Napoli vs Como
Como stuns Napoli with early double strike
A swift brace from M. Baturina and T. Douvikas secures a shock win on the road.
Como took an early lead through M. Baturina at 17 minutes and doubled their advantage just before half-time with T. Douvikas's goal at 34 minutes. Napoli's R. Højlund pulled one back at 30 minutes, but it wasn't enough to prevent a 2-1 defeat at home. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win proved spot on, calling the exact scoreline correctly.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with a tantalising clash between Napoli, known as Gli Azzurri, and Como. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Napoli looking to assert their home advantage and Como aiming to make a statement with their recent signing Luis Milla.
Key facts
- 1.Napoli are ranked 2nd in their league with 76 points from 38 games last season.
- 2.Como are ranked 4th with 71 points from 38 games last season.
- 3.Como have a significantly better goal difference than Napoli, by 14 goals last season.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Napoli.
- 5.The most probable full-time scoreline is a 2-1 away win for Como.
- 6.Three total cards are expected in the match.
- 7.Como have strengthened their squad with the signing of Luis Milla.
The context
This fixture marks the second round of the regular season, with both teams eager to build momentum. Napoli finished last season strongly, while Como have bolstered their squad with the arrival of Luis Milla, adding fresh options to their lineup. The stage is set for a competitive encounter between two sides with ambitions to climb the league table.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
Away — Como
Analysis
The prediction suggests Napoli will start brightly, leading 1-0 at halftime, but Como's superior goal difference from last season hints at their ability to fight back. Como's tactical discipline and the addition of Luis Milla could prove decisive in overturning the deficit. Napoli's challenge will be to maintain their early lead against a determined opponent who are slightly favoured to win overall.
Prediction
Expect Napoli to take an early lead, but Como to rally in the second half and secure a 2-1 victory. The match is likely to feature three cards, reflecting a competitive and hard-fought battle. This outcome aligns with the most probable full-time scoreline and reflects the medium confidence in Como's ability to clinch the win despite trailing at halftime.
The verdict
This season opener promises drama and a shift in momentum as Como aim to start their campaign with a statement win. Napoli will need to regroup after halftime to avoid an upset. Fans can look forward to a closely contested match with tactical battles and key moments shaping the final result.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baturina
Assist: Diao
Højlund
Assist: Rrahmani
Douvikas
Assist: Baturina
Di Lorenzo
Yellow Card
Lang
McTominay
Olivera
Baturina
Couto
Diao
da Cunha
Zambo Anguissa
Højlund
Paz
Match Statistics
Napoli
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 8S. McTominayM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 17M. OliveraD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoF
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 68S. LobotkaM
- 70N. LangF
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Substitutes
- 2C. FavasuliD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 7David NeresF
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 20L. LuccaF
- 23GiovaneF
- 26A. VergaraM
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 37L. SpinazzolaD
- 47C. GarofaloD
Como
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. ButezG
- 3Álex ValleD
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 10N. PazM
- 11Assane DiaoM
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 27Yan CoutoD
- 99T. ChalobahD
Substitutes
- 2M. KempfD
- 5M. PerroneM
- 8M. CaqueretM
- 12E. AuderoG
- 13A. DossenaD
- 14S. RicciM
- 15A. LahdoM
- 16KaikiD
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 18E. GoldanigaD
- 22M. VigoritoG
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 53Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 90Iván AzónF
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Politano | F | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Meret | G | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 80 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Noa Lang | F | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frank Anguissa | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo(C) | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Scott McTominay | M | 56 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Antonio Vergara | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Garofalo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | D | 38 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | 38 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| David Neres | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
Como
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Baturina | M | 58 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jacobo Ramón | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Butez | G | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anastasios Douvikas | F | 94 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Lucas Da Cunha(C) | M | 66 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Trevoh Chalobah | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Milla | M | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Assane Diao | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nico Paz | M | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 5/7 |
| Yan Couto | D | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Valle | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adrian Lahdo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rodriguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Liberali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Audero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Azón | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Dossena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Vigorito | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Goldaniga | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuele Ricci | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ivan Smolčić | D | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Kempf | D | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Máximo Perrone | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maxence Caqueret | M | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Napoli vs Como?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Como to win against Napoli.
- What score did Fipster predict for Napoli vs Como?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Napoli 1–2 Como.
- What were the win probabilities for Napoli vs Como?
- Fipster's model gave Napoli a 27% chance of winning, Como a 45% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 45% confidence — a medium-confidence call.