ML Vitebsk vs Borac Banja Luka

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round

ML Vitebsk

After Penalties
1–0
HT: 1–0
Pen: 2–4

Borac Banja Luka

Ref: Andy Madley, EnglandStadyen DYuSSh-1, Rohachev · 7,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

ML Vitebsk edge Borac Banja Luka in tense penalty thriller

A late Kontsevoy strike seals a dramatic extra-time victory for the hosts.

ML Vitebsk secured a narrow 1-0 win over Borac Banja Luka in the UEFA Europa Conference League after extra time, with D. Cleonise opening the scoring just before the break. Despite M. Deket's equaliser in the second half of extra time, A. Kontsevoy's decisive goal in the final minute of extra time clinched the victory. Fipster's low-confidence prediction for a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved elusive.

Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Borac Banja Luka 1 0 ML Vitebsk
Aggregate:
Borac Banja Luka 1 1 ML Vitebsk (pens)
Advances:
Borac Banja Luka
FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick✓
2–1
Final ResultAET · 2–4 pens
1–0
HT 1–0 · FT 1–0
50%Fair
C
✓Outcome✗Exact Score✗BTTS✗Over/Under 2.5✗Halftime
Fipster's self review14 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

ML Vitebsk 35%Draw 33%Borac Banja Luka 32%

The 3rd qualifying round fixture between ML Vitebsk and Borac Banja Luka promises a tight contest, with both teams boasting solid recent performances in this competition. Fans can expect a competitive match with goals on both sides.

Match factors

Form Momentumhigh

ML Vitebsk's strong home scoring form

ML Vitebsk has scored in all recent home games, averaging 3 goals per match at home, indicating strong attacking momentum.

Form Momentumhigh

Borac Banja Luka's consistent scoring streak

Borac Banja Luka has scored in their last 3 matches, showing reliable offensive output despite conceding recently.

Tactical Advantagemedium

ML Vitebsk's home defense solidity

ML Vitebsk has kept a clean sheet in their last home game and concedes only 0 goals on average at home, providing a defensive edge.

Statistical Edgemedium

Borac Banja Luka's higher average goals scored

Borac Banja Luka averages 3 goals per game, higher than ML Vitebsk's 2.5, suggesting a potent attack despite predicted loss.

The context

ML Vitebsk have played three matches in this competition so far, winning two and losing one, scoring five goals and conceding two. Borac Banja Luka have also been impressive, remaining unbeaten with two wins and a draw, netting seven and conceding three. The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a win for Borac Banja Luka, adding a bit of spice to this encounter.

Key insights

  • V

    V. Gromyko

    ML Vitebsk

    V. Gromyko has been a key contributor with two goals in recent home wins, showing above average goal involvement for a midfielder.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored twice in recent home win vs Sutjeska; key contributor to team's 3-0 home victory.

  • B

    B. Diabaté

    Borac Banja Luka

    B. Diabaté has been a consistent goal threat, scoring in the last two matches and assisting teammates.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored in last two matches including away win; higher than average scoring rate for attacker.

Analysis

ML Vitebsk have shown strong home scoring form, averaging three goals per match at home and keeping a clean sheet in their last home game, which gives them a defensive edge. Borac Banja Luka, meanwhile, have maintained a consistent scoring streak, finding the net in their last three matches and averaging three goals per game. Despite Borac's higher average goals scored, the home side's defensive solidity and recent form make them slight favourites. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with ML Vitebsk tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.

Key facts

  1. 1.ML Vitebsk have won 2 of their 3 matches in this competition, scoring 5 and conceding 2 goals.
  2. 2.Borac Banja Luka remain unbeaten with 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring 7 and conceding 3 goals.
  3. 3.Borac Banja Luka won the only previous meeting between these teams.
  4. 4.ML Vitebsk average 3 goals per home match in this competition.
  5. 5.Borac Banja Luka average 3 goals per game overall in this competition.
  6. 6.ML Vitebsk kept a clean sheet in their last home game.
  7. 7.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of ML Vitebsk.
  8. 8.The match is in the 3rd Qualifying Round of the competition.

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a home win for ML Vitebsk with a 2-1 scoreline. While the probabilities for other results are close, the home side's recent form and defensive strength give them the edge in this encounter.

The verdict

Expect a closely fought match with both teams eager to progress. ML Vitebsk's home advantage and solid recent performances should see them edge this one, but Borac Banja Luka will certainly make them work for it.

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