Mirassol vs Palmeiras
Mirassol holds Palmeiras to draw
Eduardo and Maurício trade blows in a balanced Serie A clash.
Mirassol and Palmeiras shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw in Serie A, with Eduardo giving the hosts the lead shortly after the break before Maurício equalised for Palmeiras midway through the second half. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring an away win, the match ended all square, defying expectations and highlighting the resilience of Mirassol on home turf.
Outcome probability
As the regular season reaches its 25th round, Mirassol face a tough challenge against league leaders Palmeiras. Both teams have shown attacking intent, promising an entertaining clash.
Match factors
Mirassol's set-piece threat from defenders
João Victor and Igor Formiga provide goal threat on set pieces, challenging Palmeiras' defense
Palmeiras' superior attacking output
Palmeiras averages 1.83 goals per game vs Mirassol's 1.1, favoring an away win
Reinaldo's recent assist form
Reinaldo has 3 assists in last 5 games, key in Mirassol's attacking build-up
Edson's doubtful status limits Mirassol's attack
Edson is doubtful due to injury, capping his scoring probability and impacting Mirassol's forward options
Andreas Pereira's creative influence for Palmeiras
Andreas leads assists with 9 this season, pivotal in Palmeiras' chance creation
The context
Palmeiras sit comfortably at the top of the league with 51 points from 24 games, while Mirassol find themselves in 17th place with 23 points from 22 matches. Historically, Palmeiras have dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning six of nine meetings, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in these fixtures.
Key insights
João Victor
Mirassol
High goal-scoring defender with 2 goals in last 5 matches, providing a set-piece threat.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 22 appearances, 0.4 avg per game last 5
J. López
Palmeiras
Leading scorer with 6 goals this season and strong recent form, key to Palmeiras' attack.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 20 appearances, 0.3 avg per game
Andreas Pereira
Palmeiras
Top assister with 9 assists, pivotal in chance creation and set-piece duties.
Serie A 26/279 assists in 21 appearances, 0.43 avg per game
Reinaldo
Mirassol
Top assist provider with 4 assists, excellent set-piece delivery and recent form.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 19 appearances, 0.21 avg per game last 5
Analysis
Palmeiras boast a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio, reflecting their consistent performance this season. Their attacking prowess is spearheaded by J. López, who has netted six goals and is in good recent form. Midfielder Andreas Pereira's creativity, with nine assists, is pivotal to Palmeiras' chance creation. Mirassol, meanwhile, rely on set-piece threats from defenders João Victor and Igor Formiga, who have contributed goals this season. However, Mirassol's attack is hampered by the doubtful status of key attacker Edson, limiting their offensive options.
Key facts
- 1.Palmeiras lead the league with 51 points from 24 games; Mirassol have 23 points from 22 games.
- 2.In 9 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras have won 6, Mirassol 2, with 1 draw.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals, with Palmeiras scoring 16 and Mirassol 9.
- 4.Palmeiras have a goal difference advantage of +34 this season.
- 5.J. López is Palmeiras' top scorer with 6 goals this season.
- 6.Andreas Pereira leads Palmeiras with 9 assists this season.
- 7.Mirassol's João Victor has scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches, a strong return for a defender.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Palmeiras with a final scoreline of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 3-1 in favour of Palmeiras, indicating an early dominance. The match is also predicted to see around three cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Mirassol
Away — Palmeiras
The verdict
In summary, Palmeiras' superior league standing, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Mirassol make them the likely winners. Mirassol's set-piece threats and home spirit may keep the scoreline close, but the visitors should edge this one.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Eduardo
Assist: Igor Formiga
Anderson
Vitor Roque
Eduardo
Unknown
Maurício
Assist: Gómez
Silva
Santos
Alesson
Denilson
Yellow Card
Maurício
Arthur
Yellow Card
Arthur
Yellow Card
Arthur
Red Card
Match Statistics
Mirassol
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 6ReinaldoD
- 19Gustavo SilvaM
- 22WalterG
- 25Neto MouraM
- 27DenilsonM
- 30Bruno SantosM
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 33EduardoF
- 34João VictorD
- 77AlessonM
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 5JapaM
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17FernandinhoF
- 18EliasD
- 23Alex MuralhaG
- 44GabrielD
- 55Gustavo CazonattiM
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Carlos MiguelG
- 4A. GiayD
- 7Felipe AndersonF
- 8Andreas PereiraM
- 9Vitor RoqueF
- 15G. GómezD
- 17Marlon FreitasM
- 18MaurícioM
- 26MuriloD
- 42J. LópezF
- 56ArthurM
Substitutes
- 3Bruno FuchsD
- 12KhellvenD
- 14Marcelo LombaG
- 29M. C. BilongF
- 30Lucas EvangelistaM
- 32E. MartínezM
- 37Riquelme FillipiF
- 39HeittorF
- 45Erick MachadoM
- 48LarsonM
- 50Luis FelipeM
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo | M | 70 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Walter | G | 98 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor(C) | D | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Denilson | M | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Neto Moura | M | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Willian Machado | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Igor Formiga | D | 98 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alesson | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Chico | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muralha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Palmeiras
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio | M | 87 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Gómez(C) | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| José Manuel López | F | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Murilo | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Gabriel | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Felipe Anderson | F | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Vitor Roque | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Agustín Giay | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Erick Belé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Larson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Fillipi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cinoncelli Bilong | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Pacheco | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Lomba | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fuchs | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Martínez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |