ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Ref: J. MullerStadyen DYuSSh-1, Rohachev · 7,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Sutjeska 1 5 ML Vitebsk
Advances:
ML Vitebsk

Match recap

ML Vitebsk beat Sutjeska 3–0 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-0 ML Vitebsk win

Actual

3–0

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

ML Vitebsk 80%Draw 10%Sutjeska 10%

ML Vitebsk and Sutjeska face off in the 2nd Qualifying Round, with Vitebsk looking to build on their recent strong performances. Sutjeska, meanwhile, have struggled to find the net and will need to improve if they want to avoid another defeat.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

ML Vitebsk’s midfield dominance

ML Vitebsk’s midfielders like Gromyko and Kontsevoy have strong goal and assist form, likely controlling the game tempo.

Statistical Edgehigh

Home defensive solidity

ML Vitebsk has kept clean sheets in 50% of home games, conceding 0 goals at home on average, pressuring Sutjeska’s weak attack.

Form Momentummedium

Gomanov’s unexpected scoring impact

Defender K. Gomanov scored in last home match vs Sutjeska, showing offensive threat from defense.

Head To Head Factorhigh

Sutjeska’s scoring struggles away

Sutjeska averages 0 goals away and has failed to score in recent away matches vs ML Vitebsk.

Injury Impacthigh

Full squad availability

No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so all key players are available to influence the match.

The context

In this competition, ML Vitebsk have won three of their four matches, scoring six goals and conceding only two. Sutjeska, on the other hand, have lost both their matches so far, scoring just once while conceding five. The previous head-to-head meeting saw Vitebsk win 3-0, setting a clear trend.

Key insights

  • V

    V. Gromyko

    ML Vitebsk

    Gromyko has scored twice against Sutjeska including a penalty, showing strong goal involvement from midfield.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 goals in this competition, including last meeting vs Sutjeska

  • A

    A. Kontsevoy

    ML Vitebsk

    Kontsevoy consistently scores and assists from midfield, linking well with forwards to control the game tempo.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Recent goals and high assist involvement in this competition

  • K

    K. Gomanov

    ML Vitebsk

    Defender Gomanov adds an unexpected goal threat, having scored in the last home fixture against Sutjeska.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in this competition, notable for a defender

  • B

    B. Tošković

    Sutjeska

    Tošković is Sutjeska’s main scorer but has struggled to find the net away, especially against ML Vitebsk’s defence.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in this competition, none scored away vs Vitebsk

Analysis

ML Vitebsk’s midfield dominance, led by players like V. Gromyko and A. Kontsevoy, has been key to their success, controlling the tempo and creating chances. Defensively, Vitebsk have been solid at home, keeping clean sheets in half of their matches. Sutjeska’s attack has struggled, especially away, with their main scorer B. Tošković unable to break through Vitebsk’s defence in recent encounters. The availability of all key players means both sides can field their best line-ups, but the tactical and form advantages lie with Vitebsk.

Key facts

  1. 1.ML Vitebsk have won 3 of 4 matches in this competition, scoring 6 and conceding 2 goals.
  2. 2.Sutjeska have lost both matches played in this competition, conceding 5 goals and scoring only 1.
  3. 3.ML Vitebsk won the only head-to-head meeting 3-0 against Sutjeska.
  4. 4.ML Vitebsk have kept clean sheets in 50% of their home games in this competition.
  5. 5.No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so full squads are available.

Prediction

We expect ML Vitebsk to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, securing a 2-0 win. Their ability to score and defend effectively at home should see them comfortably outplay Sutjeska, who have yet to find their rhythm in this competition.

The verdict

ML Vitebsk look set to continue their strong run with a confident 2-0 victory over Sutjeska. Their midfield strength and defensive resilience should prove decisive, leaving Sutjeska searching for answers ahead of their next fixtures.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?
Fipster's AI model predicted ML Vitebsk to win against Sutjeska.
What score did Fipster predict for ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?
Fipster predicted a final score of ML Vitebsk 2–0 Sutjeska.
What were the win probabilities for ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska?
Fipster's model gave ML Vitebsk a 80% chance of winning, Sutjeska a 10% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 80% confidence — a high-confidence call.