Napoli vs Frosinone
Napoli cruise past Frosinone with De Bruyne brace
A commanding home victory silences the doubters as Napoli dominate 3-0.
Napoli put on a clinical display to secure a 3-0 win over Frosinone, with K. De Bruyne starring by converting a penalty and sealing the victory with a late goal. N. Lang also contributed with a well-timed strike shortly after the penalty. This result was a surprise, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Frosinone.
Outcome probability
Napoli and Frosinone face off in the sixth round of the Serie A season, both sides eager to climb the table. Napoli, also known as Gli Azzurri, have had a mixed start, while Frosinone have shown promising form on the road.
Match factors
Napoli missing key attackers and goalkeeper
Napoli's confirmed absences include key attackers and goalkeeper, weakening their offensive and defensive stability
Frosinone's strong recent away form
Frosinone has scored in 4 of last 5 matches and maintains a positive away scoring streak, supporting predicted away win
Defensive solidity of Napoli's Amir Rrahmani
Rrahmani's high passing accuracy and duel success provide Napoli with defensive stability despite injuries
Antonio Raimondo's goal-scoring form for Frosinone
Raimondo's multiple goals and high ratings make him a key threat in attack for Frosinone
Creative midfield presence from Frosinone's Calò and Schmid
Calò and Schmid's passing and assist contributions enhance Frosinone's attacking options
The context
Napoli sit ninth with 7 points from 5 games, having won twice, drawn once, and lost twice. Frosinone are close behind in seventh place with 7 points from 4 games, boasting two wins, a draw, and a single loss. Both teams are fairly matched on points, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
- A
Amir Rrahmani
Napoli
Rrahmani's high passing accuracy and duel success provide Napoli with defensive stability despite injuries.
Serie A 26/2788% passing accuracy, 72% duel win rate, 9 tackles and 3 interceptions in 4 games
- A
Antonio Raimondo
Frosinone
Raimondo's multiple goals and high ratings make him a key threat in attack for Frosinone.
Serie A 26/27Multiple goals this season with match ratings up to 8.72
- G
Giacomo Calò
Frosinone
Calò's high passing volume and accuracy contribute to Frosinone's attacking options.
Serie A 26/27Up to 80 passes per match with around 80% accuracy
- R
Romano Schmid
Frosinone
Schmid's creativity and assists enhance Frosinone's midfield effectiveness.
Serie A 26/27Multiple assists and strong involvement in build-up play
Analysis
Frosinone's recent away performances have been encouraging, with key players like Antonio Raimondo leading the attack with multiple goals and strong match ratings. Their midfield duo, Giacomo Calò and Romano Schmid, provide creativity and assists, enhancing their offensive threat. Napoli, despite the defensive solidity offered by Amir Rrahmani, are hampered by the absence of key attackers and their goalkeeper, which could undermine their usual stability. This combination of factors tilts the balance in favour of Frosinone, who are likely to capitalise on these vulnerabilities.
Key facts
- 1.Napoli are 9th in the league with 7 points from 5 games (W2 D1 L2).
- 2.Frosinone are 7th with 7 points from 4 games (W2 D1 L1).
- 3.Frosinone's Antonio Raimondo has scored multiple goals this season with high match ratings.
- 4.Napoli's Amir Rrahmani boasts 88% passing accuracy and a 72% duel win rate.
- 5.Frosinone's midfielders Giacomo Calò and Romano Schmid contribute significantly to assists and creativity.
- 6.Napoli are missing key attackers and their goalkeeper due to injury.
- 7.Frosinone have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing strong away form.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Frosinone, with the away side expected to take the lead by halftime and hold on for the win. The match is predicted to be competitive but ultimately decided by a single goal, reflecting Frosinone's ability to edge out their opponents under these circumstances.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
Away — Frosinone
The verdict
In summary, while Napoli have defensive strengths, their injury setbacks and Frosinone's attacking momentum suggest the visitors will claim all three points. Expect a closely fought match with Frosinone sneaking a late winner to maintain their positive away form.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 15:04 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
VAR Review
De Bruyne
Penalty
Lang
Masini
Højlund
Neres
Raimondo
Ghedjemis
Lobotka
Lang
Bracaglia
Rrahmani
Yellow Card
Spinazzola
Schmid
Badiashile
Yellow Card
De Bruyne
Assist: Giovane
Match Statistics
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 5B. BadiashileD
- 7David NeresM
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 22G. Di LorenzoM
- 37L. SpinazzolaM
- 68S. LobotkaM
- 70N. LangM
Substitutes
- 6B. GilmourM
- 8S. McTominayM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 20L. LuccaF
- 21M. PolitanoF
- 23GiovaneF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 35Luca MarianucciD
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2G. CittadiniD
- 3G. CalvaniD
- 7F. GhedjemisM
- 9A. RaimondoF
- 10R. SchmidM
- 14G. CalòM
- 17G. KvernadzeM
- 20A. OyonoD
- 22L. PalmisaniG
- 73P. MasiniM
- 79G. BracagliaD
Substitutes
- 5W. AmeyD
- 12M. PisseriG
- 16Matteo CichellaM
- 24A. ZerbinF
- 25K. AkpogumaD
- 30I. MonterisiD
- 40S. FiniF
- 70L. HasaM
- 71A. TerzićD
- 74Omar FayedD
- 89T. BobčekF
- 90E. TchatoD
- 91S. DesplanchesG
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lang | M | 72 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0/1 |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 19 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| B. Badiashile | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Politano | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Giovane | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| David Neres | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/5 |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Lucca | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Meret | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Højlund | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 81 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Luca Marianucci | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Contini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Beukema | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frosinone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Palmisani | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| G. Cittadini | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Schmid | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| G. Calvani | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Calò | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| S. Fini | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Oyono | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Zerbin | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| P. Masini | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | M | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| W. Amey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Desplanches | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tchato | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hasa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Fayed | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Monterisi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pisseri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Akpoguma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Napoli vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Frosinone to win against Napoli.
- What score did Fipster predict for Napoli vs Frosinone?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Napoli 0–1 Frosinone.
- What were the win probabilities for Napoli vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's model gave Napoli a 16% chance of winning, Frosinone a 68% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.