Moreirense vs Estrela
Moreirense snatch last-gasp win
N. John's stoppage-time strike seals a dramatic 2-1 victory at home.
Moreirense edged out Estrela 2-1 in a tight Primeira Liga contest, with Landerson opening the scoring shortly after the break before L. Zvonarek levelled for Estrela. The match was decided in stoppage time when N. John netted the winner, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win for Estrela. A nail-biting finish that kept the home fans on the edge of their seats.
Outcome probability
This Regular Season - 10 clash between Moreirense and Estrela promises a lively contest, with both sides eager to climb the league table. Expect a match full of attacking intent and tactical battles.
Match factors
Moreirense's defensive stalwarts excel in tackles and interceptions
Gilberto Batista and Kiko show above-average defensive metrics, crucial against Estrela's attack
Estrela's attacking midfielders in strong recent form
Ianis Stoica and Abraham Marcus have multiple goals and assists recently, boosting Estrela's scoring chances
Moreirense midfielders contribute both defensively and offensively
Players like N. John and Manuel Ascenção provide balance with passing accuracy and goal threat
Estrela's forward L. Antonetti is a key goal threat
Antonetti's consistent scoring and high ratings make him a focal point in attack
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical and form factors dominate
The context
Moreirense sit 12th with 8 points from 8 games, while Estrela are slightly better placed at 10th with 10 points from 9 matches. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Moreirense winning 4 of 9 encounters, Estrela just once, and 4 draws. Matches between these two have averaged 3 goals, suggesting an open game.
Key insights
- G
Gilberto Batista
Moreirense
Gilberto's passing and defensive stats are well above average, crucial for Moreirense's backline.
Primeira Liga 26/27Passing total 416, accuracy 79%, duel win rate 56.9%
- K
Kiko
Moreirense
Kiko's high interceptions and tackles make him a key defensive figure.
Primeira Liga 26/2717 interceptions, 19 tackles, 55% duel win rate
- I
Ianis Stoica
Estrela
Stoica's recent goals and assists boost Estrela's attacking threat significantly.
Primeira Liga 26/27Multiple recent goals and assists
- A
A. Marcus
Estrela
Marcus is in strong scoring form, adding firepower to Estrela's midfield.
Primeira Liga 26/27Multiple recent goals and assists
- L
L. Antonetti
Estrela
Antonetti's consistent scoring and high ratings make him a focal point in attack.
Primeira Liga 26/27Multiple goals recently, high match ratings
Analysis
Estrela's recent attacking form is impressive, with key midfielders Ianis Stoica and Abraham Marcus contributing multiple goals and assists. Their forward, L. Antonetti, consistently finds the net, making Estrela a potent threat. Moreirense's defence, marshalled by Gilberto Batista and Kiko, boasts strong tackling and interception stats, but Estrela's attacking momentum could prove decisive. Moreirense midfielders like N. John and Manuel Ascenção offer a blend of defensive solidity and offensive support, which might keep the game tight but ultimately may not be enough to contain Estrela's firepower.
Key facts
- 1.Moreirense are 12th in the league with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 2.Estrela are 10th with 10 points from 9 games (W2 D4 L3).
- 3.In 9 head-to-head matches, Moreirense have 4 wins, Estrela 1, and 4 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals per game.
- 5.Estrela's Ianis Stoica and Abraham Marcus have multiple recent goals and assists.
- 6.Moreirense defenders Gilberto Batista and Kiko excel in tackles and interceptions.
- 7.Estrela's forward L. Antonetti is a consistent goal scorer.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads available.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Estrela, with a likely halftime score of 1-2 and a fulltime result of 2-3. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Estrela edging it thanks to their attacking prowess and recent form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Moreirense
Away — Estrela
The verdict
In what should be an entertaining fixture, Estrela's attacking quality is expected to outshine Moreirense's defensive efforts. Fans can look forward to a competitive match with goals aplenty and a narrow away victory.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 17:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Santiago Serra
Yellow Card
Kiko
Landerson
Assist: Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Zvonarek
Landerson
Vonić
Stoica
Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Höög Jansson
Mincarelli Davin
John
Assist: Andrade
Match Statistics
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
- 11LandersonM
- 13André FerreiraG
- 19Tiago AndradeM
- 23N. JohnM
- 27KikoD
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 76Dinis PintoD
- 79L. VonićF
Substitutes
- 1AranhaG
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 25Afonso AssisM
- 26MaracásD
- 28Chipyoka SongaF
- 32JoséD
- 89Afonso VieiraF
- 99MaranhãoF
Estrela
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. Mincarelli DavinD
- 5S. LekovićD
- 6K. Höög JanssonM
- 10I. StoicaM
- 14L. ZvonarekM
- 21M. ScholzeD
- 24Léo LinckG
- 37L. AntonettiF
- 78Santiago SerraM
- 99A. MarcusM
Substitutes
- 4Bernardo SchappoD
- 17Jefferson EncadaD
- 22David GriloG
- 28T. MoustierM
- 49R. MutebaF
- 51Diogo PintoG
- 55Rafa SoaresD
- 71E. Pedro VangaM
- 72H. PoniewasF
- 79A. ChernevD
Moreirense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. John | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Landerson | M | 68 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/6 |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Tiago Andrade | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 5/7 |
| Maranhão | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Chipyoka Songa | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodri Alonso | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Álvaro Martínez | D | 54 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kiko | D | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ferreira | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vonić | F | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dinis Pinto | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Guilherme Liberato | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Stjepanović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maracás | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Assis | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afonso Vieira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aranha | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estrela
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Zvonarek | M | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Leković | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Scholze | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Stoica | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Antonetti | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Santiago Serra | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jefferson Encada | D | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Soares | D | 7 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Marcus | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/6 |
| T. Moustier | M | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Léo Linck | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Höög Jansson | M | 83 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Mincarelli Davin | D | 83 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| E. Pedro Vanga | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Muteba | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Poniewas | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Chernev | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Pinto | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Moreirense vs Estrela?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Estrela to win against Moreirense.
- What score did Fipster predict for Moreirense vs Estrela?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Moreirense 2–3 Estrela.
- What were the win probabilities for Moreirense vs Estrela?
- Fipster's model gave Moreirense a 18% chance of winning, Estrela a 64% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 64% confidence — a medium-confidence call.