Nashville's doubtful midfielders may affect creativity
Tagseth and Najar are doubtful, potentially limiting midfield creativity if absent
Montreal's Owusu key to counter-attacks
Owusu's goal and assist contributions make him a threat on the break against Nashville's defense
Key Takeaways
Expect a thrilling encounter with Nashville SC narrowly prevailing thanks to their attacking firepower. Montreal will push hard but may fall just short in this high-scoring MLS clash.
- Nashville SC have a 56% aggregated probability to win this match.
- The most probable full-time scoreline is 3-2 in favour of Nashville SC.
- Hany Mukhtar has scored multiple braces recently, boosting Nashville's scoring potential.
- CF Montreal concedes an average of 3 goals per away game, highlighting defensive struggles.
- Sam Surridge has scored 8+ goals in his last 10 matches, showing strong finishing.
- Prince-Osei Owusu is Montreal's leading scorer with 3 goals in recent matches.
- Four cards are predicted to be shown during the match, indicating a competitive game.
- Nashville's midfield creativity may be impacted by doubtful players Andy Najar and others.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nashville SC
Away — CF Montreal
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bauer
Muyl
Tagseth
Surridge
Penalty
Herbers
Neal
Unknown
Surridge
Yellow Card
Longstaff
Mohammed
Yellow Card
Corcoran
Match Statistics
Nashville SC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 14S. MohammedF
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 19A. MuylM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 22J. BauerD
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 12C. BrunetM
- 17W. PaciusF
- 21T. WilliamsD
- 23J. KnightD
- 31A. NajarD
- 37A. QasemF
CF Montreal
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. BrezaG
- 2J. NealD
- 4B. VeraD
- 8M. LongstaffM
- 9P. OwusuF
- 13L. PetrassoD
- 18H. SynchukF
- 21F. HerbersM
- 22V. LoturiM
- 23N. StreitF
- 27D. BugajD
Substitutes
- 5B. CraigD
- 6S. PietteM
- 14D. RíosF
- 17D. ÞórhallssonD
- 24E. MoralesD
- 25F. AmayaM
- 26I. LosenkoM
- 29O. EscobarF
- 41S. KeitaG
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 95 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Schwake | G | 95 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edvard Tagseth | M | 66 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Sam Surridge | F | 95 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Josh Bauer | D | 57 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Hany Mukhtar(C) | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Alex Muyl | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Joe Willis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Knight | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Williams | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 38 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CF Montreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Neal | D | 74 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brayan Vera | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Longstaff | M | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Prince Owusu(C) | F | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Dawid Bugaj | D | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hennadii Synchuk | F | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fabian Herbers | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Breza | G | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Petrasso | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Loturi | M | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Noah Streit | F | 82 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Samuel Piette | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frankie Amaya | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandan Craig | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Losenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samsy Keita | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dagur Dan Þórhallsson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efraín Morales | D | 21 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Olger Escobar | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rios | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |