Mirassol vs RB Bragantino
Match recap
RB Bragantino beat Mirassol 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Pitta scored for RB Bragantino. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.59 for Mirassol versus 1.82 for RB Bragantino. Mirassol sit 15th in the Serie A table while RB Bragantino are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Mirassol win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
Mirassol and RB Bragantino face off in the 10th round of the regular season, with Mirassol looking to capitalise on their home advantage and recent scoring streak. RB Bragantino will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a setback.
Match factors
Mirassol's attacking midfield strength
Eduardo and Alesson provide strong attacking threat with combined 11 goals and 10 assists, boosting home attack
Igor Formiga's dual threat
Formiga excels defensively and offensively with 5 assists and solid defensive stats, key for Mirassol's build-up
RB Bragantino's defensive vulnerability
Bragantino concedes 1.17 goals per game away, higher than league average, favoring Mirassol's predicted 3 goals
Mirassol's home scoring streak
Mirassol has scored in last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive form at home
Juninho Capixaba doubtful for RB Bragantino
Juninho Capixaba's doubtful status may weaken Bragantino's defense and assist potential, impacting team stability
The context
Mirassol currently sit 15th in the league with 33 points from 30 games, while RB Bragantino are 11th with 37 points from 29 games. Historically, in 12 meetings, Mirassol have won 3 times, RB Bragantino 5 times, with 4 draws. This match offers Mirassol a chance to close the gap on their visitors.
Key insights
Eduardo
Mirassol
Top scorer for Mirassol with 6 goals, including 3 in last 10 home matches, making him a key attacking threat at home.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 22 apps, 0.27 avg per game
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
Provides a dual threat with 5 assists this season and strong defensive contributions, crucial for Mirassol's build-up play.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 27 apps, 0.19 avg per game
I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
Top scorer with 6 goals but no goals in last 5 matches, indicating a recent dip in form.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 26 apps, 0.23 avg per game
- J
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Doubtful status may weaken Bragantino's defence and disrupt their stability at the back.
Serie A 26/2712 yellow cards in 25 games
Analysis
Mirassol's attacking midfield duo, Eduardo and Alesson, have combined for 11 goals and 10 assists this season, providing a potent offensive threat. Eduardo, Mirassol's top scorer with 6 goals, has been particularly effective at home, netting 3 in his last 10 home matches. Defender Igor Formiga adds to the threat with 5 assists and solid defensive work, making him a key figure in build-up play. On the other hand, RB Bragantino's top scorer I. Pitta has struggled to find the net recently, failing to score in his last 5 matches. Additionally, Bragantino concede an average of 1.17 goals per away game, a defensive frailty Mirassol are poised to exploit. The doubtful status of RB Bragantino's defender Juninho Capixaba may further weaken their backline.
Key facts
- 1.Mirassol are 15th in the league with 33 points from 30 games.
- 2.RB Bragantino are 11th with 37 points from 29 games.
- 3.In 12 head-to-head matches, Mirassol have won 3, RB Bragantino 5, with 4 draws.
- 4.Mirassol have scored in their last 5 home games.
- 5.RB Bragantino concede 1.17 goals per away game on average.
- 6.Eduardo is Mirassol's top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 7.Igor Formiga leads Mirassol with 5 assists and strong defensive stats.
- 8.Juninho Capixaba is doubtful for RB Bragantino, potentially weakening their defence.
Prediction
The prediction favours a Mirassol home win with a 3-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the fulltime outcome. The match is likely to feature around three cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mirassol
Away — RB Bragantino
The verdict
Mirassol's strong home form and attacking prowess should see them through to a comfortable victory over RB Bragantino. With key players in form and some defensive doubts for the visitors, the home side look well placed to secure all three points.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Herrera
Yellow Card
Herrera
Galeano
Shaylon
Pitta
Assist: Lucas Barbosa
Unknown
João Victor
Yellow Card
Tiquinho Soares
Juninho Capixaba
Yellow Card
Pitta
Yellow Card
Alesson
Gabriel
Fernandes
Carlos Eduardo
Yellow Card
Henry Mosquera
Pitta
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
Match Statistics
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 7ShaylonM
- 21José AldoM
- 22WalterG
- 27A. GaleanoM
- 29Tiquinho SoaresF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonM
Substitutes
- 8DenilsonM
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17Everton GaldinoF
- 18Gabriel PiresD
- 20Daniel BorgesD
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 33EduardoM
- 95EdsonF
- 97RodriguesD
- 99André LuísF
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 30Henry MosqueraM
- 32J. HerreraM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 52Ryan TavaresD
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 17ViniciusF
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 28Yuri LelesM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 57MarcelinhoM
- 67Jhuan Nunes CoelhoF
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Aldo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Walter | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Antonio Galeano | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yuri Lara | M | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Denilson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigues | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chico | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| André Luis | F | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pires | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Augusto | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4/7 |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Henry Mosquera | M | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7/8 |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1/5 |
| Tiago Volpi | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Herrera | M | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 85 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Girotto(C) | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rodriguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Leles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhuan Nunes Coelho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | 55 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Sant'Anna | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Mirassol to win against RB Bragantino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Mirassol 3–1 RB Bragantino.
- What were the win probabilities for Mirassol vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's model gave Mirassol a 68% chance of winning, RB Bragantino a 16% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.