Napoli vs Lazio
Match recap
Lazio beat Napoli 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Cancellieri, Zaccagni, and Bašić scored for Lazio. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.51 for Napoli versus 2.27 for Lazio. Napoli sit 2nd in the Serie A table while Lazio are 9th.
Analysis
As Napoli prepare to host Lazio, the stage is set for a closely contested Serie A clash. Napoli's home advantage and creative midfield prowess suggest a narrow victory is on the cards.
Napoli currently sit third in the league with 66 points from 33 games, boasting a superior goal difference of +11 compared to Lazio's ninth-place standing and 47 points. Lazio's top scorer Matteo Cancellieri is sidelined, weakening their attacking threat.
Napoli's Matteo Politano stands out with 5 goals and 5 assists this season, thriving particularly at home. Despite injuries to key attackers like Rasmus Højlund, Napoli's midfield, led by Politano and Stanislav Lobotka with 93% passing accuracy, is expected to control the game. Lazio's attack is hampered by injuries, reducing their goal threat.
Prediction
The prediction favours a 1-0 home win for Napoli with a 60% confidence level. The halftime and fulltime scores align, reflecting a disciplined match with an expected four cards. Napoli's home form and creative edge should see them edge out Lazio.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Napoli's key attackers injured
Højlund and McTominay injured, reducing scoring options; Politano's fitness crucial
Napoli's midfield passing edge
Lobotka and Politano's high passing accuracy and assist rates favor Napoli's attack
Defensive disruption due to absences
Napoli missing key defenders like Di Lorenzo, may weaken defensive solidity
Politano's consistent creative form
Politano's recent assists and goal contributions boost Napoli's chance to score
Lazio's attack impacted by injuries
Lazio's top scorer Cancellieri injured, limiting away goal threat
Key Takeaways
In summary, Napoli's home strength and midfield creativity, combined with Lazio's injury woes, point towards a narrow but confident home victory. Expect a tight game decided by a single goal and moderate discipline.
- Napoli are third in Serie A with 66 points from 33 games (W20 D6 L7).
- Lazio sit ninth with 47 points from 33 games (W12 D11 L10).
- Napoli have a superior goal difference of +11 compared to Lazio.
- Matteo Politano leads Napoli with 5 goals and 5 assists this season.
- Stanislav Lobotka boasts a 93% passing accuracy, key to Napoli's midfield control.
- Lazio's top scorer Matteo Cancellieri is injured, limiting their attack.
- The predicted total cards count is 4, indicating a moderately disciplined match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
Away — Lazio
No standout top scorers flagged for Lazio
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cancellieri
Assist: Taylor
Lobotka
Yellow Card
Zaccagni
Missed Penalty
Cataldi
Yellow Card
Zambo Anguissa
De Bruyne
Bašić
Assist: Cancellieri
Taylor
Yellow Card
Gila
Cataldi
Cataldi
Zaccagni
Gila
Lobotka
Spinazzola
Spinazzola
Lobotka
Bašić
Politano
Lazzari
Dia
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4A. BuongiornoD
- 8S. McTominayF
- 11K. De BruyneF
- 17M. OliveraD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoM
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 37L. SpinazzolaM
- 68S. LobotkaM
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Substitutes
- 1A. MeretG
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 5Juan JesusD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 14N. ContiniG
- 20E. ElmasM
- 23GiovaneF
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 30P. MazzocchiD
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 10M. ZaccagniF
- 13A. RomagnoliD
- 14T. NoslinF
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 22M. CancellieriF
- 24K. TaylorM
- 26T. BašićM
- 29M. LazzariD
- 32D. CataldiM
- 34Mario GilaD
- 40E. MottaG
Substitutes
- 3L. PellegriniD
- 4PatricD
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 9PedroF
- 18G. IsaksenF
- 19B. DiaF
- 20P. RatkovF
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 23E. HysajD
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 27D. MaldiniF
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 72Nicolo PannozzoG
- 99Giacomo GiacomoneG
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathías Olivera | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Scott McTominay | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matteo Politano(C) | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Billy Gilmour | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Jesus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Meret | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Giovane | F | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Cancellieri | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Gila Fuentes | D | 61 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Toma Bašić | M | 71 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Edoardo Motta | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | D | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Cataldi | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mattia Zaccagni(C) | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Reda Belahyane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Ratkov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Pellegrini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolo Pannozzo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Giacomone | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Przyborek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patric | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elseid Hysaj | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |