Montenegro vs Cyprus
Montenegro edges Cyprus in tight contest
A penalty and a late strike secure a narrow win for the hosts.
Montenegro came from behind to claim a 2-1 victory over Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League. M. Edwards gave Cyprus the lead early in the second half, but N. Krstović levelled from the penalty spot before M. Osmajić sealed the win with a late goal. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win with the exact scoreline proved accurate.
Analysis
Montenegro and Cyprus face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides will be eager to start their campaign positively, but the prediction leans towards a home win by a slender margin.
This fixture marks the opening round of the competition, with both teams looking to establish early momentum. While neither side has a significant historical edge noted here, the home advantage could play a subtle role in shaping the outcome.
The first half is expected to be cagey, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline reflecting a balanced contest. Montenegro are predicted to find their rhythm in the second half, edging out Cyprus 2-1. The match is likely to be competitive, with an estimated four cards indicating a fair share of physicality and tactical fouls.
Prediction
With a 44% confidence level, the forecast favours Montenegro to clinch a 2-1 victory. The close probabilities for draw and away win suggest a competitive match, but the home side's slight edge in scoring probability makes them the favourites.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
Expect a match where patience and persistence pay off for Montenegro. Cyprus will not make it easy, but the home side's ability to capitalise in the second half should see them through to a narrow win.
- The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Montenegro.
- Halftime score is expected to be 0-0, indicating a tight first half.
- Total cards predicted are four, suggesting a moderately physical game.
- Confidence in the home win prediction stands at 44%.
- Draw and away win probabilities are close, highlighting a competitive fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Montenegro
Away — Cyprus
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Yellow Card
Shikkis
Kastanos
Yellow Card
Edwards
Jovetić
Gašević
Yellow Card
Krstović
Penalty
Vujačić
Yellow Card
Edwards
Tzionis
Andreou
Adžić
Osmajić
Assist: Krstović
Janković
Krstović
Panagiotou
Match Statistics
Montenegro
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1B. PopovićG
- 2M. RoganovićD
- 5I. VujačićD
- 8M. JankovićM
- 9N. KrstovićF
- 10S. JovetićF
- 15S. SavićD
- 16O. GaševićD
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 20M. OsmajićM
- 21A. BulatovićM
Substitutes
- 3R. RadunovićD
- 4A. ĐurićD
- 6S. RubežićD
- 7M. VešovićD
- 11M. VukotićM
- 12D. PetkovićG
- 13I. NikićG
- 14M. BrnovićM
- 18A. LatkovićM
- 19V. ĐukanovićF
- 22S. LončarM
- 23D. VukovićF
Cyprus
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1FabianoG
- 3N. PanagiotouD
- 4H. KyprianouM
- 6A. ShikkisD
- 9I. PittasF
- 14G. MalekkidesD
- 16P. AndreouM
- 20G. KastanosM
- 21M. TzionisM
- 23M. EdwardsM
Substitutes
- 2K. PileasD
- 7A. NeophytouF
- 8C. KyriakouM
- 10L. LoizouF
- 11A. KakoullisF
- 12J. MallG
- 13I. KostiM
- 15L. KonomisM
- 18K. ArtymatasM
- 22A. ParaskevasG
Montenegro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Osmajić | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2/4 |
| S. Savić | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Gašević | D | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Roganović | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Vukotić | M | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Vešović | D | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Janković | M | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| D. Vuković | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| B. Popović | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Vujačić | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bulatović | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Lončar | M | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brnović | M | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Jovetić | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Radunović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Petković | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Rubežić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Latković | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Nikić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Đukanović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Đurić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cyprus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Edwards | M | 70 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| G. Kastanos | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| M. Tzionis | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| G. Malekkides | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| H. Kyprianou | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Loizou | F | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| I. Pittas | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Panagiotou | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Andreou | M | 71 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Konomis | M | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Shikkis | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabiano | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kyriakou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Paraskevas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Artymatas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Kosti | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kakoullis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mall | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Pileas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Neophytou | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Montenegro vs Cyprus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Montenegro to win against Cyprus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Montenegro vs Cyprus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus.
- What were the win probabilities for Montenegro vs Cyprus?
- Fipster's model gave Montenegro a 44% chance of winning, Cyprus a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.