Nacional vs Famalicao
Famalicao steamroll Nacional with clinical four-goal blitz
G. Koutsias and Sorriso each net a brace to dismantle the hosts.
Famalicao delivered a stunning 4-0 thrashing of Nacional, with G. Koutsias opening the scoring early and doubling his tally before the break. Sorriso matched that feat, sealing the emphatic victory with goals in both halves. This comprehensive away win was a clear upset, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home victory.
Outcome probability
Nacional and Famalicao face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter, with both sides currently level on points and eager to climb the league table.
Match factors
Nacional's set-piece threat from Léo Santos
Léo Santos contributes both goals and assists from defense, providing a key set-piece advantage at home.
Georgios Koutsias' strong away scoring form
Koutsias has scored 2 goals in last 2 away matches, making him a potent threat despite Famalicao's overall struggles.
Liziero's creative influence for Nacional
Liziero has provided an assist recently and maintains good passing stats, boosting Nacional's attacking chances.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so all key players are available to influence the match.
The context
Both teams sit near the bottom of the league with 4 points from 6 games, making this clash crucial for momentum. Their head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with Famalicao holding a slight edge in wins, but Nacional have shown resilience at home.
Key insights
Léo Santos
Nacional
Léo Santos provides a significant set-piece threat with both goals and assists from defense, boosting Nacional's home advantage.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 5 games for Nacional in this competition.
Georgios Koutsias
Famalicao
Koutsias has been in strong away scoring form, netting 2 goals in his last 2 away matches, making him a key threat despite Famalicao's struggles.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 5 appearances, including 2 in last 2 away games.
Liziero
Nacional
Liziero's creativity and assist record make him a vital playmaker for Nacional, enhancing their attacking chances.
Primeira Liga 26/271 assist in 4 appearances for Nacional.
Analysis
The matchup is finely balanced, with Nacional holding a slight statistical edge. Their defender Léo Santos is a notable set-piece threat, contributing both goals and assists at home. Meanwhile, Famalicao's Georgios Koutsias has been in good away form, scoring twice in his last two away matches. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a tactical battle with key players influencing the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Nacional and Famalicao have a close head-to-head record: 3 wins for Nacional, 4 for Famalicao, and 1 draw in 8 meetings.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.4, indicating moderate scoring potential.
- 3.Both teams have 4 points from 6 league games, reflecting similar form levels.
- 4.Nacional are ranked 14th with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses.
- 5.Famalicao are ranked 12th with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.
- 6.Léo Santos contributes both goals and assists from defense, a key set-piece threat for Nacional.
- 7.Georgios Koutsias is Famalicao's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games, including 2 in his last 2 away matches.
- 8.Liziero leads Nacional in assists with 1 in 4 games, boosting their attacking creativity.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 2-1 victory for Nacional. While the probabilities suggest a close contest, Nacional's home advantage and set-piece prowess give them the slight edge needed to secure the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Nacional
Away — Famalicao
The verdict
This game should provide an entertaining contest with goals from both sides. Expect Nacional to leverage their home strengths and edge out Famalicao in a match that could have gone either way.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Koutsias
Assist: Sorriso
Sorriso
Rofino
Yellow Card
Koutsias
Assist: De Amorim
Song Min-Kyu
José Gomes
Zé Vitor
Matchoi Djaló
Francisco
Yellow Card
Sorriso
Assist: De Amorim
Kokolo
Yellow Card
Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz
Dias
Francisco
Dias
Yellow Card
van Breemen
Yellow Card
Dias
Red Card
Sorriso
Koutsias
Pinheiro
Match Statistics
Nacional
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Renato BellucciG
- 2Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la CruzD
- 5José GomesD
- 6Matheus DiasM
- 8Miguel BaezaM
- 9A. ObandoF
- 12Song Min-KyuM
- 15C. LabidiM
- 20Matchoi DjalóM
- 33Francisco GonçalvesD
- 38Zé VitorD
Substitutes
- 7M. JensenM
- 10Daniel JúniorM
- 11S. GavrielM
- 13João GonçalvesG
- 14Ivanildo FernandesD
- 21W. KokoloD
- 23Mateus IseppeM
- 31D. DongmoM
- 50KevynG
- 52Wesley GasolinaD
- 99Pablo RuanF
Famalicao
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4F. van BreemenD
- 7SorrisoM
- 8Marcos PeñaM
- 14Mathias De AmorimM
- 15Víctor RofinoD
- 17Rodrigo PinheiroD
- 21T. SzucsM
- 23Gil DiasM
- 25L. CarevićG
- 28Pedro FranciscoD
- 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes
- 1I. ZlobinG
- 2Gustavo GarciaD
- 3L. RealpeD
- 5L. MeyerD
- 9U. AbubakarF
- 10Pedro SantosF
- 11Óscar ArandaF
- 19Paulo MoreiraM
- 22GabrielG
- 24Mathis JangealM
- 33P. SalasF
- 36M. MattaraD
Nacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Labidi | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Matchoi Djaló | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Pablo Ruan | F | 29 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Obando | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Song Min-Kyu | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Zé Vitor | D | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ivanildo Fernandes | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wesley Gasolina | D | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D | 72 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| José Gomes | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Matheus Dias | M | 77 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Miguel Baeza | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Gavriel | M | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Renato Bellucci | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Kokolo | D | 44 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Júnior | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dongmo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Gonçalves | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Iseppe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevyn | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Famalicao
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sorriso | M | 80 | 9.8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| G. Koutsias | F | 80 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | — | 2/3 |
| Mathias De Amorim | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| F. van Breemen | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Garcia | D | 7 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Carević | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor Rofino | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Pinheiro | D | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marcos Peña | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tamás Szücs | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Óscar Aranda | F | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Meyer | D | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gil Dias | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Pedro Santos | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| U. Abubakar | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Pedro Francisco | D | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Realpe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Zlobin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Salas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Jangeal | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mattara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Nacional vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nacional to win against Famalicao.
- What score did Fipster predict for Nacional vs Famalicao?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Nacional 2–1 Famalicao.
- What were the win probabilities for Nacional vs Famalicao?
- Fipster's model gave Nacional a 35% chance of winning, Famalicao a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.