Motherwell vs SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg storms back to stun Motherwell
Motherwell's early lead undone by Ginter's brace and a late Goto strike.
Motherwell looked set for victory after R. Charles-Cook's early goal, but SC Freiburg turned the tie on its head with M. Ginter scoring twice, including a penalty after the break. K. Goto sealed the comeback deep into stoppage time, completing a 3-1 win that defied Fipster's confident prediction of a home win. The visitors' resilience ensured a memorable upset in the Europa Conference League clash.
Outcome probability
Motherwell face SC Freiburg in the playoff round of competition 848, with both teams looking to make a statement early in the season. The home side have shown impressive form in cup matches, while Freiburg will be aiming to upset the odds.
Match factors
Motherwell's strong recent scoring and defensive form
Motherwell have scored in all last 4 games and kept 3 clean sheets in 4, showing balanced form for a 2-0 win.
Motherwell's home defensive solidity
Motherwell have conceded 0 goals in their last 2 home games, indicating a strong defensive edge at home.
No injury concerns for either team
Both teams have no confirmed injuries or doubtful players, so full squads likely available.
Motherwell's positive scoring streak at home
Motherwell have scored in their last 2 home matches, supporting their predicted home win and 2 goals.
The context
Motherwell have been unbeaten in this competition so far this season, boasting three wins and a draw from four matches, scoring eight goals and conceding just one. SC Freiburg, meanwhile, will be keen to break that run and advance further in the playoffs.
Key facts
- 1.Motherwell unbeaten in 4 cup matches this season (3 wins, 1 draw).
- 2.Motherwell have scored 8 goals and conceded only 1 in this competition.
- 3.Home win probability for Motherwell is 78%, significantly higher than draw or away win.
- 4.Predicted halftime score is 1-0, consistent with fulltime 2-0 prediction.
- 5.Motherwell have kept clean sheets in their last 2 home games.
- 6.Both teams have no confirmed injuries or doubtful players.
- 7.Motherwell have scored in all of their last 4 games.
- 8.Motherwell have conceded 0 goals in their last 2 home matches.
Analysis
The data strongly favours a home win, with Motherwell's probability of victory standing at 78%, far surpassing the chances of a draw or an away win. Their defensive solidity is notable, having kept clean sheets in their last two home games and conceding only one goal in four cup matches. Offensively, they have scored in every recent game, supporting the prediction of a 2-0 scoreline. Both teams enter this match without injury concerns, so full-strength squads are expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Motherwell
No standout best passers flagged for Motherwell
Away — SC Freiburg
Prediction
Expect Motherwell to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0, and maintain control to secure a 2-0 victory by full time. The home side's balanced form in attack and defence should see them comfortably through this playoff encounter.
The verdict
Motherwell's unbeaten cup run and strong home performances set the stage for a confident win over SC Freiburg. With no injury worries and consistent form, the home side look well placed to progress with a 2-0 result.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Head to Head
Charles-Cook
Assist: Emmanuel
Hodge
Yellow Card
Ginter
Assist: Scherhant
Fadinger
Yellow Card
Charles-Cook
Beste
Yellow Card
Ginter
Penalty
Moormann
Red Card
Lowry
Yellow Card
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Lowry
Suzuki
Beste
Girdwood-Reich
Hodge
Matanović
Rosenfelder
Goto
Assist: Grifo
Scherhant
Match Statistics
Motherwell
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1A. PaulsenG
- 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
- 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
- 5M. MoormannD
- 8L. FadingerM
- 11A. LowryM
- 17R. Charles-CookF
- 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseF
- 19I. SaidF
- 45M. EmmanuelD
- 71J. HodgeM
Substitutes
- 2S. O'DonnellD
- 21M. ConnellyG
- 23E. WilsonD
- 24L. RossM
- 25Olly WhyteM
- 27M. BoothM
- 29Z. McAllisterM
- 31Jack McConnellG
- 34A. ThomsonD
- 35B. WatsonM
- 77W. VogtF
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 7D. ScherhantM
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 19J. BesteM
- 28M. GinterD
- 29P. TreuD
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 33J. MakengoD
- 37M. RosenfelderD
Substitutes
- 3P. LienhartD
- 5A. JungD
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 17L. KüblerD
- 21F. MüllerG
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 24J. HuthG
- 30C. GünterD
- 32V. GrifoM
- 42K. GotoF
- 43I. OgbusD
Motherwell
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Paulsen | G | 86 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Regan Charles-Cook | F | 45 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Jake Girdwood-Reich | D | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Fadinger(C) | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tawanda Maswanhise | F | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Ibrahim Said | F | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/8 |
| Emmanuel Longelo | D | 86 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jamie Knight-Lebel | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Moormann | D | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joe Hodge | M | 78 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alex Lowry | M | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matty Connelly | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Ross | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikey Booth | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander McAllister | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Thomson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blane Watson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack McConnell | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen O'Donnell | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ewan Wilson | D | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olly Whyte | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Vogt | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthias Ginter | D | 86 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maximilian Rosenfelder | D | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein(C) | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Philipp Treu | D | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 80 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Derry Scherhant | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/7 |
| Mio Backhaus | G | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Patrick Osterhage | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Huth | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Müller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Lienhart | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Ogbus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Goto | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |