Mito Hollyhock vs V-varen Nagasaki
Match recap
V-varen Nagasaki beat Mito Hollyhock 1–0 in their J1 League fixture. Nabeshima scored for V-varen Nagasaki. Mito Hollyhock held 71% possession to 29% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Analysis
Mito Hollyhock host V-varen Nagasaki in what promises to be a closely fought J2 League clash. Both sides have their moments, but recent form and stats suggest Nagasaki might just have the upper hand on the road.
In this J2 League fixture, Mito Hollyhock sit 9th with 18 points from 18 games, struggling to find consistency at home. V-varen Nagasaki, meanwhile, have shown strong attacking form away from home, making this a compelling contest between mid-table sides.
Mito Hollyhock have been leaky at home, conceding over 1.7 goals per game, which bodes well for V-varen Nagasaki's forwards who are in fine fettle. Matheus Jesus leads Nagasaki's scoring charts with multiple recent goals and a solid 7.9 rating, while Mito's Tada Keisuke remains their key attacking threat with consistent goal contributions. The head-to-head record favours Nagasaki, who have won 11 of 20 meetings, suggesting they know how to get the job done here.
Prediction
The prediction leans heavily towards an away win for V-varen Nagasaki, with a 95% confidence level. Expect Nagasaki to lead 1-0 at halftime and hold on for a 2-1 victory. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
V-varen Nagasaki's attacking edge
V-varen's forwards have better recent scoring form and higher match ratings, favoring their attack.
Mito's defensive struggles at home
Mito concedes over 1.7 goals per home game, increasing chances for V-varen's attackers to score.
V-varen's positive scoring streak at home
V-varen has scored in all last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum.
Mito's key playmaker Tada Keisuke
Tada's consistent goal and assist contributions make him a focal point for Mito's attack.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have no reported injuries, so full squads likely available for tactical plans.
Key Takeaways
All signs point to V-varen Nagasaki continuing their strong away form against a defensively vulnerable Mito Hollyhock. While Mito's Tada Keisuke will try to inspire a fightback, Nagasaki's attacking prowess and historical edge should secure them the three points.
- Mito Hollyhock are 9th in the league with 18 points from 18 games (W6 D0 L12).
- V-varen Nagasaki have won 11 of 20 head-to-head matches against Mito Hollyhock.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals per game.
- Mito concede over 1.7 goals per home game on average.
- V-varen Nagasaki have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
- Tada Keisuke is Mito's key attacking player with consistent goal contributions.
- Matheus Jesus is V-varen Nagasaki's top scorer with strong recent form.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mito Hollyhock
Away — V-varen Nagasaki
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nabeshima
Takahata
Tada
Kasayanagi
Nabeshima
Torikai
Watanabe
Semba
Hasegawa
Mase
Goal cancelled
Jesus
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | +20 | 45 |
| 8 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -2 | 20 |
| 9 |  Mito Hollyhock | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 |  JEF United Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | -16 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Danilo CardosoD
- 7Sho OmoriD
- 8Chihiro KatoM
- 10Arata WatanabeF
- 11Yoshiki TorikaiM
- 17Kenta ItakuraD
- 19Taishi SembaM
- 25Takumi MaseD
- 29Keisuke TadaF
- 34Konosuke NishikawaG
- 39Hayata YamamotoM
Substitutes
- 4Takeshi UshizawaD
- 5Seiya InoueD
- 9Ryo NemotoF
- 13Shohei AiharaF
- 15Y. NagaoM
- 20Patryck FerreiraF
- 21Shuhei MatsubaraG
- 24Kiichi YamazakiM
- 70Matheus LeiriaF
V-varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Masaaki GotoG
- 3Masahiro SekiguchiM
- 4EduardoD
- 5Hotaru YamaguchiM
- 6Yusei EgawaD
- 10Matheus JesusF
- 17Keita TakahataM
- 22Hijiri OnagaD
- 33Tsubasa KasayanagiF
- 41Motoki HasegawaF
- 44Harumu NabeshimaM
Substitutes
- 11Norman Odale CampbellM
- 13Go HatanoG
- 18Ryogo YamasakiF
- 20Keita NakamuraM
- 21Diego PitucaM
- 23S. YonedaD
- 34T. MatsumotoM
- 45Noh Hyeung-junD
- 48Hayato TeruyamaD
Mito Hollyhock
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenta Itakura | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sho Omori | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Konosuke Nishikawa | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoshiki Torikai | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Danilo Cardoso | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takumi Mase | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Yamamota Hayata | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Taishi Semba | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Arata Watanabe(C) | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Tada Keisuke | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Chihiro Kato | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Takeshi Ushizawa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiichi Yamazaki | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seiya Inoue | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shuhei Matsubara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuto Nagao | M | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ryo Nemoto | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Shohei Aihara | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Leiria | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patryck Ferreira | F | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
V-varen Nagasaki
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goto Masaaki | G | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harumu Nabeshima | M | 64 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Onaga Hijiri | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yusei Egawa | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tsubasa Kasayanagi | F | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Keita Takahata | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Jesus | F | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Masahiro Sekiguchi | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Motoki Hasegawa | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yamaguchi Hotaru(C) | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Roh Hyeong-Jun | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayato Teruyama | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hatano Go | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoneda Shunya | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nakamura Keita | M | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Pituca | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yamasaki Ryogo | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norman Campbell | M | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |