Mirassol vs Vitoria
Vitoria's Rene shines but Mirassol claw back
A thrilling 2-2 draw sees Mirassol salvage a point with a late strike after Rene's early double for Vitoria.
Vitoria looked set for a comfortable win as Rene netted twice in the opening 12 minutes, putting them 2-0 up at Mirassol. However, Mirassol fought back with Bruno Santos pulling one back after the break and Edson equalising right on the 90th minute. This spirited comeback defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 3-1 home win, turning the match into a well-earned share of the spoils.
Outcome probability
Mirassol and Vitoria face off in a regular season encounter where Mirassol are tipped to come out on top. With both teams close in the league standings, this match promises some competitive football and a chance for Mirassol to climb the table.
Match factors
Mirassol's attacking midfield strength
Eduardo's strong recent scoring form and home scoring streak give Mirassol an edge in midfield attack
Reinaldo's assist threat from defense
Reinaldo leads Mirassol with 4 assists and is a key set-piece creator, boosting goal chances
Igor Formiga's recent attacking contributions
Igor Formiga has 3 assists in last 5 games, showing strong form in both defense and attack
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so full squads expected to compete
The context
Currently, Mirassol sit 16th with 28 points from 26 games, while Vitoria are just above them in 14th with 29 points from 25 games. Their head-to-head record shows Vitoria with a slight edge, having won three of their six meetings, compared to Mirassol's single win and two draws. This sets the stage for a keenly contested match.
Key insights
Eduardo
Mirassol
Eduardo's strong recent scoring form and home scoring streak give Mirassol an edge in midfield attack.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 17 appearances, 0.24 avg per game
Reinaldo
Mirassol
Reinaldo leads Mirassol with 4 assists and is a key set-piece creator, boosting goal chances.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 22 appearances, 0.18 avg per game
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Igor Formiga has 3 assists in last 5 games, showing strong form in both defense and attack.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 22 appearances, 0.09 avg per game
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards a Mirassol victory, with a 3-1 final scoreline and a 2-0 halftime lead. Mirassol's midfield dynamo Eduardo has been in fine scoring form recently, netting 4 goals this season and showing particular prowess at home. Defender Reinaldo's creativity and set-piece threat, with 4 assists, also bolster Mirassol's attacking options. Vitoria's top scorer Rene, with 5 goals, will be a key figure to watch, but Mirassol's defensive organisation and attacking midfield strength could prove decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Mirassol are 16th in the league with 28 points from 26 games (W7 D7 L12).
- 2.Vitoria are 14th with 29 points from 25 games (W8 D5 L12).
- 3.In 6 head-to-head matches, Vitoria have won 3, Mirassol 1, with 2 draws.
- 4.Mirassol's Eduardo has scored 4 goals in 17 appearances this season.
- 5.Reinaldo leads Mirassol with 4 assists, a key set-piece threat.
- 6.Vitoria's Rene is their top scorer with 5 goals in 17 appearances.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0 in favour of Mirassol.
- 8.The final predicted score is Mirassol 3, Vitoria 1.
Prediction
Expect Mirassol to start strongly and establish a 2-0 lead by halftime, capitalising on their home advantage and recent form. Vitoria may pull one back in the second half, but Mirassol should secure the win with a third goal, finishing 3-1.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mirassol
Away — Vitoria
The verdict
While the prediction favours Mirassol, the low confidence level suggests the match could still hold surprises. However, with key players in form and full squads available, Mirassol look well placed to take the three points in this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rene
Assist: Lucas Arcanjo
Rene
Assist: Erick
Brítez
Yellow Card
Alesson
Yellow Card
Silva
Caíque
Yellow Card
Wallisson
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Wallisson
Alesson
Machado
Yellow Card
Santos
Machado
Eduardo
Erick
Tarzia
Caíque
Rene
Marinho
Yellow Card
Edson
Yellow Card
Mateusinho
Yellow Card
Edenilson
Yellow Card
Fernandinho
Yellow Card
Edson
Assist: Shaylon
Match Statistics
Mirassol
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 10ChicoM
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoM
- 44GabrielD
- 77AlessonM
- 80WallissonM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17FernandinhoF
- 18EliasD
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 25Neto MouraM
- 90ThomazellaG
- 95EdsonF
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Vitoria
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas ArcanjoG
- 2E. BrítezD
- 12D. TarziaM
- 25CacáD
- 33ErickM
- 36Luan CândidoD
- 83JamersonD
- 88Zé VitorM
- 91ReneF
- 95CaíqueM
- 98MateusinhoD
Substitutes
- 7MarinhoF
- 8T. PochettinoM
- 9Alex BrunoF
- 10MatheuzinhoM
- 20Lucas SilvaF
- 26EdenilsonM
- 70FabianoD
- 71Yuri SenaG
- 79Renato KayzerF
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edson | F | 48 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 3/4 |
| Shaylon | M | 27 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3/7 |
| Chico | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fernandinho | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Alesson | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 42 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 69 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Wallisson | M | 63 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Daniel Borges | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luís | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Vitoria
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene | F | 81 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 70 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marinho | F | 20 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| D. Tarzia | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jamerson | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/4 |
| Luan Cândido | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 20 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Brítez | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 13 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bruno | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Sena | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabiano | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |