NAC Breda vs Heerenveen
Match recap
NAC Breda beat Heerenveen 2–0 in their Eredivisie fixture. Kemper and Kemper scored for NAC Breda. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.86 for NAC Breda versus 1.00 for Heerenveen. NAC Breda sit 17th in the Eredivisie table while Heerenveen are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Heerenveen win
Actual
2–0
Analysis
As NAC Breda host Heerenveen in this crucial Eredivisie clash, the visitors look poised to extend their dominance with a narrow 2-1 victory. Expect a tactical battle with Heerenveen's attacking flair edging out the home side.
NAC Breda sit precariously in 17th place with just 28 points, while Heerenveen enjoy a comfortable 8th spot with 50 points. Historically, Heerenveen have the upper hand, winning 12 of their 20 encounters. The match kicks off at Breda's home ground, where NAC have struggled defensively this season.
Heerenveen's attacking midfielders, notably Jacob Trenskow and Maxence Rivera, excel at chance creation, exploiting NAC's defensive vulnerabilities. Dylan Vente leads the line with 17 goals this season, showing strong recent form and an impressive away scoring record. NAC's captain Boy Kemper offers leadership and occasional goals but may find it tough to contain Heerenveen's firepower.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-1 away win for Heerenveen, with a halftime score of 0-1. The visitors' superior expected goals and league standing support this outcome. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Heerenveen's attacking midfield creativity vs NAC Breda's defensive frailties
Heerenveen's midfielders like Trenskow and Rivera excel in creating chances against NAC's leaky defense, increasing scoring opportunities.
Dylan Vente's superior goal-scoring form
Vente's goal rate and recent scoring streak give Heerenveen a clear edge in attack over NAC's defenders.
NAC Breda's defensive struggles at home
NAC has conceded multiple goals in recent home games, indicating vulnerability to Heerenveen's attack.
Boy Kemper's leadership and scoring impact in recent matches
Kemper scored twice in last home match vs Heerenveen, showing ability to influence key moments despite defensive role.
No significant injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no major impact expected from absences.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Heerenveen's blend of creativity and clinical finishing should see them edge out NAC Breda. While the home side will fight hard, the visitors' quality and momentum make them the favourites to take all three points.
- Heerenveen have won 12 of 20 meetings against NAC Breda.
- Heerenveen rank 8th with 50 points; NAC Breda are 17th with 28 points.
- Dylan Vente is Heerenveen's top scorer with 17 goals this season.
- Jacob Trenskow leads Heerenveen with 7 assists, key in chance creation.
- NAC Breda have conceded multiple goals in recent home games.
- Boy Kemper scored twice in the last home match against Heerenveen.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- The predicted total cards count is 4, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — NAC Breda
Away — Heerenveen
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kemper
Trenskow
Oyen
Goal cancelled
Penalty confirmed
Kemper
Penalty
Soumano
Holtby
Odoi
Yellow Card
Zagaritis
Meerveld
Odoi
Courtens
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 19 |
Match Statistics
NAC Breda
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 3Denis Frimpong OdoiD
- 4Boy KemperD
- 9Moussa SoumanoF
- 14Kamal Deen SowahM
- 15Enes MahmutovićD
- 16Maximilien BalardM
- 22Rio HillenD
- 24André Morgan Rami AyewF
- 25Cherrion ValeriusM
- 90Lewis Harry HoltbyM
- 99Daniel BielicaG
Substitutes
- 1Roy KortsmitG
- 7Charles-Andreas BrymF
- 8Clint LeemansM
- 19Amine SalamaF
- 20Fredrik Oldrup JensenM
- 21Jayden CandelariaD
- 26Pepijn ReulenF
- 31Konstantinos LamprouG
- 32Juho Jaakko TalvitieF
- 55Brahim GhalidiF
Heerenveen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Maas WillemsenD
- 4Sam KerstenD
- 8Luuk BrouwersM
- 9Dylan VenteF
- 10Ringo MeerveldM
- 11Luca OyenM
- 16Marcus LindayM
- 19Vasilios ZagaritisD
- 20Jacob Bennedsen TrenskowM
- 22Bernt KlaverboerG
- 45Oliver Johansen BraudeD
Substitutes
- 15Mats EgbringD
- 18Lasse Selvåg NordåsF
- 28Hristiyan Ivaylov PetrovD
- 30T. SchreuderG
- 31Nordin BakkerG
- 35Isaiah AhmedM
- 36Nolhan Allan Courtens MabeneyshiM
- 38I. MulderD
- 50Eser GürbüzF
NAC Breda
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boy Kemper(C) | D | 90 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Daniel Bielica | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Hillen | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Enes Mahmutović | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maximilien Balard | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Denis Odoi | D | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| André Ayew | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Kamal Sowah | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Moussa Soumano | F | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Lewis Holtby | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juho Talvitie | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Lamprou | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Salama | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles-Andreas Brym | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clint Leemans | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roy Kortsmit | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fredrik Jensen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahim Ghalidi | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jayden Candelaria | D | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pepijn Reulen | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Heerenveen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Linday | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Luuk Brouwers(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Luca Oyen | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Oliver Braude | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Vasilios Zagaritis | D | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maas Willemsen | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Kersten | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Vente | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ringo Meerveld | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Jacob Trenskow | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Bernt Klaverboer | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Timo Schreuder | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ingmar Mulder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mats Egbring | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nordin Bakker | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eser Gürbüz | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lasse Selvåg Nordås | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nolhan Courtens | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hristiyan Petrov | D | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |