Moreirense vs SC Braga
Moreirense snatch late draw against Braga
A thrilling 2-2 draw sees Moreirense deny Braga a win with a stoppage-time equaliser.
SC Braga looked set for victory after Fran Navarro and Pau Victor put them ahead, but Moreirense fought back with goals from N. John and a last-gasp strike by João Veloso to secure a 2-2 draw. The result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Moreirense win, turning what seemed a likely home victory into a shared spoils affair.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with Moreirense facing SC Braga in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams are yet to open their accounts, setting the stage for a tactical battle and a test of early-season form.
This is the first round of the regular season, so both Moreirense and SC Braga start on level footing with zero points. Historically, SC Braga have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, but early season dynamics can always spring surprises.
The prediction leans towards a Moreirense win by 2-1, despite SC Braga's stronger historical record. The first half is expected to be cagey and goalless, reflecting a tight defensive setup from both sides. The second half should see Moreirense edge ahead, capitalising on home advantage and possibly catching Braga off guard. The match is also expected to be moderately physical, with around four cards predicted.
Prediction
Expect a 0-0 scoreline at halftime, with Moreirense breaking through in the second half to secure a 2-1 victory. The confidence level is just under 50%, indicating a competitive match but with a slight edge to the home side.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
All in all, Moreirense look set to start their campaign with a hard-fought win over SC Braga. Fans should brace for a tight first half before the goals come in the latter stages, making for an entertaining watch.
- Moreirense and SC Braga both start the season with zero points.
- In 20 previous meetings, SC Braga have dominated with 18 wins to Moreirense's 2.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals per game.
- Moreirense are currently ranked 7th in the league standings.
- SC Braga are currently ranked 12th in the league standings.
- The most probable halftime score is 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- A total of 4 cards are expected in the match, suggesting moderate physicality.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Moreirense
Away — SC Braga
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Fran Navarro
Assist: Carvalho
John
Assist: Duville-Parsemain
Travassos
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Arrey-Mbi
Kevyn Monteiro
Yellow Card
Travassos
Dorgeles
Ricardo Horta
Unknown
John
Yellow Card
Victor
Assist: Tıknaz
Rodri Alonso
John
Unknown
Batista
Yellow Card
João Veloso
Tıknaz
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Moreirense
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 9A. Duville-ParsemainF
- 11LandersonF
- 13André FerreiraG
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 23N. JohnM
- 27KikoD
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
Substitutes
- 1AranhaG
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 10Kiko BondosoF
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 20João VelosoM
- 25Afonso AssisM
- 30J. GowerM
- 44Michael DacostaF
- 77K. MottohF
- 99MaranhãoF
SC Braga
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 7Diogo TravassosM
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 11Gabriel SilvaM
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 20M. DorgelesF
- 21Ricardo HortaF
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 29Jean-Baptiste GorbyM
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 34E. TıknazM
Substitutes
- 2Víctor GómezD
- 5Leonardo LeloD
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 10Pau VictorF
- 12Tiago SáG
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 23D. HuseinbašićM
- 37A. BarišićD
- 44A. BajramiD
- 77Gabri MartínezF
- 78João CarvalhoG
- 90LuisinhoM
Moreirense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nile John | M | 75 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Leandro Santos | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Liberato | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | F | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/5 |
| Alexandre Parsemain | F | 95 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Kiko(C) | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Alonso | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ferreira | G | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Afonso Assis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jimi Gower | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koby Mottoh | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aranha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Dacosta Gonzalez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Veloso | M | 28 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Mateja Stjepanović | M | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yan Maranhão | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | F | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
SC Braga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fran Navarro | F | 95 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Vítor Carvalho | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mario Dorgeles | F | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Silva | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ricardo Horta(C) | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Bright Arrey-Mbi | D | 42 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Travassos | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jean-Baptiste Gorby | M | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 95 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luís Pinto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Carvalho | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martínez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Barcia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Lelo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Leon Barišić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Sá | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Víctor | F | 38 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Victor Gómez | D | 50 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Denis Huseinbašić | M | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Adrian Bajrami | D | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Moreirense vs SC Braga?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Moreirense to win against SC Braga.
- What score did Fipster predict for Moreirense vs SC Braga?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Moreirense 2–1 SC Braga.
- What were the win probabilities for Moreirense vs SC Braga?
- Fipster's model gave Moreirense a 49% chance of winning, SC Braga a 25% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 49% confidence — a medium-confidence call.