Napoli vs Bologna
Napoli edge Bologna with Lobotka's strike
A solitary goal secures a narrow home victory in Serie A.
Napoli claimed a tight 1-0 win over Bologna thanks to S. Lobotka's decisive goal after the break. The match was a close contest, with Napoli managing to hold on to their slim advantage. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Napoli facing Bologna in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive opener.
Key facts
- 1.Napoli ranks 2nd with 76 points last season, well ahead of Bologna's 8th place with 56 points.
- 2.Napoli's goal difference of +22 surpasses Bologna's +3, highlighting stronger attack and defence.
- 3.Napoli averaged 2.00 points per game last season, compared to Bologna's 1.47.
- 4.Napoli signed Giovane this summer, while Miguel Gutiérrez departed.
- 5.Bologna added A. Dovbyk and R. Piccoli on loan, plus R. Alhassane permanently.
- 6.Bologna lost S. Castro, J. Lucumí, and R. Freuler during the off-season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Napoli.
- 8.Three total cards are expected in the match.
The context
Napoli have strengthened their ranks with the arrival of Giovane, while bidding farewell to Miguel Gutiérrez. Bologna, on the other hand, have brought in A. Dovbyk and R. Piccoli on loan, along with R. Alhassane on a permanent transfer, but have lost S. Castro, J. Lucumí, and R. Freuler. These changes will influence how both sides approach the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
Away — Bologna
Analysis
Napoli enter this fixture with a clear advantage in league standing and goal difference from last season, reflecting a stronger overall performance. Their points per game also outshine Bologna's, suggesting a more consistent ability to secure results. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 indicates Napoli's intent to establish control early, while Bologna are expected to respond, making for a competitive second half.
Prediction
We anticipate Napoli to take the lead by halftime and maintain their advantage to win 2-1. The match should feature a few cards, with a total of three expected, reflecting a spirited contest but nothing too unruly.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Napoli looking to build on their superior form and Bologna aiming to challenge strongly despite the odds. Expect a closely fought game with Napoli edging it in the end.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal Disallowed - offside
Amondarain
Yellow Card
Politano
Vergara
Pobega
Piccoli
Amondarain
Lobotka
Assist: Favasuli
Højlund
Cambiaghi
Bernardeschi
De Bruyne
Match Statistics
Napoli
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6B. GilmourM
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoM
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 26A. VergaraM
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 37L. SpinazzolaD
- 68S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 2C. FavasuliD
- 5B. BadiashileD
- 7David NeresF
- 14N. ContiniG
- 17M. OliveraD
- 20L. LuccaF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 70N. LangF
Bologna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2E. HolmD
- 3A. TheateD
- 4T. PobegaM
- 8M. AmondarainM
- 10F. BernardeschiM
- 14T. HeggemD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 25M. PessinaG
- 28N. CambiaghiM
- 33Juan MirandaD
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 5E. HellandD
- 6N. MoroM
- 11S. MbangulaF
- 16N. CasaleD
- 18M. LibraD
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 22J. EnemF
- 23R. AlhassaneD
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 82Matteo FranceschelliG
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanislav Lobotka | M | 94 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kevin De Bruyne | M | 88 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Leonardo Spinazzola | D | 94 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 94 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vanja Milinković-Savić | G | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy Gilmour | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matteo Politano | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo(C) | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Vergara | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rasmus Højlund | F | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Neres | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikita Contini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Beukema | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías Olivera | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benoît Badiashile | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | D | 49 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Noa Lang | F | 49 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Lorenzo Lucca | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Ferguson(C) | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Juan Miranda | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Massimo Pessina | G | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Arthur Theate | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mikel Amondarain | M | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Łukasz Skorupski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Franceschelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Casale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Enem | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Samuel Mbangula | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Libra | D | 36 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Napoli vs Bologna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Napoli to win against Bologna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Napoli vs Bologna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Napoli 2–1 Bologna.
- What were the win probabilities for Napoli vs Bologna?
- Fipster's model gave Napoli a 85% chance of winning, Bologna a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.