Moldova vs Slovakia
Slovakia cruise to commanding win in Moldova
A dominant display sees Slovakia rack up four without reply.
Slovakia made a strong statement in the UEFA Nations League with a 4-0 victory over Moldova. D. Strelec set the tone early on at 8', followed by T. Suslov just before the break. After the interval, D. Hancko and L. Haraslín added to the tally, sealing a comprehensive win. Fipster had confidently tipped an away win, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction landed comfortably.
Outcome probability
Moldova and Slovakia face off in a League C encounter where Slovakia's recent form and attacking prowess suggest they will come out on top. Moldova will look to challenge but the visitors hold the upper hand.
Match factors
Slovakia's attacking midfield dominance
Ondrej Duda's dual threat of goals and assists gives Slovakia creative edge
Moldova's reliance on Popescu for goals
Petru Popescu leads Moldova's scoring with 1 goal in 3 games, key to their attack
Perciun's strong recent form
Sergiu Perciun's high rating and contributions in goals and assists highlight his impact
Ivan Schranz's goal threat from defense
Schranz's scoring ability adds unexpected attacking option for Slovakia
Full squads available for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so teams can field strongest lineups
The context
In this League C campaign, Moldova have played three matches with a record of one win, one draw, and one loss, scoring three goals and conceding four. Slovakia have been more consistent with two wins and a draw from three games, netting five and conceding just two. The sides have met once before, with Slovakia winning that encounter.
Key insights
Ondrej Duda
Slovakia
Ondrej Duda's dual threat of goals and assists gives Slovakia a creative edge in midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 2 appearances, playing full 90 minutes each game.
Petru Popescu
Moldova
Petru Popescu leads Moldova's scoring and is key to their attacking threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 3 appearances, averaging 90 minutes per game.
Sergiu Perciun
Moldova
Sergiu Perciun's high passing accuracy and contributions in goals and assists highlight his impact.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 2 appearances, 89% pass accuracy, rated 8.2 in recent match.
Ivan Schranz
Slovakia
Ivan Schranz adds an unexpected goal threat from defense, boosting Slovakia's attack.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances, strong recent ratings of 8.27.
Analysis
Slovakia's midfield dynamo Ondrej Duda has been pivotal, contributing both goals and assists, giving them a creative edge. Defender Ivan Schranz adds an unexpected goal threat from the back, complementing their attacking options. Moldova rely heavily on Petru Popescu for goals, but Slovakia's defensive solidity and attacking depth should prove decisive. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive match with Slovakia likely to assert control early on.
Key facts
- 1.Moldova have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 3 / GA 4)
- 2.Slovakia have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 5 / GA 2)
- 3.In 1 head-to-head meeting, Moldova have won 0, Slovakia have won 1, with 0 draws
- 4.Modal halftime score predicted as 0-2 in favour of Slovakia
- 5.Modal fulltime score predicted as 1-2 with Slovakia winning
- 6.Predicted total cards in the match is 4
- 7.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries or suspensions
Prediction
The prediction favours Slovakia to win 2-1, with a 2-0 lead at halftime reflecting their early dominance. Moldova may pull one back in the second half, but Slovakia's quality should see them hold on for the victory. Expect around four cards in the match, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Moldova
Away — Slovakia
The verdict
All signs point to Slovakia continuing their strong League C form with a narrow win over Moldova. Key players like Ondrej Duda and Ivan Schranz will be crucial, while Moldova's Petru Popescu will try to keep his side in the game. A lively encounter with Slovakia edging it 2-1.
Prediction generated 2 Oct 2026, 20:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Strelec
Raţă
Yellow Card
Suslov
Assist: Mesík
Raţă
Gherasimencov
Hancko
Assist: Haraslín
Cleșcenco
Baboglo
Schranz
Duda
Haraslín
Assist: Sauer
Revenco
Strelec
Obert
Suslov
Iovu
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Moldova
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2O. ReabciukD
- 4V. BabogloD
- 6M. GherasimencovD
- 9S. PerciunM
- 12D. CeleadnicG
- 14Vladimir FrateaM
- 15Petru PopescuF
- 18I. IovuD
- 20N. CleșcencoF
- 21I. RevencoD
- 22V. RaţăM
Substitutes
- 1E. TîmburG
- 3M. ȘtefanD
- 5C. CucoșD
- 7N. MoțpanM
- 8C. DrosM
- 10D. MandrîcencoM
- 11V. StînăM
- 13S. CojocariM
- 16D. ForovF
- 17O. DavidM
- 19D. DumbrăvanuD
- 23A. KozhukharG
Slovakia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2I. MesíkD
- 8O. DudaM
- 10T. SuslovM
- 14M. ŠkriniarD
- 15D. StrelecF
- 16D. HanckoD
- 17L. HaraslínM
- 18I. SchranzM
- 21A. ObertD
- 22S. LobotkaM
- 23D. GreifG
Substitutes
- 1M. DúbravkaG
- 3D. VavroD
- 4M. ValjentD
- 5Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 6P. PokornýM
- 7L. SauerF
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 11T. BobčekF
- 12J. SurovčíkG
- 13A. KaprálikF
- 19T. RigoM
- 20E. PrekopF
Moldova
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Fratea | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| V. Raţă | M | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Perciun | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Petru Popescu | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| O. Reabciuk | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| V. Stînă | M | 25 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| I. Revenco | D | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| I. Iovu | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| N. Cleșcenco | F | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| M. Gherasimencov | D | 58 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| V. Baboglo | D | 66 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ștefan | D | 24 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Dros | M | 32 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Moțpan | M | 14 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Celeadnic | G | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Dumbrăvanu | D | 32 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Forov | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Cucoș | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. David | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tîmbur | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kozhukhar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mandrîcenco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Cojocari | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Slovakia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Haraslín | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/3 |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| T. Suslov | M | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Strelec | F | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Obert | D | 82 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Mesík | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ľ. Šatka | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pokorný | M | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Sauer | F | 23 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| O. Duda | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Prekop | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Schranz | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Valjent | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Surovčík | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Boženík | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Moldova vs Slovakia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slovakia to win against Moldova.
- What score did Fipster predict for Moldova vs Slovakia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Moldova 1–2 Slovakia.
- What were the win probabilities for Moldova vs Slovakia?
- Fipster's model gave Moldova a 8% chance of winning, Slovakia a 84% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 84% confidence — a high-confidence call.