Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt
Napoli edge thrilling seven-goal clash
McTominay's brace and a crucial own goal seal a narrow win for Napoli.
Napoli secured a narrow 4-3 victory over Bodo/Glimt in a pulsating UEFA Champions League encounter. M. Politano's early strike set the tone, while S. McTominay's brace proved decisive amid goals from both sides, including an own goal by O. Bjørtuft that tilted the balance. Despite a late goal from S. Fet, Napoli held on for the win, matching Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home victory, though the exact scoreline was more dramatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Napoli and Bodo/Glimt face off in a group stage match that looks set to deliver plenty of entertainment. Both teams have shown attacking prowess recently, suggesting a high-scoring affair is on the cards.
Match factors
Bodo/Glimt's attacking form is strong
Bodo/Glimt have scored in all last 4 games, averaging 2.75 goals per game, supporting predicted 2 goals
J. Hauge's creative streak
Hauge has 3 assists in 4 games, showing strong recent form as key playmaker
Defensive goal threat from Bodo/Glimt defenders
Aleesami and Bjørkan both scored recently, adding set-piece threat against Napoli
No confirmed injuries for Bodo/Glimt
Full squad availability increases attacking options and tactical flexibility
The context
Bodo/Glimt have been impressive in this competition so far, remaining unbeaten with two wins and two draws, scoring 11 goals and conceding 6. Napoli, known as Gli Azzurri, will be keen to assert their dominance and claim all three points in this encounter.
Key insights
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
Top scorer for Bodo/Glimt with 2 goals in 4 games, showing strong away scoring form.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in 4 games, 0.5 goals/game
J. Hauge
Bodo/Glimt
Leads the team with 3 assists in 4 games, a consistent creative threat especially in away matches.
UEFA Champions League 26/273 assists in 4 games, 0.75 assists/game
H. Aleesami
Bodo/Glimt
Adds offensive threat from defense with 1 goal in 3 games and strong defensive contributions.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 3 games, 0.33 goals/game
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Napoli, with a likely scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, indicating a closely contested first half. Bodo/Glimt's attacking threat is significant, with key players like A. Helmersen and J. Hauge contributing goals and assists respectively. Napoli will need to be vigilant defensively, especially against set-piece threats from Bodo/Glimt defenders Aleesami and Bjørkan.
Key facts
- 1.Bodo/Glimt have scored 11 goals and conceded 6 in 4 matches in this competition.
- 2.Napoli are predicted to win with a 3-2 scoreline, the most probable outcome.
- 3.Halftime score prediction is 2-1, consistent with the fulltime forecast.
- 4.Bodo/Glimt's A. Helmersen has scored 2 goals in 4 games, showing strong form.
- 5.J. Hauge leads Bodo/Glimt with 3 assists in 4 games, a key creative force.
- 6.Defenders Aleesami and Bjørkan add goal threat from set pieces for Bodo/Glimt.
- 7.Total cards predicted in the match are 3, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Prediction
Expect Napoli to clinch a narrow victory, edging Bodo/Glimt 3-2. The match should be lively, with both sides finding the net, but Gli Azzurri's home advantage and attacking edge should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Napoli
No standout top scorers flagged for Napoli
Away — Bodo/Glimt
The verdict
This group stage fixture promises goals and drama, with Napoli just about prevailing. Fans can look forward to a thrilling contest where defensive frailties might be exposed, but ultimately, the home side's firepower will make the difference.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Politano
Assist: Spinazzola
Hauge
Assist: Fet
McTominay
Assist: De Bruyne
Zambo Anguissa
Yellow Card
Lang
Yellow Card
Zambo Anguissa
Helmersen
Assist: Fet
McTominay
Assist: Politano
Helmersen
Politano
Lang
Spinazzola
Auklend
Bjørkan
Gundersen
Didrik Blomberg
Di Lorenzo
Yellow Card
Bjørtuft (OG)
Fet
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |  Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Paris Saint Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 8S. McTominayM
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoM
- 22G. Di LorenzoD
- 37L. SpinazzolaM
- 70N. LangM
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Substitutes
- 5B. BadiashileD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 17M. OliveraD
- 20L. LuccaF
- 23GiovaneF
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 68S. LobotkaM
Bodo/Glimt
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 6J. GundersenD
- 7P. BergM
- 8S. AuklendM
- 9A. HelmersenF
- 10J. HaugeM
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 12N. HaikinG
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 19S. FetM
- 20F. SjøvoldD
Substitutes
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 2V. NielsenD
- 5H. AleesamiD
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 16J. KitolanoM
- 17O. BrynhildsenF
- 22J. MvukaM
- 25I. MäättäD
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Politano | M | 79 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 90 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 7 | 0/1 |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 79 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Rafa Marín | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giovane | F | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lang | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3/4 |
| R. Højlund | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Zambo Anguissa | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Beukema | D | 11 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 30 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Meret | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Badiashile | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Contini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bodo/Glimt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Fet | M | 90 | 9.2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2/3 |
| J. Hauge | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Helmersen | F | 76 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| P. Berg | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| O. Brynhildsen | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Haikin | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Auklend | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Gundersen | D | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Didrik Blomberg | F | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Bjørkan | D | 84 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| U. Saltnes | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mvuka | M | 6 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Aleesami | D | 6 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| I. Määttä | D | 6 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Sjøvold | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Bjørtuft | D | 90 | 5.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Nielsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Faye Lund | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kitolano | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Napoli to win against Bodo/Glimt.
- What score did Fipster predict for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Napoli 3–2 Bodo/Glimt.
- What were the win probabilities for Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt?
- Fipster's model gave Napoli a 85% chance of winning, Bodo/Glimt a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.