Napoli vs Cremonese
Match recap
Napoli beat Cremonese 4–0 in their Serie A fixture. McTominay, De Bruyne, Terracciano, and Santos scored for Napoli. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.16 for Napoli versus 0.28 for Cremonese. Napoli sit 2nd in the Serie A table while Cremonese are 18th.
Analysis
As Napoli prepare to host Cremonese, expectations are high for a solid home performance. With Napoli's attacking prowess and Cremonese's defensive struggles, this match promises a clear outcome.
Napoli currently sit 3rd in the league with 66 points, showcasing consistent form, while Cremonese languish in 17th place with just 28 points. Historically, Napoli have dominated this fixture, winning three of the last four encounters.
Napoli's offensive strength is highlighted by R. Højlund, their top scorer with 10 goals, despite recent injury concerns. Midfield maestros S. McTominay and M. Politano provide creativity and goal threat, especially at home. Cremonese's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.4 goals per game, further tilt the scales in Napoli's favour.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-0 victory for Napoli, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at a robust 95%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Napoli missing key attackers
R. Højlund and other attackers are injured, reducing scoring options but team depth compensates.
Midfield dominance by Napoli
McTominay and Politano's form and passing superiority likely to control midfield and create chances.
Napoli's superior home scoring rate
Napoli averages 1.6 goals at home vs Cremonese's 0.8 away, supporting predicted 2-0 scoreline.
Napoli's strong recent home form
Napoli has multiple recent home wins with clean sheets, indicating confidence and defensive solidity.
Cremonese's defensive vulnerabilities
Cremonese concedes 1.4 goals per game, higher than league average, Napoli's attackers can exploit.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Napoli's superior form, home advantage, and key player contributions make them clear favourites to secure a comfortable win over Cremonese. Fans can anticipate a disciplined yet dominant display from the home side.
- Napoli have won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Cremonese.
- Average goals per match in this fixture is 3.5, favouring multiple goals.
- Napoli rank 3rd with 66 points; Cremonese are 17th with 28 points.
- Napoli average 1.6 goals per home game; Cremonese concede 1.4 goals per away game.
- R. Højlund is Napoli's top scorer with 10 goals in 28 appearances.
- M. Politano leads Napoli with 5 assists this season.
- Napoli have kept multiple recent clean sheets at home.
- Predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
Away — Cremonese
No standout top scorers flagged for Cremonese
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
McTominay
Assist: De Bruyne
De Bruyne
Terracciano (OG)
Floriani Mussolini
Okereke
Bondo
Santos
Assist: Milinković-Savić
Politano
Olivera
Lobotka
Luperto
Højlund
De Bruyne
Maleh
Match Statistics
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3Miguel GutiérrezM
- 4A. BuongiornoD
- 8S. McTominayM
- 11K. De BruyneF
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 17M. OliveraD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoM
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 68S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 1A. MeretG
- 5Juan JesusD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 20E. ElmasM
- 23GiovaneF
- 30P. MazzocchiD
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 37L. SpinazzolaD
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Cremonese
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1E. AuderoG
- 3G. PezzellaD
- 5S. LupertoD
- 6F. BaschirottoD
- 22R. Floriani MussoliniM
- 24F. TerraccianoD
- 29Y. MalehM
- 32M. PayeroF
- 38W. BondoM
- 77D. OkerekeM
- 90F. BonazzoliF
Substitutes
- 2M. ThorsbyM
- 4T. BarbieriD
- 7A. ZerbinF
- 9M. ĐurićF
- 15M. BianchettiD
- 16M. SilvestriG
- 18M. CollocoloM
- 23F. CeccheriniD
- 27J. VandeputteM
- 30M. FayeD
- 33A. GrassiM
- 55F. FolinoD
- 69L. NavaG
- 99A. SanabriaF
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisson Santos | F | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5/9 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | F | 75 | 9.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Scott McTominay | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 53 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Matteo Politano(C) | M | 53 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juan Jesus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Meret | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Billy Gilmour | M | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Giovane | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
Cremonese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martín Payero | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Emil Audero | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Baschirotto(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David Okereke | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Warren Bondo | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Bonazzoli | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 61 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 78 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Federico Ceccherini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sanabria | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Silvestri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Nava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Bianchetti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikayil Faye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michele Collocolo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morten Thorsby | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Francesco Folino | D | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |