Monaco vs SC Freiburg
Monaco seals comfortable win over Freiburg
Josua Brunner and late goals from Camara and Fati secure a 3-0 victory for Monaco.
Monaco delivered a commanding performance in the UEFA Europa Conference League, shutting out SC Freiburg with a 3-0 scoreline. Paris Josua Brunner opened the scoring just before half-time, setting the tone for the home side. L. Camara and Ansu Fati added late goals to seal the win. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Monaco and SC Freiburg face off in a group stage match that promises a tight contest. Both teams have shown attacking prowess in recent games, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Monaco's attacking trio in strong scoring form
Brunner and Biereth each have 2 goals in 2 games, Golovin adds goal threat from midfield
Freiburg's Scherhant leads assists with 3 in last 5 games
Scherhant is key creative player with high assist rate and match ratings
Ginter's scoring threat from defense could exploit Monaco's defense
Ginter has 2 goals in 2 games, unusual for defender, posing set-piece danger
Monaco's Coulibaly shows standout form with goal and assist
Coulibaly rated 9.3 recently, contributing both goal and assist in last match
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads likely
Both teams have no confirmed outs, maximizing tactical options
The context
In this competition, Monaco have won both their matches so far, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3. SC Freiburg have also won their two games, netting 7 and conceding just 2. Both sides come into this fixture with strong recent knockout round wins, Monaco beating Gornik Zabrze 4-1 and Freiburg overcoming Motherwell 4-1.
Key insights
Paris Josua Brunner
Monaco
Consistent starter with 2 goals in 2 games, key to Monaco's attacking threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 appearances, 90 avg mins/game
M. Biereth
Monaco
Efficient scorer with 2 goals in 2 games, strong home and away record.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 appearances, 58 avg mins/game
D. Scherhant
SC Freiburg
Top assister with 3 assists in last 5 games, creative hub for Freiburg.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 assists in 2 appearances, 78.5 avg mins/game
M. Coulibaly
Monaco
Standout form with goal and assist, rated 9.3 recently.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 assist in 1 appearance, 65 mins
M. Ginter
SC Freiburg
Unusually high scoring defender with 2 goals, set-piece threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in 2 appearances, 84.5 avg mins/game
Analysis
Monaco's attacking trio, including Paris Josua Brunner and M. Biereth, have been in fine form, each scoring twice in two games. Midfielder A. Golovin adds further goal threat. Freiburg's creative force D. Scherhant leads with three assists in the last five games, while defender M. Ginter poses a set-piece threat with two goals. Monaco's M. Coulibaly stands out with a goal and assist in recent play, rated highly for his performances. Both teams appear to have full squads available, ensuring tactical flexibility.
Key facts
- 1.Monaco have won both group stage matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 3.
- 2.SC Freiburg have also won both matches, scoring 7 and conceding 2.
- 3.Monaco's Paris Josua Brunner and M. Biereth each have 2 goals in 2 games.
- 4.Freiburg's D. Scherhant leads assists with 3 in last 5 games.
- 5.Monaco's M. Coulibaly rated 9.3 recently with a goal and assist.
- 6.Defender M. Ginter has scored 2 goals in 2 games, a threat on set-pieces.
- 7.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, likely full squads available.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Monaco with a 2-1 scoreline. While the confidence is low due to limited data and calibration, the aggregate probabilities suggest Monaco have the edge. Expect a closely fought match with Monaco just shading it.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Monaco
Away — SC Freiburg
The verdict
This group stage clash should be a competitive affair with both teams capable of scoring. Monaco's home advantage and attacking form give them a slight edge, but Freiburg's creativity and defensive threats mean the visitors will not go quietly. A 2-1 Monaco win looks the most likely outcome.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Engelhardt
Osterhage
Yellow Card
Paris Josua Brunner
Assist: Diop
Suzuki
Golovin
Yellow Card
Coulibaly
Detourbet
Makengo
Grifo
Diop
Soubeir
Yellow Card
Golovin
Paris Josua Brunner
Beste
Camara
Ansu Fati
Yellow Card
Ansu Fati
Assist: Abline
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 11 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Monaco
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. HrádeckýG
- 2VandersonD
- 4J. TezeD
- 7M. DetourbetM
- 8L. CamaraM
- 10A. GolovinM
- 13C. Mawissa ElebiD
- 28M. CoulibalyM
- 29Paris Josua BrunnerF
- 37E. DiopM
- 72Sadibou SanéD
Substitutes
- 6D. ZakariaM
- 11M. AblineF
- 14M. BierethF
- 16P. KöhnG
- 18T. MinaminoM
- 19Pape CabralM
- 20Flávio NazinhoD
- 22M. SalisuD
- 31Ansu FatiF
- 40J. StawieckiG
- 46A. SoubeirM
- 49I. TouréM
SC Freiburg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BackhausG
- 8M. EggesteinM
- 14Y. SuzukiM
- 16Y. EngelhardtM
- 17L. KüblerD
- 19J. BesteM
- 28M. GinterD
- 31I. MatanovićF
- 32V. GrifoM
- 33J. MakengoD
- 37M. RosenfelderD
Substitutes
- 5A. JungD
- 6P. OsterhageM
- 7D. ScherhantF
- 9L. HölerF
- 20R. YamamotoM
- 22Cyriaque Kalou IriéF
- 24J. HuthG
- 29P. TreuD
- 30C. GünterD
- 42K. GotoF
Monaco
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Brunner | F | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1/3 |
| Edan Diop | M | 68 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Lamine Camara | M | 86 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jordan Teze | D | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lukáš Hrádecký(C) | G | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Mawissa | D | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vanderson | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sadibou Sané | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandr Golovin | M | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mathys Detourbet | M | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Mamadou Coulibaly | M | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Takumi Minamino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthis Abline | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mika Biereth | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nazinho | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jules Stawiecki | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilane Touré | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pape Cabral | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Philipp Köhn | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Salisu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anis Soubeir | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Denis Zakaria | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ansu Fati | F | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
SC Freiburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mio Backhaus | G | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan-Niklas Beste | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Matthias Ginter | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Eggestein(C) | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vincenzo Grifo | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Yuito Suzuki | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Matanović | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maximilian Rosenfelder | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Kübler | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Jordy Makengo | D | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jannik Huth | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Jung | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rihito Yamamoto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Günter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cyriaque Irié | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Goto | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Höler | F | 41 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Patrick Osterhage | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Philipp Treu | D | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derry Scherhant | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Monaco to win against SC Freiburg.
- What score did Fipster predict for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Monaco 2–1 SC Freiburg.
- What were the win probabilities for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
- Fipster's model gave Monaco a 35% chance of winning, SC Freiburg a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.