Mirassol vs Remo

Serie AMatchweek 21
Full Time
21
HT: 11
Ref: Lucas Paulo Torezin, BrazilEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo · 14,534 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Full-time story

Mirassol edge Remo in tight tussle

João Victor's second-half strike secures a narrow home victory.

Mirassol clinched a 2-1 win over Remo in Serie A, with an own goal from Marllon giving them an early advantage before L. Picco levelled just after the break. João Victor then restored Mirassol's lead in the second half to seal the win. Fipster predicted a home win, and while the exact scoreline was off, the model's call was spot on.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
31
HT 1–0
Final Result
21
HT 1–1
86%Excellent
A
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review30 Jul 2026

Analysis

Mirassol and Remo face off in a crucial Regular Season match where Mirassol look poised to break their winless streak against Remo. Both teams sit near the bottom of the table, but Mirassol's slightly better goal difference and home advantage could be decisive.

Mirassol currently rank 18th with 20 points from 19 games, while Remo are just below in 19th with 18 points. The two sides have met twice this season without a Mirassol win, recording one draw and one loss. Both teams have struggled for consistency, making this encounter vital for their survival hopes.

Mirassol's attacking threat is bolstered by Edson Carioca, who has netted three goals in his last five home matches, making him a key player to watch. Defender Igor Formiga adds width and creativity with three assists in recent games, providing set-piece danger. Remo rely heavily on Alef Manga for goals, but their overall form and goal difference lag behind Mirassol's. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with Mirassol's home scoring pattern, and the fulltime 3-1 scoreline reflects their offensive edge.


Prediction

With an 85% confidence level, Mirassol are expected to win 3-1. The home side should take an early lead and maintain control, capitalising on their attacking strengths and defensive solidity. The match is also likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.

Outcome probability

Mirassol 85%Draw 8%Remo 7%

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Mirassol's attacking defenders create overloads

Igor Formiga's high assist and crossing numbers give Mirassol width and set-piece threat

Statistical Edgehigh

Edson Carioca's goal-scoring form boosts Mirassol's chances

Edson has scored 3 goals in last 5 home matches, above league average for forwards

Form Momentummedium

Alef Manga remains Remo's key offensive outlet

Alef Manga has scored multiple goals recently despite Remo's poor form

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed absences maintain team stability

Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so strongest lineups expected

Key Takeaways

Mirassol look set to finally get the better of Remo this season, leveraging home advantage and key player form. Expect a lively game with Mirassol edging clear by fulltime, leaving Remo to rue missed chances and defensive lapses.

  • Mirassol have not won in 2 head-to-head meetings against Remo, with 1 draw and 1 loss.
  • Mirassol are ranked 18th with 20 points from 19 games (W5 D5 L9).
  • Remo are ranked 19th with 18 points from 19 games (W4 D6 L9).
  • Mirassol have a better goal difference (-5) than Remo (-11) this season.
  • Edson Carioca has scored 3 goals in his last 5 home matches for Mirassol.
  • Igor Formiga has provided 3 assists in the last 5 matches, a high rate for a defender.
  • Alef Manga is Remo's top scorer with multiple recent goals despite the team's struggles.
  • The predicted match will likely see 4 cards, indicating a competitive encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeMirassol

Edson Carioca

Edson Carioca

F

Mirassol

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.64
12 played
6 starts
572 mins
~48 mins/game
Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.64
10 played
2 starts
372 mins
~37 mins/game

AwayRemo

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.64
19 played
17 starts
1435 mins
~76 mins/game
Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.64
15 played
11 starts
1018 mins
~68 mins/game